10F Consortium
@10fconsortium.bsky.social
Independent foresight collective. 20+ practitioners from 15 countries mapping how global systems are being intentionally rewired. Open-source forecasts on trade, tech, climate, migration, finance. CC-BY licensed. https://10fconsortium.org
In case you couldn't join us yesterday, @vaughn.bsky.social @changeist.bsky.social and Bernice Ang joined Jake Dunagan and IFTF to talk about the experience of building @10fconsortium.bsky.social. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pslu...
IFTF Foresight Talk: Building Open-Source Forecasts — The Foresight Work of the 10F Consortium
YouTube video by Institute for the Future (IFTF)
youtube.com
Ep 3 of 10F One to One is out. @linasrivastava.bsky.social and Igor Schwarzmann on who's actually unprepared for the next decade, the diff between monoculture and shared moments, and why the courage to be specific might be the thing that's missing. 🎧 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/ep-3-lina-...
Ep 3: Lina Srivastava and Igor Schwarzmann
What it means to work in community when the systems holding community together are failing.
10fconsortium.substack.com
Join us next month as we talk to @iftf.org about how we got here, what we did, and where we might go next. www.iftf.org/events/build...
IFTF - Building Open-Source Forecasts: The Transglobal, Transdisciplinary Foresight Work of the 10F Consortium
iftf.org
The US govt's ban on use of Anthropic's Claude Fable model by foreign nationals is sparking other shifts, including France switching its intel agency to a European rival of Palantir. Our F10 forecast looked at this shifting soverignty landscape. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... 10fconsortium.org
France’s spy agency replaces Palantir with local rival
Move is part of European drive to reduce dependence on US tech firms
giftarticle.ft.com
China signed up 26 institutions for cross-border digital yuan settlement. Not a bid to kill the dollar — a bid to make it optional in corridors it controls. www.reuters.com/world/asia-p... This is F09: money unbundled. 10fconsortium.org
China signs up 26 financial institutions to digital yuan cross-border payment platform
China's digital yuan operation centre signed direct participant agreements with 26 financial institutions in Shanghai on Tuesday, aiming to expand low-cost, efficient cross-border payments and advan...
reuters.com
Migration policy all around the world is hardening against people. For @10fconsortium.bsky.social, @changeist.bsky.social and I wrote about navigating the deterioration. (Thanks to @svaroschi.bsky.social for her piece on tech-based resistance, which helped orient us.) substack.com/home/post/p-...
What good are left vs right framings anymore? Ideological positions are increasingly temporary skirmish formations, with odd alignments becoming more frequent. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/the-wrong-...
The Wrong Map
What happens when the old political models fall apart
10fconsortium.substack.com
E2 of our 10F One to One podcast between practitioners just landed, feat. veteran sustainability strategist JD D'Cruz and @changeist.bsky.social talking about what's lost and gained during the present transition. Listen here or on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/ep-2-jd-dc...
Ep 2: JD D'Cruz and Scott Smith
Listen now | What it costs to let go of the frameworks you helped build
10fconsortium.substack.com
Most organisations make their assumptions explicit only under pressure. By then it's too late. New From → To: 90+ Singapore practitioners used the 10F forecasts to interrogate theirs. Plus a podcast, a signal, and work from the network. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/closing-th...
Closing the Assumption Gap
Asking which of your premises just stopped being true
10fconsortium.substack.com
Earlier this year, I co-wrote this forecast on the international downward spiral of global migration with the @10fconsortium.bsky.social. Dilley is the heir of a corrupted system and also potentially only the tip of the iceberg. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
F07: From Selective Migration to People as Asset Class — 10F Consortium
Migration systems shift from implicit selectivity to explicit human asset classification via algorithmic scoring that stratifies mobility by economic value rather than rights.
10fconsortium.org
The information environment isn’t becoming more legible. It’s fragmenting into tiers — and the tier most organisations, governments, and communities depend on is the one degrading fastest. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/operating-...
Operating in Statistical Darkness
From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity
10fconsortium.substack.com
This weekend we’re writing about how information opacity challenges democracies. Subscribe to receive it in your inbox on Sunday. 10fconsortium.substack.com
From → To | Substack
Independent foresight on the fragmentation of global systems. Built for practitioners, released open-access. Click to read 10F Consortium, a Substack with hundreds of subscribers.
10fconsortium.substack.com
You can also find our more about our new 10F Local Convening Kit, which allows anyone to pull a few forecasts, and run workshops with their team or organisation independently. Read the issue and download the Kit.
10F Consortium@10fconsortium.bsky.social · 5mo agoLatest issue of From → To just dropped. This week, we look at howturmoil in the global economy is accelerating a shift toward alternative forms and pathways for money. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/from-soft-...
Latest issue of From → To just dropped. This week, we look at howturmoil in the global economy is accelerating a shift toward alternative forms and pathways for money. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/from-soft-...
From Soft Power to Hard Bargaining
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled
10fconsortium.substack.com
The download counter keeps turning on our 10F Forecasts released last month. Let us know how the Forecasts are landing, which are close to your world, and how you are using them. www.linkedin.com/posts/10f-co...
Our 10F Forecasts and AREAS Framework have been out in the world for just over one month. Thousands of downloads later, we’re curious how they’re landing. If you’ve read some or all, downloaded… | ...
Our 10F Forecasts and AREAS Framework have been out in the world for just over one month. Thousands of downloads later, we’re curious how they’re landing. If you’ve read some or all, downloaded the...
linkedin.com
This week's Substack newsletter written by Prof Ariella Helfgott covers 10F Consortium's F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality open.substack.com/pub/10fconso... It brings some much needed clarity to the global moment we are in right now. @eroston.bsky.social @tracyalloway.bsky.social
Stuck Between Systems
From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality
open.substack.com
In the next issue of From → To we dive into F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality. It feels timely. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
The war-driven energy crunch might not have the same impact if there was a global shift toward renewables, but we're stuck in between two regimes—petrostates and electrostates. This week's newsletter looks at the costs of straddling two systems. 10fteam.substack.com
From → To | Substack
Independent foresight on the fragmentation of global systems. Built for practitioners, released open-access. Click to read 10F Consortium, a Substack with hundreds of subscribers.
10fteam.substack.com
The idea of a left-right spectrum is outdated, but media persists with it. in F02: From Poltical Spectrum to Ideological Fog, we analyze the shft from stable policy platforms to a shifting grab-bag of positions, and what that means. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind... www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Europe’s Far Left Is Having Its Moment
Economic frustration and political polarization are fueling support for unashamedly left-wing parties, especially among the young.
wsj.com
Europe’s move to decarbonize is fragmenting. www.ft.com/content/a6be... F05: From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
Europe’s impotence extends to energy
The political momentum behind decarbonising the continent’s energy system has dissipated
ft.com
Switzerland is voting on whether to constitutionally protect physical cash. When tangibility becomes a feature, not a limitation — that’s an F09 signal. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Switzerland’s Voters Are About to Put Cash in the Constitution
The Swiss may be about to reaffirm their fondness for cash with a vote that would give the francs in their wallets a place in the constitution.
bloomberg.com
An explainer about the AREAS Framework and how we use it to map global transformations, avoiding the usual proscribed categories. From @linasrivastava.bsky.social and @10fconsortium.bsky.social Subscribe today for ongoing analysis and sensemaking. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
Introducing the AREAS Framework
Watching What They Do
open.substack.com
Kraken just became one of the first crypto firms to gain access to Fed payment infrastructure — the core rails that underpin dollar-denominated settlement. www.reuters.com/legal/govern... This is F09 — From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled — in real time. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled — 10F Consortium
Money is mutating—its three functions are unbundling into a profusion of rarely interoperable money things , of which the dollar is only one of many— requiring organisations to use and support a mult...
10fconsortium.org
Our latest From → To is out. This issue focuses on the AREAS Framework 10F developed as a lens to understand positional power in the current global transition. Like the forecasts, AREAS is open access. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
Introducing the AREAS Framework
Watching What They Do
open.substack.com
