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xG Post Facto

@xgpostfacto.bsky.social

Showing all the ways your MLS team was lucky/unlucky based on xG simulations. We ❤️ variability. Created By: https://x.com/MKinnison314 Explainer: https://tinyurl.com/xGPostFactoExplainer xPoints Table: https://tinyurl.com/xGPostFacto

363 Posts79 Follower 32 Folgt

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #RCTID played #MNUFC ? #PORvMIN ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #VWFC played #AllforCity ? #VANvSTL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #LAGalaxy played #NERevs ? #LAGvNER ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #RSL played #LAFC ? #RSLvLAFC ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #InterMiamiCF played #ATLUTD ? #MIAvATL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #Sounders played #RBNY ? #SEAvNYRB ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #DTID played #SportingKC ? #FCDvSKC ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #AustinFC played #Quakes74 ? #ATXvSJE ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #TFCLive played #CF97 ? #TORvCHI ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #OrlandoCity played #SanDiegoFC ? #ORLvSD ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #Crew96 played #Rapids96 ? #CLBvCOL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #ForTheCrown played #HolditDown ? #CLTvHOU ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · yesterday

What could've happened when #DOOP played #CFMTL ? #PHIvMTL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · 2d ago

Coming soon to an xGPostFacto near you...

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xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · 2d ago

What could've happened when #NYCFC played #EveryoneN ? #NYCvNSH ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

MD23 Power Rankings: Unluckiest By Percentile: 1. MTL - 4th - #CFMTL 2. CLB - 12th - #Crew96 3. VAN - 19th - #VWFC Unluckiest By Consequences: 1. MTL - 6 spots - #CFMTL 2. MIN - 4 spots - #MNUFC 3. CLB - 4 spots - #Crew96 xPts table is updated: tinyurl.com/xGPostFacto #MLS

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xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #AllforCity played #DTID ? #STLvFCD ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #Crew96 played #NERevs ? #CLBvNER ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #SanDiegoFC played #LAGalaxy ? #SDvLAG ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #RCTID played #AustinFC ? #PORvATX ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #Rapids96 played #RSL ? #COLvRSL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #SportingKC played #VWFC ? #SKCvVAN ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #EveryoneN played #AllforCincy ? #NSHvCIN ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #HolditDown played #Quakes74 ? #HOUvSJE ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #MNUFC played #OrlandoCity ? #MINvORL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #InterMiamiCF played #CFMTL ? #MIAvMTL ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #VamosUnited played #LAFC ? #DCUvLAFC ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #RBNY played #DOOP ? #NYRBvPHI ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #TFCLive played #NYCFC ? #TORvNYC ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost

xG Post Facto @xgpostfacto.bsky.social · last wk.

What could've happened when #ATLUTD played #ForTheCrown ? #ATLvCLT ~ #MLS

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on xGs

Post facto plot of win and goal probabilities based on PSxGs

Breakdown of how points were earned/lost