Aine Seitz McCarthy

@ainesmccarthy.bsky.social

Economist | Assoc prof at Lewis & Clark | Poverty, health, education, and fertility | Outdoor enthusiast | Aine = “ Ahn - ya “

67% of Gen Z are struggling to afford their housing costs according to a recent Redfin report. 🏠📉 Between high rents, and a weak labor market, the struggle is real. Rents are coming down in the places that built the most during the pandemic: the solution is to build housing! 🏗️

Some of the stories in here are absolutely chilling. One US citizen of Somali descent was just riding an elevator with ICE agents and then they detained him for almost half an hour in the freezing cold despite him showing agents his passport card. They only let him go once protestors showed up.

Defendants’ Unlawful Detention of Ali Dahir 49. Ali Dahir is a U.S. citizen of Somali descent who has lived in the United States since 2001. He currently resides near Karmel Mall, in a neighborhood with a large Somali American population in Minneapolis. On December 2, 2025, Mr. Dahir was leaving his apartment when he observed uniformed officers wearing vests and masks knocking on doors in his building. Mr. Dahir was detained after sharing an elevator in his building—a building primarily housing residents of Somali and Latino descent—with the ICE agents. Mr. Dahir did not speak to or otherwise engage with the agents while in the elevator. When Mr. Dahir exited the elevator and walked outside, the agents followed him,
called him over, and stopped him, saying that they needed to speak with him. 50. The agents took a picture of Mr. Dahir’s face with their phone and asked him for his identification. Mr. Dahir provided them with his Minnesota driver’s license. They asked Mr. Dahir if he was a U.S. citizen, and when he responded that he was, they demanded proof. Mr. Dahir provided his passport card, but the agents still did not let him leave. Instead, they took his driver’s license and passport card to their car. Mr. Dahir asked if he was free to go, but an officer said no because they were waiting for more information from their headquarters. The agents kept Mr. Dahir outside for at least 25 minutes in weather at or below 19 degrees Fahrenheit. When Mr. Dahir asked if he could leave to go to work, the agents told him he was not free to leave and threatened him with detention. 51. The agents also held a friend of Mr. Dahir’s. The ICE agents prevented Mr. Dahir and his friend from leaving until media and other people from the neighborhood started to gather, at which point one of the ICE agents stated, “It’s getting hot over here, let’s go, let’s go.”
Kyle Cheney@kyledcheney.bsky.social · 7mo ago

JUST IN: New ACLU class action lawsuit in Minnesota seeks to bar ICE from stopping Latino and Somali residents without probable cause. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

I argue in this piece that the nonprofit sector should be thinking more about the counterfactual when assessing fundraising success: winning a $2M competitive bid over capable peers advances the cause less than convincing someone to donate $1M they'd have spent on a yacht.

The Case for Counterfactual Thinking in Nonprofit Fundraising

When a nonprofit wins a major government contract or foundation grant, it’s cause for celebration. These wins reflect hard work and organizational strength. Yet beneath the success lies a subtle, ofte...

cgdev.org

Ok, this is actually a great point from Kristina Murkett in the @thespectator1828.bsky.social : “We have removed the... community networks that make parenting more manageable, and no subsidy can compensate for these huge social and cultural changes" www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-...

How Trump could reverse America's baby bust

Government interventions do not work because they do not compensate for the opportunity cost of having children.

spectator.co.uk

The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems. We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵

A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."

Econ job market candidate intros. Candidates, communicate: 1) your name, program, & fields, 2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text, 3) #EconJMP, & 4) a link to your website. Employers, browse & interact respectfully. Everyone else, shhhh. 📉📈