I was looking at the equatorial eastern Pacific subsurface ocean temperature using NOAA PMEL TAO array data. This can give you a sense of the heat sitting below the surface and be an indicator of the upcoming El Niño strength. Then I realized it’s now up to 10 deg warmer than normal. This is crazy 🫠
Yuxin Wang (she/her)
@yuxinwang.bsky.social
Postdoc at University of Hawaii Sea Level Center Climate variability | Ocean extremes | Sea level | Marine heatwaves 🌎
Yes that’s us! Check our latest ENSO forecast here 👉 uhslc.soest.hawaii.edu/research/ENS...
ENSO Forecast: Wyrtki-CSLIM
uhslc.soest.hawaii.edu
Researchers from University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa created a simple ocean-based model to predict El Niño and La Niña 15 months ahead using ocean surface temperature and height data. It achieves forecast skill similar to complex models. The current forecast predicts a strong El Niño later this year. 🌊