Andrew Morral
@andrewmorral.bsky.social
Greenwald Chair in Gun Policy at RAND. Director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research: https://www.ncgvr.org Co-Director of RAND’s Gun Policy In America initiative: https://www.rand.org/research/gun-policy.html.
Reminder that the nomination period for the $5,000 Greenwald Family Award for Firearm Violence and Injury Prevention Research Excellence closes in one month. Peer-reviewed papers published within the past two years are eligible for this prize. lnkd.in/dWe9qZaa
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
The 2026 Greenwald Family Award is now accepting nominations of research papers that have most advanced understanding the nature, causes or prevention of firearm violence or other harms. Nomination instructions for this annual $5000 prize are here: www.firearmresearchsociety.org/2026-greenwa...
Greenwald Family Award — Research Society for the Prevention of Firearm-Related Harms
firearmresearchsociety.org
So damaging to our scientific organizations and young scientists trying to get started in this environment.
I am one of those early career researchers (described at the end of this piece) whose work has been possible because of these projects. I’m grateful for the risk folks took to prioritize such investments. This is a huge loss.💔
Andrew Morral@andrewmorral.bsky.social · 6mo agoThese projects have been immensely important to me, and I'm sorry to see them come to an end. But so long as gun violence remains a leading cause of death and grief in this country RAND will work to bring evidence and policy solutions to address it. www.thetrace.org/2026/02/rand...
These projects have been immensely important to me, and I'm sorry to see them come to an end. But so long as gun violence remains a leading cause of death and grief in this country RAND will work to bring evidence and policy solutions to address it. www.thetrace.org/2026/02/rand...
RAND Is Sunsetting Its Gun Violence Research Initiatives Amid Trump’s Cuts
Experts lamented the think tank's closures as a loss for policymakers, advocates, and researchers who have relied on the data to prevent shootings.
thetrace.org
Huge state differences in suicide/homicide rates are often explained away by, for instance, economic conditions, demographics, firearm ownership rates, political lean, etc. How plausible are those claims, and what portion of state mortality rates cannot be so explained? [1/2]
An excellent review of our Science of Gun Policy report released last week by Gina Napoletano. www.wearethemighty.com/military-new...
What 30 years of US gun policy research actually reveals
30 years of research suggest only a small number of gun laws show consistent, measurable effects, according to a new RAND analysis.
wearethemighty.com
We just released our last scheduled update to The Science of Gun Policy, our review of the evidence on the effects of gun laws. {thread} www.rand.org/research/gun...
Informing the Gun Policy Debate
New resources from RAND's decade-long Gun Policy in America initiative include a visualization tool that allows users to explore how state-level firearm mortality rates relate to a range of social and...
rand.org
I just found this cookbook in a little free library. Boy have things changed in the past 85 years.
The CDC Injury Center faces cuts in FY 2026. Senate bill = full funding. House bill = elimination of ICRCs + firearm violence prevention. Your voice matters—urge your Rep to support Senate funding! Read more + act now: buff.ly/Lh7Npll #InjuryPrevention #PublicHealth
Thank you Andrew! Very honored! We really enjoyed putting this paper together and are very pleased by the response it has gotten. Huge thanks also to the NCGVR for the funding for the fifth wave that made this and other recent work possible.
Very honored by this; thank you Andrew! Wish I could have made it to the conference this year to celebrate! Also, important to note this research was made possible with funding from the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research for the PHDCN's fifth wave.
Andrew Morral@andrewmorral.bsky.social · 8mo agoI also want to congratulate @clanfear.bsky.social, David Kirk and Rob Sampson, whose paper “Dual pathways of concealed gun carrying and use from adolescence to adulthood over a 25-year era of change” was one of two selected for honorable mention by the 2025 Greenwald Award Independent Review Panel!
I also want to congratulate @clanfear.bsky.social, David Kirk and Rob Sampson, whose paper “Dual pathways of concealed gun carrying and use from adolescence to adulthood over a 25-year era of change” was one of two selected for honorable mention by the 2025 Greenwald Award Independent Review Panel!
Congratulations to John J. Donohue and colleagues, whose paper, “Why do right to carry laws increase violence? Effects on gun theft and clearance rates,” was one of two selected for honorable mention by the 2025 Greenwald Award Independent Review Panel! sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Why do right to carry laws increase violence? Effects on gun theft and clearance rates
Since the 1970s most state restrictions on carrying handguns in public have been eased or eliminated. Several of the early impact evaluations of these…
sciencedirect.com
Here is the Independent Review Panel's full commendation for this award-winning paper:
Andrew Morral@andrewmorral.bsky.social · 8mo agoCongratulations to @rsbeidas.bsky.social and her team for winning the $5000 Greenwald Award for research on firearm violence prevention for their paper, "Implementation of a Secure Firearm Storage Program in Pediatric Primary Care: A Cluster Randomized Trial"! static1.squarespace.com/static/63924...
Congratulations to @rsbeidas.bsky.social and her team for winning the $5000 Greenwald Award for research on firearm violence prevention for their paper, "Implementation of a Secure Firearm Storage Program in Pediatric Primary Care: A Cluster Randomized Trial"! static1.squarespace.com/static/63924...
static1.squarespace.com
Interesting WSJ analysis of NIBRS data finds justifiable homicides rising more rapidly than total homicides in Stand-Your-Ground states, and faster than it is rising in non-SYG states. The intended effect of SYG!, but they note some real problems with application of these laws.
Six Words Every Killer Should Know: ‘I Feared for My Life, Officer’
The number of legally sanctioned homicides has grown substantially in states with expanded self-defense rights under stand-your-ground laws.
wsj.com
Am I squinting too hard, or is there more structure to these trends than explained by COVID? In three of these series something happens around 2015, as well as peaking in 2021. Do you work with other series that look like this? Any grand theories?
New Mexico AG Torrez: One of the biggest issues we face is gun violence. We haven’t seen any surge of federal law enforcement agencies dedicated to helping us reduce gun violence. What we’ve seen instead is a lot of the performative stuff — DHS going down to paint the wall to make it hotter.
These are undoubtedly underestimates. Without mandatory reporting of lost/stolen guns (in most states) how many private citizens never report a loss, or even a theft?
Andrew Morral@andrewmorral.bsky.social · 11mo agoPer a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen: - 188,560 from private citizens - 9,479 lost by gun dealers - 5,755 stolen from gun dealers - 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping More than 1M between 2019-2023
It’s time to take serious action at the State Capitol to address gun violence.
Gun owners, lock up your guns. I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
Andrew Morral@andrewmorral.bsky.social · 11mo agoPer a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen: - 188,560 from private citizens - 9,479 lost by gun dealers - 5,755 stolen from gun dealers - 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping More than 1M between 2019-2023
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen: - 188,560 from private citizens - 9,479 lost by gun dealers - 5,755 stolen from gun dealers - 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping More than 1M between 2019-2023
The Trump administration is moving to slash the Centers for Disease and Control Prevention. Here’s what’s at stake. thetr.ac/MGM94
Firing the BLS Commissioner — the wonk in charge of the statisticians who track economic reality — is an authoritarian four alarm fire. It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
