WarFronts Weekly
@warfrontsweekly.bsky.social
Global Conflict News and Analysis; Delivered Every Tuesday & Friday. Subscribe: https://fronts.co/warfronts-weekly/ Our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@warographics643
Professor Alex de Waal joins the Due South podcast: Tracing Sudan's collapse to the broken promises of South Sudan's secession. @warfrontsweekly.bsky.social @worldpeacefdtn.bsky.social fronts.co/podcast/due-...
Due South: Professor Alex de Waal on Sudan.
The veteran AU mediator traces how South Sudan's secession broke both states, why peace diplomacy has turned kleptocratic, and why Sudan's partition may already exist in its people's minds.
fronts.co
Today on WarFronts: America Devastated Iran. How is Iran Still Fighting? www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEeK...
America Devastated Iran. How is Iran Still Fighting?
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Good to keep an eye on Afghanistan right now. Growing anti-Taliban discontent nationwide, and Pakistan clearly open to future rounds of military engagement. x.com/Defence_Inde...
Defence Index (@Defence_Index) on X
🚨🇦🇫 JUST IN: Anti-Taliban Resistance Intensifies in Afghanistan The Afghanistan Freedom Front (AFF) fighters killed 21 Taliban fighters, including several commanders, during a major assault on Taliba...
x.com
Protests picking up in India, despite minor concessions by the Modi government. India's been long overdue for this sort of display, especially given larger global trends toward Gen-Z-driven uprisings -- including in neighboring Nepal and Bangladesh.
Financial Times@financialtimes.com · 2w agoIndia should listen to its frustrated youth ft.trib.al/H5ZSVjA
Note: Houthis are framing their ongoing Red Sea action as a targeted blockade of Saudi Arabia, related only tangentially to the war in Iran. True? Maybe, maybe not. But if Houthi targeting info hasn't updated since 2024/2025, it may not matter.
Critical Threats Project@criticalthreats.bsky.social · 2w agoNEW | The Yemeni Houthis began enforcing a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia, which will worsen already-strained global shipping and African supply-chain disruptions.
Important report via @thestudyofwar.bsky.social — Russian mass mobilization appears to be on the way. understandingwar.org/research/rus...
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 22, 2026
The Kremlin continues to reiterate Russia’s commitment to its maximalist war aims of complete Ukrainian capitulation.
understandingwar.org
Signs of escalation all week in Iranian Kurdistan. Unclear whether there's any escalation planned from the Kurdish side, but if Iran is operating on that premise, then Kurdish forces may find themselves engaged regardless.
Critical Threats Project@criticalthreats.bsky.social · last mo.The IRGC Ground Forces separately announced on July 2 that it ambushed a Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI)-affiliated cell that entered Iran through the northwestern border and killed five of its members near Piranshahr, West Azerbaijan Province. (3/6)
Not mincing words on WarFronts today. Let's call it as we see it. www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OeN...
The Iran War Was a Total Failure.
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Today on Fronts: Expert @liam_karr, Africa Team Lead for the American Enterprise Institute’s Critical Threats Project, on the centrality of the Egypt-Ethiopia Cold War as a driving force of African Horn conflicts. fronts.co/article/the-...
The Egypt-Ethiopia Cold War is Key to the Horn’s Growing Conflicts
Read "The Egypt-Ethiopia Cold War is Key to the Horn’s Growing Conflicts" on Fronts.
fronts.co
If Abelardo de la Espriella has his way, Colombia is headed into a Bukele-style "total war" against its insurgent and organized criminal groups. Here's what you need to know: www.youtube.com/watch?v=62D6...
Colombia’s Next President Declares Total War
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Our team is paying very close attention to this one. A key Abiy Ahmed intelligence ally co-authored a piece in Al Jazeera today, warning of potential attack by Ethiopia's Tigray population. (1/3) www.aljazeera.com/opinions/202...
Ethiopia must not be dragged back into war
TPLF hardliners, backed by Eritrea, are threatening to drag Ethiopia back into a war its people have already rejected.
aljazeera.com
Today, UK SecDef Healey resigned his post in protest, after government failed to set a timetable to reach 3% of GDP on defense. Last October, Simon sat down with SecDef Healey for a wide-ranging conversation. In light of London's decision, we recommend a listen. www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNzh...
How to Keep Ukraine in the Fight: John Healey (Interview)
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Today on Fronts.Co: Host Wilfred Maina interviews Kenyan civil rights activist and protest leader Mwabili Mwagodi, who was abducted in Tanzania for his criticism of the Ruto government. Free to listen here: fronts.co/podcast/due-...
Due South: Surviving Abduction in Tanzania, for Protest in Kenya. (w/ Mwabili Mwagodi)
Mwabili Mwagodi, a Kenyan human rights activist, shares his story of abduction and arrest, highlighting the struggles of civil rights activists...
fronts.co
Russian military incompetence isn't an accident. It's a lucrative, self-sustaining industry, run by the same commanders charged with the pursuit of victory on the front lines. Today on WarFronts: www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8VN...
Russia’s Military Incompetence is Getting Even Worse...
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
High probability of violence in Pakistan-administered Kashmir tomorrow, when opposition and locals will rally for political rights. Death toll now stands at eleven; Kashmir authorities clearly working to shape perceptions of aggression by opposition group JAAC.
Al Jazeera English@aljazeera.com · 2mo agoAt least 11 killed in Pakistan-administered Kashmir clashes before rally https://aje.news/i6m1k5
Somalia's political crisis continues to devolve. Important to note here: Somali officials also drawing attention to the idea that they may attempt to reassert direct federal control over autonomous regions, including Somaliland. (1/2)
@europe-africa.bsky.social · 2mo agoThe State Department Just Handed Turkey the Horn of Africa https://www.europesays.com/africa/273727/ Washington’s June 2026 report to Congress on Somaliland declared Somaliland a region of Somalia, handing Ankara a strategic…
The State Department Just Handed Turkey the Horn of Africa https://www.europesays.com/africa/273727/ Washington’s June 2026 report to Congress on Somaliland declared Somaliland a region of Somalia, handing Ankara a strategic…
The State Department Just Handed Turkey the Horn of Africa - Africa & Europe
Washington’s June 2026 report to Congress on Somaliland declared Somaliland a region of Somalia, handing Ankara a strategic gift, validating Mogadishu’s most
europesays.com
Major loss for Russia in Armenia this weekend. Pro-Russian parties improved their overall vote share, but seem to have cut into the pool of non-aligned voters, NOT Pashinyan supporters. Russia achieved vote polarization, but failed to create meaningful attrition.
The Kyiv Independent@kyivindependent.com · 2mo ago⚡️Armenia's Pashinyan declares victory as results show commanding lead over pro-Russian candidate. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan declared victory on June 8 in the country's parliamentary election, after preliminary results show a commanding lead for his Civil Contract party.
There's a reason our @WarFrontsWeekly team has been beating the drum on Putin's incentives to escalate. Here's an extended explanation, with Simon in conversation alongside Ukrainian strategic advisor Illya Sekirin: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kkJb... Via www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Europe Is Starting to Think Putin Will Expand the War Beyond Ukraine
While fears that Russia could expand the conflict to Europe aren’t new, recent developments have made them more urgent.
wsj.com
For the Gulf states, 2026 was the wake-up call of a lifetime. WarFronts lays out the Gulf's roadmap to rearmament, military redesign, and meaningful sovereign deterrence against Iran, Yemen's Houthis, Iraq's militias, and eventually, each other. www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzC0...
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke…For Now.
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
In Sudan, RSF's unraveling seems to be underway. Notable, however, that RSF arms convoys appear to be inbound from UAE again. The loss of reliable weapons transshipment routes via Libya (after Abu Dhabi's separatist attempt in Yemen imploded) has been a key factor behind the recent (1/2)
Sudan's Rebels Are Cracking Apart
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
In Cuba, the US indictment of 94-year-old ex-dictator Raul Castro is just the latest sign that the walls are closing in. From humanitarian crisis to the threat of kinetic attacks, we cover the situation in Havana, here. www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxaW...
Cuba is Collapsing
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Very interesting thread. Possible limited Ukrainian counteroffensive coming? x.com/Malcontentme...
Malcontent News on X: "🧵A story of no significance from the occupiers, which might suggest something is brewing in the Luhansk region - or more specifically, Lyman in Donetsk. 1/20" / X
🧵A story of no significance from the occupiers, which might suggest something is brewing in the Luhansk region - or more specifically, Lyman in Donetsk. 1/20
x.com
If accurate, then a critical pivot by one of the world's more potent insurgent groups. Similar evolution from the Sahel's JNIM, also with parallels to 2024 Syria and, to a lesser extent, 2021 Afghanistan. x.com/HOA_ANALYST/...
Abdurahman Sheikh Azhari on X: "#SecurityAlert Al-Shabaab is reportedly considering leaving Al-Qaeda. Growing reports indicate that Al-Shabaab’s senior leadership has become convinced of the need to withdraw from its alliance with Al-Qaeda and revise its ideological position regarding global jihad. Two https://t.co/wzNGJcI6xW" / X
#SecurityAlert Al-Shabaab is reportedly considering leaving Al-Qaeda. Growing reports indicate that Al-Shabaab’s senior leadership has become convinced of the need to withdraw from its alliance with Al-Qaeda and revise its ideological position regarding global jihad. Two https://t.co/wzNGJcI6xW
x.com
Well, this one matters. www.reuters.com/world/us-pla...
Exclusive: US plans to shrink forces available to NATO during crises, sources say
The Trump administration is planning to tell NATO allies this week that it will shrink the pool of military capabilities that the U.S. would have available to assist the alliance's European nations ...
reuters.com
Not an accident. For more, an expert analysis by Ukrainian strategic advisor Illya Sekirin, via Fronts.co: fronts.co/article/a-ru...
Russian Invasion of Latvia: A Terrifying Possibility
The threat of a Russian invasion of Latvia is a serious concern that should not be taken lightly. We must take immediate action to protect our sovereignty...
fronts.co
Veiko Spolitis@veikospolitis.bsky.social · 3mo ago"Canada-led brigade in Latvia #NATOMNBLatvia moves beyond tripwire role" #WeAreNATO www.defensenews.com/global/europ... via @defensenews.bsky.social
Global jihadism threatens Africa like no other region on earth. ACLED’s latest report explores how jihadist groups are expanding across the continent — controlling territory, targeting civilians, and disrupting infrastructure. Full details: acleddata.com/report/jihad...
Today on WarFronts: What would an invasion of South Korea actually look like? www.youtube.com/watch?v=pg4q...
This is the Blueprint for an Invasion of South Korea
YouTube video by WarFronts
youtube.com
Difficult to overstate the importance of this--but just one instance of recent Israeli expansion to regional bases. Israel maintains a light, but meaningful presence at several Emirati bases across the region, including on the territory of other MENA nations.
Sam Heller | سام هيلر@abujamajem.com · 3mo ago@nytimes.com’s Erika Solomon and Falih Hassan on how the U.S. exploited its security relationship with Iraq to enable Israel to occupy desert outposts and kill Iraqis: www.nytimes.com/2026/05/17/w...
