Remember Some Guys #17 He turned up fully formed, out of nowhere, already great. One skater, 11 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
xjawn
@xjawn.bsky.social
Hockey fan running the math on our orange menace and his chaotically mediocre team. xjawn.com
Remember Some Guys #16 One of four, and not the famous one. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #15 He did something rude to a goalie and the whole league got upset. One skater, 13 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #14 He keeps being the best player on bad teams. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
We recovered where blocked shots were actually taken from. Then our own xG model caught us twice - it learned to recognise the imputed coordinates and priced them differently. Both mistakes, and both fixes. https://xjawn.com/blog/blocked-shots-2 #NHL #hockey #analytics
28% of shot attempts never reach the net. Most xG models delete them - which quietly deletes part of every player's offense, and not at random. Why blocked shots belong, and the data problem that keeps them out. https://xjawn.com/blog/blocked-shots #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #13 Big, fast, and he only ever turned up when it counted. One skater, 15 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #12 Some divorces you never see coming. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #11 He makes it look like he isn't trying, because he isn't. One skater, 13 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Gray X: where the league says the shot happened. Green: where it actually happened. Blue: where our model guessed, without being shown the answer. https://xjawn.com/blog/blocked-shots-2 #NHL #hockey #analytics
Macklin Celebrini: 5 years, $94M, the league's highest-paid player. The sky's the limit for a 20-year-old — but our model says he's already there: +15.1 goals above replacement last season, 97th percentile, elite in every phase. https://xjawn.com/players/8484801 #SJSharks #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #10 He made a habit of ending things in overtime. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #9 The pick didn't work out, but the career did. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
A blocked shot was a real decision. The shooter read the same look and pulled the trigger — the puck just met a shin pad on the way. The case for keeping the quarter of all attempts that most xG models throw away. https://xjawn.com/blog/blocked-shots #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #8 For a stretch there, my god. One skater, 14 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
28% of all shot attempts never reach the net, and most xG models throw them away. The case for counting the shot that never arrived — why a block is an outcome, not a precondition, and the data problem that stops everyone else. https://xjawn.com/blog/blocked-shots #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #7 Small, foreign, and impossible to knock off the puck. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #6 You would not want him at your wedding. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #5 He turned up and immediately made it awkward for everybody else. One skater, 10 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Patrick Kane goes home: 2 years, $16M, through age 39. Our read: an 87th-percentile season at 37, three-quarters of it finishing - the skill that ages most gently. The bet is defensible. The risk is the birth certificate. https://xjawn.com/blog/believe-the-homecoming #Blackhawks #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #4 He outlasted almost everyone who was supposed to be better. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
The Flyers just made Jamie Drysdale their highest-paid D. His 2025-26: +0.10 GAA/60, 69th percentile - a real defensive step. The 3-year view: -0.10, 29th. Which one did Philly buy? What a single season is actually worth: https://xjawn.com/blog/believe-the-breakout #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #3 You have had this man on a fantasy team and forgotten by october. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Where does Trevor Zegras belong? Part 1: where he actually played. https://xjawn.com/blog/zegras-center-or-wing #Flyers #LetsGoFlyers #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #2 He grew up a few streets away from another guy that'll come up eventually. One skater, 13 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey
Remember Some Guys #1 i had to start with my prince. One skater, 16 seasons of career value, years redacted. Name him. 5 goal lights if you get it cold — every clue costs you. https://xjawn.com/daily #NHL #hockey