World Climate Service

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We assist Energy Meteorologists in enhancing the accuracy of their long-range forecasts while streamlining their workflow to save valuable time. https://www.worldclimateservice.com/

Quote from the US #natgas market: “Forecasts are for a warm Feb. BUT - of the seven >1000 GWHDD Januarys since 1990, all but one were followed by a colder than normal Feb" It's true: a warm Feb would be unusual after such a cold Jan. But subseasonal models are pointing that way

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From December 28, 2024 EC46 forecast - it's rare to see such a strong probability signal for unusual cold in the mid-latitudes at week 3. High (calibrated) probabilities require BOTH a strong ensemble signal and a good degree of model skill

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Niño3.4 SSTs have risen back to the 1991-2020 normal, thanks to recent strong westerly wind anomalies over the eastern equatorial Pacific. This is a pretty striking failure of the seasonal models, especially given their high skill scores for autumn-initialized ENSO forecasts.

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