One of my empirical-work econ takes is that I think academia should be *more* open to publishing work based on best-we-can-do weak data, as long as there's really no other way to address the question and that work is very clear about what it can and can't actually say.
Charles C. Lanfear
@clanfear.bsky.social
Associate Professor, Institute of Criminology, University of Cambridge Social control, crime, quant methods, R coding clanfear.github.io
We remember Professor Andrew von Hirsch, whose work shaped thinking on punishment, justice and criminal responsibility. A valued member of the Institute of Criminology and the Faculty of Law, he leaves an enduring legacy in his ideas, teaching and generosity. www.crim.cam.ac.uk/news/andreas...
📄 New paper in PNAS! Using data from ~40,000 Norwegian trios, we extend evocative gene–environment correlation to family demography. Accounting for parental PGIs, most traits showed no associations, but children's ADHD PGI predicted parental separation. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
pnas.org
New paper out now 🥳 When psychologists discuss generalisability, they often refer to vague notions of representativeness. We provide an accessible intro to the total survey error framework as a tool to reason about this more rigorously. w @taymalsalti.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci >
Interesting criminologically relevant work theorizing and empirically examining state vs. crime group control of territory in Latin American cities. Politics work like this (and work on social order broadly) is underappreciated in modern criminology's social ecology and control subfield.
Great to see good work recognised! Daniel Barker Flores wins the American Political Science Association’s (APSA) Gabriel Almond Award for the best dissertation in the field of comparative politics! 👇👇 www.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/dpir-al...
💡🚨 We’re seeking a Postdoc for a project on the socio-economic factors driving youth hacking & cybercrime! We’re looking for someone with a strong mixed-methods background in cybercrime, criminology, sociology, education or related fields. Apply ➡️ my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
Have a little editorial on a recent field experiment by MacDonald and crew on street cleanings to reduce gun violence that had (predictably) null results. Here I argue for more analytical and mechanistic theory in interventions against crime and violence. ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/...
Now at JDLCC: @oliveiratr.bsky.social and I's accessible (but opinionated) guidance on testing theories with reciprocal effects using panel models. We argue for centering theory, making sure your data can answer your question, and defaulting to robust estimators. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Very unfortunate. Much of the work I've done with my colleagues and mentors over the last few years was based on data collected using NCGVR funding.
The RAND Corporation is sunsetting two major gun violence research initiatives as funding has shrunk under the Trump administration. Experts lamented the closures as a significant loss for policymakers, advocates, and researchers who have relied on the think tank’s work to prevent shootings.
📢 Nominations are open for the 2026 Open Criminology Award! Recognising outstanding contributions. 🆕 New for 2026: 🏆 ECR Award (€1,500) 🏆 Established Researcher Award (€2,000)* 📅 Deadline: 16 July 2026 🔗 esc-enoc.github.io/open-crim-aw... #OpenCriminology #OpenScience *Subject to final agreement.
Open Criminology Award – European Network for Open Criminology
This document describes the terms of reference of the Open Criminology Awards of the European Network for Open Criminology (ENOC)
esc-enoc.github.io
A journal article has finally pushed me over the threshold of writing comments in all caps. Utter exasperation.
New preprint! Manuel Eisner and I argue that we need to take the specification of time more seriously in criminological research! We offer an overview of concepts of time, specifying temporal processes and effects, and how to improve our empirical knowledge. 👇👇 osf.io/preprints/so...
OSF
osf.io
It took a dozen German airport security staff only 20 minutes to crack the case of my one man shoe tree smuggling operation.
They're looking for people with strong quant skills (psych/sociology/related fields) to work on subjective well-being across the lifecourse at Uni Lausanne! 1 PhD position + 1 Postdoc position career5.successfactors.eu/career?caree... career5.successfactors.eu/career?caree...
Opportunités de carrière : PhD Position in Subjective Well-Being Across the Life Course (22762)
career5.successfactors.eu
I’m teaching a longitudinal data analysis course at the @methodsmcr.bsky.social Summer School this summer. Reach out if you’re interested
💬 “An amazing opportunity to learn from a leading expert” (Attendee, 2025) Our Longitudinal Data Analysis Summer Course gives you the chance to build hands-on skills in working with longitudinal data, guided by expert @oliveiratr.bsky.social 🔗 More info new.express.adobe.com/webpage/2Rig...
Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...
journals.sagepub.com
🚨New paper klaxon!🚨 How does a police department manage to claim that it's "making progress"? And how does it do so even when people complain about its poor performance, corruption, or whatever else? sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13... @chicagopolice.bsky.social
NEW: Tony Cheng, Johann Koehler, "Making Progress in the Chicago Police Department, 1862–2024" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...
sociologicalscience.com
“170 Years of Change in Living Arrangements”: @gfloridi.bsky.social & A. Esteve explore the role of mortality decline over time & encourage social scientists to consider how extended life spans can shape arrangements. @uoe-sps.bsky.social @cedemografia.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
Join Vital City, @nyuwagner.bsky.social and the @russellsagefdn.bsky.social for a conversation between New Yorker writer Adam Gopnik and Robert Sampson about his new book, “Marked by Time." RSVP: www.eventbrite.com/e/vital-city...
🎓️ We're hiring an LSE Fellow in Qualitative Methods We are seeking to appoint an individual with established research interests and teaching experience in qualitative methods🧑🤝🧑 Applications close👉️ jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We're hiring an LSE Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods‼️ We are seeking an individual with established research interests and teaching experience in advanced quantitative methods and computational social science🚨 Apply here before 26 April👉️ jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
NEW on Wonkhe: Students aren't confused about AI – they're making rational choices in a system that has removed the incentives to learn. Jim Dickinson and Mack Marshall preview findings from new research on learning in an age of AI buff.ly/4TKftU3
Working hypothesis: If you're doing research and don't occasionally have a small existential crisis, either you've been blessed to work in an exceptional field (do tell which one it is!), or maybe you're being a bit naive.
Questioning my field more and more based on the methods we use and getting into a mini-existential crisis (glad I never took this stuff too seriously anyhow). Blaming @dingdingpeng.the100.ci because of her blogs and our chats. Look what you have done.
Somehow some deep wisdom in Reddit post on confronting bad research:
Why does Editorial Manager even have password-based login? I don't think I've ever successfully gotten into it without resetting my password.