Willy

@willyhagi.bsky.social

Amazônida, meteorologista, climatologista, pythonista e flamenguista. Your friendly neighborhood meteorologist. 📍 Manaus, AM.

A diferença que um ano faz, né? Mês passado foi o Julho com menor quantidade de focos de calor no Bioma Amazônia desde 2001, foram quase 9300 focos A MENOS que Julho do ano passado. Os dados são do Programa Queimadas do INPE. 🗺️ Julho de 2025 / Julho de 2024

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Hoje é o dia das warming stripes e eu resolvi atualizar as de Manaus com os dados históricos do INMET. Cada faixa no gráfico representa um ano entre 1961 a 2024, sendo que as faixas em tons de vermelho são de anos com temperatura acima da média histórica e azul os de anos abaixo.

Warming Stripes de Manaus com os dados da estação meteorológica convencional do INMET.

Here's a figure from IPCC AR6 Summary for Policymakers showing the linear relationship between fucking around and finding out. Every tonne of CO₂ we add to the atmosphere makes things worse for us and all other living things.

A line graph illustrating the relationship between cumulative CO₂ emissions and global surface temperature increase. The title reads: “Every tonne of CO₂ emissions adds to global warming.” A subtitle states: “Global surface temperature increase since 1850–1900 (°C) as a function of cumulative CO₂ emissions (GtCO₂).”

Y-axis (vertical): Labeled “Find out” on the left side (as a humorous annotation), with the actual scale running from 0°C to 3°C, representing the temperature increase.

X-axis (horizontal): Labeled “Fuck around” at the bottom (as a humorous annotation), with a scale ranging from 0 to 4500 GtCO₂, indicating cumulative CO₂ emissions since 1850.

A black jagged line represents historical global warming data, rising steadily from near 0°C to about 1.1°C as cumulative emissions reach approximately 2500 GtCO₂.

The graph highlights a near-linear relationship between cumulative CO₂ emissions and global temperature increase, as stated in a text box within the plot area.

Five colored shaded regions (with corresponding trend lines) represent different future emission scenarios (until 2050):

SSP1-1.9 (light blue)

SSP1-2.6 (blue)

SSP2-4.5 (orange)

SSP3-7.0 (red-orange)

SSP5-8.5 (red)

These scenario pathways show increasing temperature outcomes with higher emissions, with SSP1-1.9 leading to the lowest warming and SSP5-8.5 to the highest.

The graph replaces conventional axis labels with the meme-inspired phrases “Fuck around” (X-axis) and “Find out” (Y-axis), emphasizing the consequence of emissions on global warming.

Não vai ser surpresa pra vocês, mas hoje é o dia mais quente do ano em Manaus antes do próximo dia mais quente do ano. A temperatura máxima chegou a 34,3 °C durante a tarde, com sensação térmica de 35 °C.

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