Cancel culture has taken over social media... or has it? In a new paper, Randy T. Lee, Jabin Binnendyk, @gordpennycook.bsky.social, Ovul Sezer, and I found that people overestimate support for "cancellation": doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Aaron Lob
@aaronlob.bsky.social
PhD student at CBDR, University of Zurich: https://cbdr-lab.net/lob. Interested in decision making, uncertainty, modeling, and EMA.
1/7 When does our disagreement with politicians start? 🤨 In our new preprint with @bnbakker.bsky.social, @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & Joe Bathelt, we find that incongruence may be rooted in preconscious perception, emerging at 150ms, well before conscious evaluation: osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
How do people search for information to make efficient decisions? Our new theory, now out in Psychological Review, suggests that an efficient search rule is (at the core of) the answer. And eye-tracking data support our theory. Check out here (it's open access): psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...
APA PsycNet
psycnet.apa.org
@philippmusfeld.bsky.social , @joschadutli.bsky.social, @koberauer.bsky.social and I wrote up the result of three years of in lab discussions on setting priors in GLMs. Hope some of you find the proposed workflow and our recommendations helpful! #bayes #glm #brms #rstats
How to Set Priors for Hypothesis Testing in Generalized Linear Models: A Three-Step Workflow with an Application to Binomial Models: https://osf.io/q7byw
Check out this research lead by Olivia Fischer and @renatofrey.mstdn.science.ap.brid.gy with cool insights into risky choices people face in real life!
Which risky choices should (and do) we study as behavioral scientists? In two related articles, we recently examined the current "ecology of risk" (i.e., laypersons' reports on what risky choices they face in real life) and how these choices differ from those […] [Original post on mstdn.science]
My first PhD paper is out 🎉🐣 We examined transactions between Big Five traits and first sexual intercourse across up to 10 years and ~5,000 German adolescents. Extraversion stood out 🔄🧠 Agreeableness + openness showed interesting patterns as well Check them out here: doi.org/10.1177/0890...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
Excited to share a new preprint with @bnbakker.bsky.social, @ylelkes.bsky.social & @gijsschumacher.bsky.social! doi.org/10.31234/osf... Affective polarization research focuses almost exclusively on valence, despite affect having at least two core dimensions. We show that emotional arousal matters!
OSF
doi.org
🚨New paper altert🚨 As a synthesis of my PhD research, we revisited the prevailing assumption about the mechanisms underlying repetition learning, and re-evaluated these assumption in light of recent findings. Now out in Perspectives on Psychological Science: doi.org/10.1177/1745...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
Very excited to share our preprint (in press at Psychological Science) titled "Associations between meat consumption and depression are small and unlikely to be causal". Have a read: lnkd.in/eM8Cd6Ss @mdkraemer.bsky.social @peterhaehner.bsky.social @wiebkeb.bsky.social @chopwood.bsky.social
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
New article in Cognitive Psychology with @thorstenpachur.bsky.social and Veronika Zilker: “How sampling strategies shape experience-based risky choice.” We present a computational framework for information search and choice in decisions from experience. 1/4 doi.org/10.1016/j.co...
The first preprint from the SHARE study is out! 🥳 We compared the effects of three different incentives (a bulk payment, a bulk payment with personalized feedback, and payment per beep) on data quantity, data quality, and participant experiences in a student sample.
The effect of incentive type on data quality and quantity in an experience sampling study in a student population: https://osf.io/pc924
We built the openESM database: ▶️60 openly available experience sampling datasets (16K+ participants, 740K+ obs.) in one place ▶️Harmonized (meta-)data, fully open-source software ▶️Filter & search all data, simply download via R/Python Find out more: 🌐 openesmdata.org 📝 doi.org/10.31234/osf...
🚨 New preprint: What does the research landscape of behavioral reinforcement learning look like 🌍? We developed an LLM-powered bibliometric analysis to characterize article clusters, investigate their connections, and examine the distribution of topics across the landscape. osf.io/6c2va_v1
OSF
osf.io
#StrangersInTheDark Across five studies we looked at whether people assume strangers have similar levels of #DarkFactor. Plus we looked at some interesting moderators #sex #attraction. Check it out in #JDM. doi.org/10.1017/jdm.... #AssumedSimilarity #PersonPerception #Personality
Strangers in the dark: assumed similarity in judgments of unknown others on aversive personality | Judgment and Decision Making | Cambridge Core
Strangers in the dark: assumed similarity in judgments of unknown others on aversive personality - Volume 20
doi.org
These days, everyone is talking about #polarization. But how best to measure it? Olivia Fischer and I have a new paper that empirically compares various operationalizations of polarization (e.g., on people's risk perceptions), including a shiny app to simulate […] [Original post on mstdn.science]
For all who use Bayesian hierarchical models, have a look at our new preprint, out now together with @linushof.bsky.social @nunobusch.bsky.social and @thorstenpachur.bsky.social osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
A huge thanks to all participants, my fellow workshop co-organizers @gidon-frischkorn.bsky.social and @ruhibhanap.bsky.social, and #ESCOP2025 for hosting our workshop introducing cognitive measurement models with the #bmm R package (venpopov.github.io/bmm/) - it was such a rewarding experience!
1/7 First paper of my dissertation now out in EJPR with @bnbakker.bsky.social & @gijsschumacher.bsky.social Can we measure affective polarization in systems with 6, 10, or even more parties without overburdening respondents or compromising validity? We show how. Paper: doi.org/10.1111/1475...
Establishing the construct and predictive validity of brief measures of affective polarization
Measuring affective polarization, defined as the liking for one's political ingroup and the dislike for political outgroups, poses methodological challenges in multiparty systems: evaluations of seve...
doi.org
New preprint out on the link between gratitude and wellbeing: who benefits most and under what circumstances? Across four studies with 220,314 individuals from 67 countries, we investigated whether individual, contextual, or cultural differences moderated this relationship. osf.io/preprints/ps...
The first preprint from my PhD is out: osf.io/preprints/ps...! 🥳 We explored the temporal dynamics of four careless responding indicators (response time, within-beep standard deviation, an inconsistency index, occasion-person correlation) in ESM data across different samples. Thread below🧵
OSF
osf.io
🥁 Exciting news: Our new article on repeated risky choices is out now! How do children and adults make repeated choices when they learn about probabilities from description (i.e., graphical representation)? Not as expected! 👀 Full text: mpib.berlin/PUMtN 1/n
Do children match described probabilities? The sampling hypothesis applied to repeated risky choice
One way in which children can learn about probabilities of different outcomes before making a decision is from description, for instance, by observing…
mpib.berlin
Congratulations to Maué Pantoja (https://cbdr-lab.net/pantoja/) for the 2nd place of the student poster award (Society for Judgment & Decision Making #SJDM / New York) 🚀🚀 🚀 #CBDR
Exciting news from cbdr-lab.net: Olivia Fischer presented her recent project aimed at better understanding to what extent the risky choices behavioral scientists study reflect the choices people actually make in real life - and if not, to what extent it matters. #psynom2024 @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social
We won the IgNobel Prize in Probability for 350,757 coin flips. František Bartoš and EJ Wagenmakers received the prize yesterday on behalf the 50-author team. Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started on (probability = 50.8%). 🧪 #StatsSky #PsychSciSky More info below. 👇