๐ง๐ฟ๐๐บ๐ฝ ๐๐ธ๐ถ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป'๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ, ๐ฐ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฝ๐ถ๐ฐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ฒ. #OSINT #EpicFury
OSINT Intuitโข
@urikikaski.bsky.social
Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of geopolitical events. Providing timely context before the narrative war begins.
Take It Like a... Squealing Pig! With all of the badass talk you hear from Russian men, they sure know how to be subservient to the State. They would rather die running across an open field under controlled fires in broad daylight than emptying a clip into one of their goon commanders. #OSINT
๐ท๐บโฐ๏ธ Interesting set of statistics from TG Alexander Kovalenko for the period of May 1-21, 2026: Territory Captured by Enemy = 24.8 kmยฒ Enemy Combat Actions Per kmยฒ Gained = 177 Combat Actions / kmยฒ Gained Enemy Irreversible Casualties Per kmยฒ Gained = 858 Katsaps / kmยฒ Gained OSINT #Ukraine
๐บ๐ฆ ๐๐ฒ๐น๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ Ukrainian Forces struck Belbek airfield in occupied Crimea May 16-17, destroying: โข Pantsyr-S2 โข S-400 Radar โข Orion UAV Control Station โข Forpost UAV Control Station โข S-400 Missile Data Link โข Control Tower โข Airfield Hangars #OSINT #Ukraine
๐ท๐บ๐คก ๐ง๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐'๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ A Storm-Z specimen runs through a pile of his dead comrades and triggers another OZM-72 mine. The OZM-72 (ะะะ-72) is a Soviet-era AP bouncing mine dubbed a "frog mine". Its offset location indicates it was triggered by a tripwire. #OSINT
๐ง๐พ๐ท๐บ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐น๐ป๐ถ๐๐ ๐จ๐ป๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ | ๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ Lithuania activated its "unmanned danger" protocol this morning after radar detected a UAV-signature track originating from Belarusian airspace moving toward Vilnius.
๐ท๐บโฐ๏ธ ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ฎ'๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น... ๐ฆ๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ AFU Unmanned Systems Forces (SBS) confirmed 6,000 irreversible Russians demobilized for the period of May 1-19. Confirmed UAV katsap losses across all SOU unmanned systems units during the same period were 19,203.
๐ฑ๐ป๐ฑ๐น๐ช๐ช ๐จ๐ฃ๐๐๐ง๐ | ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ง๐๐ฆ ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ก๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ข The SVR false provocation about Ukraine launching drones from Latvia is now running through Russian proxy Telegram channels in real time.
๐ช๐ช ๐๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐ก๐๐ | ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ช๐ก BLUF: This morning Latvia warned Estonia a Ukrainian drone was inbound. Estonian radar confirmed the track. A Romanian F-16 on NATO Baltic Air Policing shot it down over Lake Vรตrtsjรคrv. Ukraine's Defense Minister called Pevkur and apologized.
๐ท๐บ๐ฑ๐ป ๐จ๐ฃ๐๐๐ง๐ | ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ฉ๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ก๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐๐ ๐ฑ ๐ฃ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐๐ 19 May 2026 BLUF: Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has formally claimed Ukraine is preparing strikes on Russian rear areas from Latvian territory.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ก ๐๐๐ข๐๐ ๐ช๐๐ฆ ๐ง๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ BLUF: The stacked indicators over recent weeks pointed correctly. A planned strike on Iran was scheduled for today, 19 May. Ref: x.com/UKikaski/statu...
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ข๐๐ ๐๐ฆ ๐ง๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ BLUF: Stacked indicators point to a high probability of kinetic resumption against Iran within the week. Trump spoke with Netanyahu for 30 minutes on Sunday and a senior staff meeting on Iran is scheduled for Tuesday.
๐บ๐ฆ ๐ก๐ข ๐ฆ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ฅ I wonder who the new commander of the Caspian Coast Guard will be. AFU deep-strike UAV forces struck a Russian Coast Guard Project 10410 Svetlyak-class patrol boat in the Caspian Sea. The reticle is from an FP-2 variant without aerial rockets. #OSINT #Ukraine
Model specimen from Russia's 13th Combined "Toiletless Steppes" Consanguineous Siblings Spetsnaz Battalion just before getting a drone to the face. Note his brother, literally, at arms, resting on the roadside, after a long day of capturing Berlin.
๐บ๐ฆ ๐ช ๐จ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ก๐ | ๐๐ก๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ข๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐จ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ ๐ Ukraine has announced the successful development and combat readiness of its first indigenous guided aerial bomb (unofficially referred to as the โUkrainian KABโ).
โ ๏ธ๐ธ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐๐จ๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ | ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ก๐ ๐๐ก๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ก Saudi Arabia intercepted three drones entering from Iraqi airspace on Sunday. It appears the IRGC is directing its proxies to attack Gulf neighbors.
๐บ๐ฆ๐ช ๐ง๐๐ ๐ช๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐จ๐ฅ๐ก๐๐ก๐ ๐ง๐ข ๐๐ง๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ข๐ฅ๐ง President Zelensky: "Today, Ukraine's Defense Forces, our Security Service of Ukraine, and our intelligence carried out a very large-scale operation against the Moscow region.
โ ๏ธ๐จ๐บ๐ท๐บ๐ฎ๐ท ๐๐จ๐๐ | ๐ข๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ง๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ง ๐ต๐ฌ-๐ ๐๐๐๐ฆ ๐ข๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐
๐บ๐ฆ๐๐ฏ ๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ฅ'๐ฆ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ | ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฃ๐ฃ๐ฅ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ, ๐ง๐๐๐ก ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐ BLUF: AFU drone doctrine continues to evolve.
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ | ๐ช๐๐๐ง ๐ง๐ข๐ ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ก๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ฉ๐๐ฅ๐ก๐ ๐๐ก๐ง ๐๐ฅ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ On 1 March, an Iranian ballistic missile struck the Ramat Lehi residential neighborhood in Beit Shemesh.
๐น๐ผ ๐ง๐๐๐ช๐๐ก | ๐ช๐๐๐ง ๐ซ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ Taiwan is a self-governing democracy of 24 million people sitting 160 kilometers off the coast of mainland China. Beijing claims it as sovereign territory and has never renounced the use of force to take it.
๐ท๐บ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง | ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ BLUF: Ukrainian drones struck Nevinnomyssky Azot in Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai overnight on 15-16 May. This is at least the sixth confirmed attack on the facility since the full-scale invasion began.
๐ต๐ธโฐ๏ธ ๐๐ป๐ผ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ The IDF has confirmed the assassination of Izz al-Din al-Haddad adding that only two senior Hamas commanders who were in Gaza during the October 7 massacres are still living. #OSINT #Israel #Hamas