The numbers are finally on the table. The Cypriot Council Presidency has published its long-awaited first negotiating box with figures for the EU’s next 7-year budget, the #MFF. A first take on what changes, what doesn’t – and why Berlin will not be very happy. 1/
Anna Heckhausen
@annaheckhausen.bsky.social
EU Economic Policy | Europe's Future @Bertelsmann Stiftung https://bst-europe.eu | Views are my own
Today marks one of the biggest moments for the #EuropeanParliament in the negotiations on the next #MFF: MEPs gather in Strasbourg to adopt their position on the EU’s next seven-year budget. 1/11
All eyes are currently on Hungary - not only because of Tisza’s 137 seats in parliament or viral dance moves of the health minister-to-be, but also because the change in government will have major implications for the EU. Here are 3 ways the election results matter for the next EU budget #MFF 1/8
When it comes to the EU’s next #MFF, its external action heading, #GlobalEurope, has received far less attention than the others. Yet at a time when traditional development heavyweights are pulling back, the EU’s role in external action matters more than ever. So what’s in the COM proposal? 1/10
Tomorrow, EU leaders gather in Brussels for another #EUCO summit - and the EU’s next seven-year budget is back on the table. @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social and I wrote a guide to the #MFF. Here are five battlegrounds in the negotiations that will shape EU action for years to come. 1/9
Ahead of tomorrow's #COMPET, here’s the ECF debate in a nutshell. @lucas-res-car.bsky.social and I share 7 recommendations for a fund that delivers: strategically focused, flexible, and well-governed.
12/The ECF proposal is a strong starting point. Success will depend on how these principles are handled in the negotiations. Read the full analysis here: bst-europe.eu/competitiven...
1/ The Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA) leaked yesterday. The draft is still very raw: major provisions are missing, placeholders run throughout, and key annexes are empty or absent. This is clearly not the final word ahead of its presentation on 29 Jan – more below.
How should the EU react to Trump’s tariff threats over Greenland? Get out of self-deterrence, launch the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) and focus on concrete levers instead of the next abstract tools debate. This is an explainer how this could work: 1/ 🧵
If you want to know what the EU will really do in the 2030s, follow the debate on the EU’s long-term budget (MFF) in 2026. I contributed a short take on what to watch as negotiations heat up. This and more in our team's outlook for 2026.
It's a new year, and as usual our experts outlined key events and trends shaping Europe and the world in 2026: from geoeconomic vulnerability, to China’s next Five Year plan, the single market, security partnerships, the US midterms and more. Read their insights here: bst-europe.eu/europe-in-th...
New policy brief with Thieß Petersen @bst-europe.bsky.social : More and deeper EU trade agreements would only bring moderate growth effects - around 0.6 percent of EU GDP in five years, even under very optimistic assumptions (more in some sectors). Why this matters and what to do now: 🧵
Today’s Sustainability Omnibus vote in the EP marks a turning point for the EU’s centrist coalition & sets course for the rest of the simplification agenda. The EPP broke with traditional partners, seeking a majority with far-right groups to deliver its vision of how to cut sustainability rules. 1/
EU conservatives vote with far right to approve cuts to green rules
The outcome highlights the EPP’s willingness to abandon its traditional centrist coalition allies.
politico.eu
Trump’s trade war has unfolded as a series of threats, announcements, pauses, starts and deals, and the coining by the FT’s own @robarmstrong.bsky.social of the term “Taco” — Trump always chickens out. Even with all the changes, the de facto tariff rate is at its highest level in nearly a century.
Metsola seems to suggest that, because the European Council has said so, Parliament will have no choice but to push through the omnibus with votes from the far right after Wednesday’s failed vote. This is a worrying stance and a puzzling view of the EP’s relationship with EU leaders