A band of rain at times heavy over SW areas at 8am gradually moves east (Halifax before noon; Sydney not til evening). Expect 25mm. Showers or drizzle persist after the rain; gradually improving in the north Tuesday then the south on Wednesday. Then a fine stretch thru the weekend.
Jim Abraham
@yhzweatherguy.bsky.social
Meteorologist. Started Canada’s hurricane research and forecast program. Past-President CMOS: https://www.cmos.ca/site/about/cmos?nav=sidebar Born 314ppm CO2; we're now 425ppm!
A line of downpours between Halifax and SJ this am will gradually dissipate. Otherwise just spotty showers. A band of rain at times heavy slowly crosses the S Maritimes on Monday. Showers linger Tuesday... just patchy drizzle Wednesday to end what has been a rather damp month.
@yhzweatherguy.bsky.social Where are the hurricanes? Well,they're out there.Just not in the Atlantic.Due to a strong Nino,Pacific is roaring.In this remarkable pic,we have(left to right)3 canes: cat 2 Nolo,south of Hawaii;major cane Odalys,1500 km WSW of Baja;cat FIVE Polo,500 km SW of S tip of Baja
Difficult to forecast the details. The overall patern has passing rain or drizzle largely over SW NS-NB today & Sunday. Otherwise the clouds are high & thin enough to see some sun. The rain likely more widespread Monday then tapers to showers/drizzle Tuesday and just spotty on Wednesday.
Mostly fine today with high cloud thickening over the southern Maritimes. Models in better agreement on the impacts from offshore low: rain/breezy most likely Saturday over SW NS; just showers/drizzle elsewhere S Maritimes on weekend. Showers more widespread Monday then gradually ease Tues-Wed.
Clear & cool as the sun rises.. then warms up with 20C likely inland NB; possible in NS & PEI. The models inconsistent with the forecast of an ocean storm to our SW on the weekend. The CDN model (attached) is the most pessimistic: breezy & damp late Friday into Tuesday over much of the region.
Sunshine continues for another few days. Frost becoming less likely later in the week... and 20's more likely tomorrow and perhaps Friday. The ocean storm still forecast to move along the eastern seaboard of USA. Rain & breezy east winds move into at least the southern Maritimes on the weekend.
@yhzweatherguy.bsky.social Hurricane Polo,in East Pacific,south of Mexican coast,becomes a monstrous category five hurricane,with 180 mph winds and a central pressure of 892 mb!Sub 900 mb pressures are almost unheard of! Fortunately,current forecasts have Polo staying offshore of Baja and California
Quite a bit of sunshine between now and Friday. Sun obscured at times by high cloud. Teens in the afternoons; single digits and inland frost overnight. A storm near Cape Cod late week threatens the south and west with rain and wind. TBD.
Light showers clear first over the SW to a sun cloud mix this aftn. Elsewhere spotty showers may linger (see pics). Tuesday to Thursday: expect lots of sunshine; teens during the day & single digits at night. A low pressure system develops near Cape Cod late week may spread rain & wind over the SW.
Fine today with high cloudiness. A few showers develop this evening N NB spreading over the southern Maritimes overnight. Meanwhile a band of rain may clip the Atlantic coast. Showers become spotty Monday afternoon with a few sunny breaks developing. Mostly sunshine Tuesday-Thursday.
Sunny, breezy & cool today. NW winds more gusty off the Gulf, with clouds & spotty showers (see sat pic). With clear skies & light winds tonight, frost is a threat in all but SW areas. Fine Sunday. Showers develop in N NB in the aftn, and spread across the region Sunday night; pulling out Monday.
Rain at times heavy mostly over Mainland NS this am tapers to showers this aftn with partial clearing in the west. A breezy cool Saturday. Sun-cloud mix xcp cloud lingering east in the NW wind off the Gulf; showers most likely Inverness. Fine Sunday; showers develop first in N NB. Showery Monday.
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Nice today with increasing high cloud. Rain over the southern Maritimes gradually tapers to showers from west to east Friday. Skies clear with breezy northwest wind & cooler temperatures Saturday (shower chances persist Inverness County). Expect a few rainfalls of 20mm, which we don't need :-)
Fine weather continues today and Thursday. Rain at times heavy moves in Thursday night and tapers to showers Friday. Breezy & chilly Saturday; sun-cloud mix west; spotty showers east. Mostly sunny with light winds Sunday.
A few nice days ahead... sunshine with high teens to low 20's. Low humidity, so expect more single digits inland tonight. Showers develop Thursday night then move out Friday as cooler breezy air moves in.
Heavy rain moves out of eastern areas this morning. I had 49mm in my gauge this morning; I expect quite a few spots along the Atlantic coast have 50mm totals.There will be sunny breaks or sun-cloud mix developing. Spotty showers more likely NB. Decent week ahead; main shower chances Thurs night.
Nice sunny start today; then increasing high cloudiness. A few showers late aftn or eve NB. Rain spreads across the southern Maritimes tonight and tapers to spotty showers Monday. 25-50mm most likely along shorelines NS & E PEI (see pic). Decent week ahaead; showers & wind most likely on Friday.
Some single digit temps early this am; esply in NB where Edmundston dropped to zero! Most places reach seasonably high teens to low 20's with sunshine this aftn. Cloud thickens first over NB on Sunday with late day rain. The rain spreads eastward Sunday night then moves out of NB & W NS Monday am.
Multi-model outlook into late September: looks like a manageable weather pattern. Looking forward to a fine weekend. Rather humid with rain late Sunday into Monday. Then fine with some showers later in the week. Temps cool off after the rain events; and will feel like Fall when Autumn arrives .
Rain at times heavy just moving into Halifax at 6:30am. The rain leaves NB and western NS this morning; ends in HFX and PEI near noon; and finally eastern NS during the afternoon. Skies clear and all but CB will have a chance to see some 20s this afternoon. A mostly fine weekend as well.
Quite a bit of sunshine today. Low clouds (a few sprinkles) in the east dissipate; high clouds in the west thicken up. Rain moves into NB overnight then spreads across PEI & NS Thursday morning. Rain tapers to showers then clearing in the west. Expect 15-25mm. This sets us up for a nice weekend.
A band of showers over S NB-PEI moves into NS this am. A few showers linger over eastern areas this aftn with sun-cloud mix elsewhere. Quite a bit of sun and high teens to low 20's Wed. A band of rain crosses the region early Thursday then tapers to showers. Looking forward to a nice weekend!
Showers or drizzle are weakening, but lingering over eastern areas today. Sunny breaks over the west. More showers re-develop Tuesday. Fine Wednesday. Then a band of rain at times heavy moves in Thursday (15-25mm?). Thank goodness it looks like a decent weekend Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
While no weather model is perfect, the High Resolution Canadian model was predicting the risk of 200+mm. The area of 100+mm was also pretty well forecast. This model will likely be the basis for the ECCC planned upcoming point forecast product.
Rain or drizzle persisting over all but extreme western areas today. Eases off with sun in the west Monday. The equivalent of 2-3 months of rainfall over parts of CB this weekend has resulted in extensive flash flooding (reminder, Canada still does not have a flash flood warning program!). Sigh.
Cape Breton Mesonet rainfall totals are quite remarkable this morning.... with at least another 50mm on the way. I expect there is a lot of flooding... do not drive onto water covered roads. sigh
Over 100mm yesterday parts of PEI & CB. Still heavy rain today, that's shifting westward into parts NB & W NS (see pics). I have a total of 66mm so far; expecting another 20mm today. The rain becomes more showery Sunday. Drizzle persists PEI & eastern NS Monday. A band of showers Tuesday. Fine Wed.