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Builders, policymakers, investors, and operators: this is your arena. Follow @Cogs0fWar to join the conversation on the future of defense innovation. warontherocks.com/category/ver...
Cogs of War
Our dedicated vertical on defense tech & industry, brought to you by an epic partnership between War on the Rocks & Booz Allen Hamilton. National security is inextricably linked to technological prowess, talent, and industrial capacity. We aim to leverage deep expertise and thought leadership to foster the most substantive, impactful conversation possible.
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Haiti has something in common with Mali, Somalia, and Yemen: decades of international intervention, mountains of activity reports, and outcomes that never matched the paperwork. warontherocks.com/beyond-the-o...
Beyond the Output Trap: Haiti and the Future of International Stabilization
Five years after the assassinations in Haiti of Monferrier Dorval, Diego Charles, and Antoinette Duclaire, justice remains elusive. Four years after the
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Trump conditioned the Saudi nuclear deal on something Saudi Arabia has spent three years refusing. warontherocks.com/why-trumps-i...
Why Trump’s Israel Normalization Demand May Kill the Saudi Nuclear Deal
Only days after the Trump administration celebrated what it called a landmark civilian nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia, the president himself appeared
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Today in War on the Rocks: Why Trump’s Israel Normalization Demand May Kill the Saudi Nuclear Deal Beyond the Output Trap: Haiti and the Future of International Stabilization warontherocks.com/
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A platform for analysis, commentary, debate and multimedia content on foreign policy and national security issues through a realist lens.
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War on the Rocks brings together the best minds in strategy and defense. Join us in shaping the conversation. warontherocks.com/membership/
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War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
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Washington now has a standing veto it can use every six years, plus a yearly pressure campaign it just switched on. Deficits explain neither of those. warontherocks.com/is-washingto...
Is Washington Rewriting the North American Trade Agreement Around China?
Washington has repeatedly used trade policy and U.S. market access over the past decade to advance broader economic security priorities with its trading
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Your regular intelligence briefing, but better. Sign up for a War on the Rocks membership and stay ahead of the curve. warontherocks.com/membership/
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War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
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Russia still fights wars the way it always has: Absorb the losses, throw more men forward, repeat. Ukraine's new commander in chief has to find a way to win against that. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/warc...
Saudi Arabia exports around 4.6 million barrels of oil a day. Close to 4 million of those go out through Yanbu on the Red Sea. That's the route the Houthis just started hitting. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/the-...
Protecting American frontier labs from theft is a national security interest. Protecting them from open-source competition is not. How can the U.S. government create a durable policy that distinguishes between the two? warontherocks.com/how-to-stop-...
How to Stop China from Freeriding on American AI
The release of the Chinese open-weight AI model Kimi K3 has compressed a year’s worth of unresolved AI policy debate into a single news cycle. On July 21,
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When everything about unconventional weapons is classified, the policy debate gets so abstract that almost any scenario sounds plausible. That has been the pattern for years. warontherocks.com/possible-is-...
Possible Is Not Plausible: How Nightmare Scenarios Hijack Unconventional Weapons Policy
Current conversations surrounding unconventional weapons — chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear — have become so fantastical as to be
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The most important outcomes in international security are often the ones nobody can observe. A new wargame design is trying to change that. warontherocks.com/can-cyber-op...
Can Cyber Operations Be Deterred? What Wargames Reveal
The most successful deterrent threats leave no evidence behind. No missiles fly. No networks go down. No troops cross borders. Nothing happens. For
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What did 17 African countries teach a Marine pilot about working in Tokyo? (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/mari...
A ship can fight off cheap drones for weeks. Then the magazines run dry and you pull into port to reload. Against a peer competitor, that math doesn't hold. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/sail...
The first waves of future amphibious assaults may arrive without a single human aboard. warontherocks.com/the-first-wa...
The First Waves of Amphibious Assault Will Be Unmanned
In the Pacific War, the U.S. Navy’s underwater demolition teams prepared the way for U.S. and allied amphibious landings on enemy-held islands. Through
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Mexico wrote militarized policing into its constitution in 2024. Is there still a path back to civilian-run public security, or did that window close? (Members Only) warontherocks.com/how-mexico-l...
How Mexico Locked In Its Militarized Police State
In 2021, Andrew Ivey wrote, “‘I Have Other Data’: The Guardia Nacional and the Entrenchment of Mexico’s Militarization’,” where he warned Mexico was
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For insider access to clear analysis from trusted voices, sign up for a War on the Rocks membership to unlock all our members-only content. warontherocks.com/membership/
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War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
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Each component of an extreme ultraviolet lithography machine is a world-class engineering feat on its own. That is not what keeps China from building one. warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/...
ASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in China
In June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached
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The U.S.-Saudi nuclear agreement heads to Congress. The precedents it could set will shape nuclear commerce for decades. warontherocks.com/parsing-trum...
Parsing Trump’s Decision to (Maybe) Give Uranium Enrichment to Saudi Arabia
On June 22, the United States announced that it had signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia. This type of agreement broadly authorizes
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Most experts are skeptical that cyber operations can be deterred. A wargame with over a thousand players offers new evidence. warontherocks.com/can-cyber-op...
Can Cyber Operations Be Deterred? What Wargames Reveal
The most successful deterrent threats leave no evidence behind. No missiles fly. No networks go down. No troops cross borders. Nothing happens. For
warontherocks.com
From sanctions to fraud statutes, Washington is working out how to punish Chinese AI labs for potential theft. warontherocks.com/how-to-stop-...
How to Stop China from Freeriding on American AI
The release of the Chinese open-weight AI model Kimi K3 has compressed a year’s worth of unresolved AI policy debate into a single news cycle. On July 21,
warontherocks.com
China has never test-fired an SLBM into open ocean before. On July 6, it did, and gave almost no warning. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
Unlock exclusive access to The Russia Contingency with Michael Kofman, Thinking the Unthinkable with Ankit Panda, and The Iran Reckoning with Afshon Ostovar — available only to War on the Rocks members. Join today. warontherocks.com/membership/
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War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
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Fusing AI company data with classified threat intelligence requires cleared personnel, secure facilities, and classified computing power. Almost none of that exists yet. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/the-...
If you’re working where defense meets innovation, @Cogs0fWar is for you. Follow our dedicated vertical on defense technology and industrial base issues for cutting-edge analysis. warontherocks.com/category/ver...
Cogs of War
Our dedicated vertical on defense tech & industry, brought to you by an epic partnership between War on the Rocks & Booz Allen Hamilton. National security is inextricably linked to technological prowess, talent, and industrial capacity. We aim to leverage deep expertise and thought leadership to foster the most substantive, impactful conversation possible.
warontherocks.com
For 20 years, the chemical-biological defense budget barely moved while every national security strategy warned louder about the threat. warontherocks.com/possible-is-...
Possible Is Not Plausible: How Nightmare Scenarios Hijack Unconventional Weapons Policy
Current conversations surrounding unconventional weapons — chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear — have become so fantastical as to be
warontherocks.com
The last time Saudi Arabia sent forces into Yemen, a quick campaign turned into seven years of war. That memory shapes every decision Riyadh makes now. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/warc...
Iran will read the U.S.-Saudi nuclear deal line by line and build its next negotiating position around the best parts. warontherocks.com/parsing-trum...
Parsing Trump’s Decision to (Maybe) Give Uranium Enrichment to Saudi Arabia
On June 22, the United States announced that it had signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia. This type of agreement broadly authorizes
warontherocks.com
Russia is playing a long game in Syria. The question is whether Washington is ready to play the long game too. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/unsp...