Davud Rostam-Afschar

@almostsurely.bsky.social

Prof. @ Uni Mannheim https://rostam-afschar.de

Excellent workshop, great discussions, and a fantastic venue! I presented new work (in progress) with Eckhard Janeba, Felix Köhler and Paul Steger on what the city of Mainz did with its excess tax revenue of 3.3 billion € or about 12,600 per capita due to the breakthrough of its superstar firm.

USI Institute of Economics (IdEP)@usiidep.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Chair: Mario Jametti @usiidep.bsky.social Speakers: @mariusbrulhart.bsky.social @heclausanne.bsky.social @lea-fri.bsky.social @unisg.ch @almostsurely.bsky.social @econunimannheim.bsky.social 2/3

State of the tech job market halfway through 2025? Still stagnant, still not much better than the last 2.5 yrs. Tech employment has dropped modestly from its Dec 2022 peak, falling 1.9%, or 76,000 jobs, with no improvement in 2025, despite the hype around AI + data center investment. 1/

Bar chart of month over month change payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. In H1 2025, 2,000 jobs were lost on average monthly. This is a continuation of stagnation/modest job losses in tech started at the beginning of 2023.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.Line chart of payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. Tech employment is down 1.9% from the December 2022 peak or 76,000 fewer jobs.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.

Unternehmer in Deutschland sind zwar skeptisch und unzufrieden, aber die positiven Erwartungen auf das kurz- und mittelfristige Wirtschaftswachstum drücken doch einen gesunden Optimismus aus. Oder bin ich zu pessimistisch? Mehr Einschätzungen 👇

Accounting for Transparency@trr266.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Alle Details im neuesten GBP-Monitor und in der Pressemitteilung: www.accounting-for-transparency.de/news/gbp-umf... #Wirtschaftspolitik #Handelskonflikt #MerzRegierung

Zölle sind immer noch aktuell...und aus US Sicht ist die Handelspolitik eher systematisch als erratisch.

Accounting for Transparency@trr266.bsky.social · last yr.

Im ARD-Magazin Plusminus spricht TRR 266-Mitglied @almostsurely.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) über Trumps US-Zollpolitik & den sinkenden Dollar-Kurs. Sein Punkt: Die erratische Handelspolitik untergräbt das Vertrauen in den Dollar – mit spürbaren Folgen. 🔗 Beitrag: www.ardmediathek.de/video/plusmi...

What is behind tax elasticities? Often we think firms move when taxes increase. Asked directly, they indeed complain but experimental evidence shows they will not act. Instead tax cuts attract investments. Tax policy works like a ratchet due to home bias: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

Local Policy Misperceptions and Investment: Experimental Evidence from Firm Decision Makers

We study firm responses to local policies through a survey experiment, providing randomized information on the competitiveness of business tax rates and highway

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New working paper "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data" with Lukas Hack We construct survey-based daily time series on 🔹 sales prices 🔹 dividends 🔹 fixed cost 🔹 R&D investments 🔹 firm survival 🔹 revenue 🔹 investment 🔹 policy satisfaction 🔹 profit 🔹 employment

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