Very interesting times in Uk politics! One thing that I struggle with, is how the Burnham result can be used as indicative of party results under him, when he was effectively also running against core aspects of Labour itself? Surely this particular coalition must be hard to replicate as incumbent?
Amund Vik
@amundvik.bsky.social
Energy policy, campaigns, elections and geopolitics. https://open.substack.com/pub/amundvik Eurasiagroup | Data Sciences
Kuwaiti supertanker ‘Al Salmi’ was hit by #Iran, sitting fully laden offshore Dubai. No one was hurt and no #oil spilt. The incident confirms worries Iran would target the dozens of tankers sitting in the Gulf (most of them full of oil and chemicals), not just vessels exiting the #StraitOfHormuz
Må si jeg er overrasket over at de som er primus motor for Stadt skipstunnel enda ikke har kjent sin besøkelsestid i gulfen. Skulle tro betalingsvilligheten for skipstunnel er vel så stor i Hormuz nå som på Vestlandet.
davos wasn’t about trump’s speech. it was about allies concluding they can’t rely on the united states anymore. that’s not anti-american. it’s strategic reality. @gzeromedia.com
Has the US-led world order ended? | ask ian
YouTube video by GZERO Media
youtube.com
Would be fun to show this to someone in 2015, and ask them to describe a sequence of events that could bring about this world.
#Europe's #energy remains costly because of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine. Yet it's worth aknowledging how much has been achieved since the start of this war in early 2022. #Power & #gas prices have dropped substaantially. #Reneswables have expanded, #fossilfuel use has declined. That's progress.
Check out Eurasia Group's #TopRisks2026 out just now. Risk #2: Overpowered is related to #energy and regards #electrification: #China has mastered it. The #US is ceding it. That will become impossible to ignore, globally. You can download the full report here: www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/Top-R...
Ny spalte i @altinget.bsky.social i dag! www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...
Stortinget peker i alle retninger i energi- og industripolitikken - Altinget
Budsjettforhandlingene viser stort sprik mellom budsjettpartnerne i energi- og klimapolitikken, men splittelsen i Stortinget gjelder på begge sider i politikken. Mens forhandlingene pågikk holdt Stort...
altinget.no
Natural gas is no longer expensive in Europe. That should also soon feed into lower wholesale electricity prices. See below a few details from my briefings. Let me know if you'd like to receive it.
New piece out now! Looking at political capital and how it is influenced by spcial media and hyper active news cycles open.substack.com/pub/amundvik...
A Theory of Political capital
A key question for private sector leaders is why the quality of political decision-making seems to be declining.
open.substack.com
#EU #coal prices have plunged to around $90/t, the lowest level since May'21 amid a shift to #cleanpower & #renewables. Coal's power share in the EU has plunged from 40% in 1985 to just over 10%. It'll take some time to feed through, but lower fuel import reliance will bring down power costs too.
The combination of high inflation, low growth and relatively feeble centrist political response has been devastating for politics in many places. Cause for optimism with Carneys win in Canada and Jonas in Norway though.
#Inflation has been a populist enabler in rich countries. It's outpaced #GDP growth for years, so most people have become poorer. It's toxic, esp since the super-rich get richer from equity booms/tax breaks. Gvts must urgently get growth over inflation to prevent a further rise of anger politics.
#Oil intensity is falling in big economies (incl #China). It explains why oil demand growth is flatlining. Though there's a big outlier in #SouthKorea, which has taken on petrochemical/refining capacity as others have cut back, overal oil intensity has been declining for 20 years in big economies.
Ny pod ute nå med @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social! Spennende valg i Bolivia og Moldova. podcasts.apple.com/no/podcast/p...
Bolivia! Moldova!
Podkastepisode · PoliTickr · 04.09.2025 · 39 min
podcasts.apple.com
Very likely. Trying desperately to make him stop believing it when it gets out of hand will probably be much harder.
a man with long hair is standing in front of a sign that says his cells
ALT: a man with long hair is standing in front of a sign that says his cells
media.tenor.com
i feel like you could convince rfk jr that midichlorians are real
Americans with no access to healthcare and social safety net must look at this news with some bewilderment about the nations priorities.
EU #gas stocks will be 90% full by 1 Nov - assuming similar daily injections btw 1Jul-1Aug & btw 1Jun-1Jul and then half current avg daily injection btw 1 Sep-1 Nov. That would support EU move to allow loosening of pre-winter storage mandates and instead let normal market conditions ensure supply.
‼️ First official exit polls from 🇵🇱 presidential election Rafal Trzaskowski (Tusk's candidate, PO): 50.3% Karol Nawrocki (Law and Justice, PiS): 49.7%
This is a timely piece by the @financialtimes.com editorial board. If centrist governments do not deliver, it will be very hard to stop the rise of the far right. And «Moderate parties need bolder policymaking, visible delivery and more compelling personalities to counter them.» on.ft.com/44VsvHq
Europe’s far right is hammering at the door of power
Moderate parties are running out of time to find ways to satisfy voters’ concerns
on.ft.com
Rolig helg? Trenger noe å lytte til? Hør meg og @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social diskutere valgene i Romania, Albania, Portugal og Polen i denne podcasten!
Vil høyrepopulistene vinne presidentvalg i Polen 1.juni? Hva var dramatikken valgkvelden i Romania? Hvordan gikk det 3 valget på 3 år i Portugal? Og hva var dynamikken i valget i Albania? Finn ut ved høre på podkast! open.spotify.com/episode/6xNZ...
The internet is a strange and fun place. I’m having a coffee and reading what at first glance appears to be two dogs discussing a tv show. @abbeythelab.bsky.social