Timur Ergen

@trgn.bsky.social

Social Scientist @iaw https://tergen.org

🚨New paper Like most things in democracies, achieving climate action in the form of sustainable policy needs a significant amount of political mobilization. We investigate when & where this is more likely to happen across places on the climate frontline: the Global South🧵 📌 osf.io/preprints/so...

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1/ The purpose of green industrial policy has inverted. It used to pay for a public good: clean energy that cost more, benefiting everyone. Now it captures advantages a country keeps for itself. That shift, from a shared cost to a prize seized, is the story of the transition.

The problem is not the service economy per se, but the *transition* to it. In the US, aggregate employment recovered, but the costs of adjustment were highly uneven, with job losses concentrated in specific regions.

Good piece by Palma Polyak. In a sense she is illustrating the global version of the Kalecki Paradox, or what Fed chairman Marriner Eccles explained in the 1930s: without rising consumption you cannot justify rising production, and without rising wages you cannot sustain rising consumption.

Palma Polyak@palmapolyak.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Europe is obsessed with Chinese industrial domination. But the more seriously I take the "China is winning" argument, the less sense China's endgame seems to make If European industry collapses, demand for Chinese exports collapses with it. My latest: brettoninthewoods.substack.com/p/chinas-gro...

Europe is obsessed with Chinese industrial domination. But the more seriously I take the "China is winning" argument, the less sense China's endgame seems to make If European industry collapses, demand for Chinese exports collapses with it. My latest: brettoninthewoods.substack.com/p/chinas-gro...

China's Growth Model Has No Endgame

The European debate about China is obsessed with production. It spends remarkably little time thinking about demand.

brettoninthewoods.substack.com

JUST DROPPED: For years I thought industrial electrification potential was limited. How wrong I was. Engineering studies point to 90%+. Long term scenarios support this. Technology is much further ahead than we think. Question is whether policy keeps up. janrosenow.substack.com/p/industry-f...

Industry: from hard-to-abate to ready-to-electrify

How far can industry run on electricity?Much ffurther and faster than the 'hard-to-abate' label suggests.

janrosenow.substack.com

War → energy shock → inflation. This time: Iran. But we saw this already after Russia invaded Ukraine. Back then, the shock ignited some big debates on monetary autonomy and dollar dominance In a new paper w/@palmapolyak.bsky.social we go back to that moment. A short thread👇

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The New York Times is now blocking The Wayback Machine from accessing its articles. That means you'll no longer be able to view archived versions of NYT stories published in 2026 and beyond on archive.org. (All those posts you see tracking changes to NYT headlines and ledes? They relied on WBM).

I come out of this convinced that we know much abt European structural blindspots & strategic weaknesses (some US-caused); we know less how to handle the East politically. We get China's economic downstream impacts; now we need to learn how politicians & voters want to treat China’s economic might.

Wir befinden uns in der größten fossilen Energiekrise. Die Ölproduktion is so stark gefallen wie die Nachfrage 2020 mit COVID. Die Bundesregierung sollte schleunigst darauf reagieren statt die Zeit mit Debatten über Mehrwertsteuererhöhung & Fracking zu vergeuden. Mein Beitrag im @freitag.de heute.

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1/9 Reuters: "China said that Mexico's trade measures against it, including tariff increases, ​constitute trade and investment barriers and that it had ‌the right to take countermeasures." rld/china/china-says-it-has-right-retaliate-against-mexicos-tariff-hikes-2026-03-25/

We are hiring a tenure track (!) senior researcher in political economy! This is obviously a great job (permanent without teaching obligation) and I hope you all apply. However, I would like to take a moment to share just how significant this is in the German academic context ⬇️

Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung (MPIfG)@mpifg.bsky.social · 4mo ago

📢 Call: Tenure Track Position The MPIfG Political Economy Research Area led by Lucio Baccaro is seeking a Senior Researcher. Open to candidates with at least two years’ postdoc experience. Please share widely! 🗓️ Apply by April 20, 2026 s.gwdg.de/WPMPp1

Tenure Track Position: Senior Researcher, Political Economy. Application Deadline. April 20, 2026