Yaroslav Trofimov

@yarotrof.bsky.social

Chief Foreign-Affairs Correspondent, The Wall Street Journal. 📕Author of No Country for Love, Our Enemies Will Vanish, Siege of Mecca and Faith at War 📕 Yarotrof.com

The math of the air war in Ukraine is simple. Yes, air defenses are needed but there will never be enough Patriots etc. The only way to stop Putin from bombarding Ukrainian cities is by helping Kyiv strike deep inside Russia, against the Russian defense-industrial base, air and missile installations

Ukraine gave up its nukes and got invaded. North Korea took advantage of American indecisiveness and is now invulnerable. Now, as Israel wages war on Iran, are we on the verge of a new nuclear age, with nukes becoming the only guarantee of sovereignty? www.wsj.com/world/nuclea...

Essay | Shifting World Order Threatens to Expand the Nuclear-Arms Club

Wars in Ukraine and Iran, and rising doubts about the reliability of the U.S., are making countries around the world wonder if having their own nukes is the key to survival.

wsj.com

I don’t think people appreciate enough the new asymmetry. Iran relies on the finite and fast dwindling stockpile of ballistic missiles. Israel now can bomb with a near-infinite magazine of JDAM and SPICE bombs, using F-15 and F-16 in addition to F-35s. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Israel Takes Control of Iran’s Skies—a Feat That Still Eludes Russia in Ukraine

The power mismatch in the Israel-Iran war shows the importance of air superiority.

wsj.com

Ukrainian officials dismiss as “Russian fake news” reports in Russian media that Russian and Ukrainian negotiators will meet for talks in Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul this morning. Zelensky is due to land in Ankara for talks with Erdogan soon.

Now that all attention is on possible peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in Turkey, here’s an excerpt from my book 📕Our Enemies Will Vanish📕 that explains what exactly went down the previous time the two sides met, in Istanbul in 2022. www.thetimes.com/life-style/a...

The inside story of Russia and Ukraine’s ‘peace’ talks

The month after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the two sides met for negotiations in a palace in Istanbul. The men in the room tell Yaroslav Trofimov what happened — and why an intervention from Boris ...

thetimes.com

The worst part? They didn’t even gain anything! It’s not like “I cheated my siblings out of their inheritance and now they hate me but at least I’m rich”. The US government has torched all trust and goodwill *for no clear benefit*! In fact it *hurts* their stated goal of taking on China.

Yaroslav Trofimov@yarotrof.bsky.social · last yr.

Stunning declines in favorable opinion of the United States among its closest allies since the election, with swings of 20% to 30% in major European nations, Japan, Korea and Australia. And most of this polling was done before Trump’s trade war! www.ipsos.com/en/americas-...

You hear a lot in the U.S. about how a dynamic and competitive America has left the decaying lazy Europe far behind in the 21st century. That is only true in nominal GDP terms, which reflect the overvalued $. The picture is completely different if you look at purchasing parity-adjusted statistics.

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