Babak Rezaee

@babakr.bsky.social

Associate Professor at Leiden University Researching political conflict & violence with data science Football enthusiast | Foodie | Travel addict RTs & Follows ≠ agreement

With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.

Voor de beste duiding staan vandaag en morgen overal politicologen tot uw dienst. Het zijn net pokemons, volg ze allemaal

Simon Otjes@simonotjes.bsky.social · 11mo ago

Het Instituut @polscileiden.bsky.social is goed vertegenwoordigd bij de NOS uitslagenavond. Kersverse hoogleraar Nederlandse Politiek @sldelange.bsky.social is op televisie samen met Leids alumnus @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social (nu UvA) Op de radio alumna Josje den Ridder (nu SCP) en ikzelf

The first few reviews are in for my book 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘋𝘦𝘮𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘺 𝘪𝘯 𝘌𝘶𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘦 (Hurst/OUP)! Draper in 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘰𝘳𝘺: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Muzergues in 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘲𝘶𝘦 𝘦́𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦̀𝘳𝘦: politique-etrangere.com/2025/06/19/p... Dressler in 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘗𝘰𝘴𝘵: feps-europe.eu/inspiration/...

Als je naar de huidige peilingen kijkt (zie de laatste peilingwijzer van @tomlouwerse.nl) ziet het er naar uit dat de formatie lastig zal worden. Nu zijn peilingen geen voorspellingen maar de trends (verdwijnen NSC, daling VVD, groei CDA,) maken het een lastig landschap.

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If you’re curious the assassination of the IRGC commanders creates a rally around the flag. I suggest reading my recent coauthored article. #IRGC is not a liked in #Iran due to its participation in repression of oppositions. Some of Iranians actually celebrating it. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Who Rallies Round the Flag? The Impact of the US Sanctions on Iranians’ Attitude toward the Government

Abstract. While politicians often argue that economic sanctions can induce policy changes in targeted states by undermining elite and public support for th

academic.oup.com

Consider two photos: one of an immigrant mother being separated from her child and another of a burning car. Which leads the news? Which focuses attention on the harms of mass deportations? A challenge of violent protest tactics is that they often shift attention away from the injustices they decry.

Rebecca Solnit@rebeccasolnit.bsky.social · last yr.

Those concerned about violence might want to start with violence against immigrants, by ICE here, by illegal deportations to gulags and third countries, the violence against so many federal departments, against the law, the climate, the public lands, waters, civil rights, reproductive rights...

De trend van de PVV is in de recentste Peilingwijzer eerder omhoog dan omlaag, en van de VVD andersom, maar: beide binnen de foutmarge. Gevolg is wel dat de PVV nu duidelijk iets groter is dan de VVD (en GL-PvdA), want die verschillen vielen eerder binnen de foutmarge, en nu niet meer.

Peilingwijzer@peilingwijzer.bsky.social · last yr.

De Peilingwijzer is bijgewerkt met de nieuwste peiling van Ipsos I&O. 📊 📈 Alle cijfers & grafieken: https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/ Bron Ipsos I&O: https://is.gd/EmlNjV

Grafiek met meest recente scores Peilingwijzer

Dutch coalition crisis: PVV ministers exit government. Wilders had asked for additional far-reaching measures on migration, breaking open the coalition agreement. Other parties were not prepared to do this.

Seems plausible that future will involve post-college Advanced Placement-style proctored, subject-specific exams. Some research suggests national exams can help classroom dynamics because they put teacher and students on same team versus exam. Only works, though, to assess standardized knowledge.

Hypervisible @hypervisible.blacksky.app · last yr.

“Massive numbers of students are going to emerge from university with degrees, and into the workforce, who are essentially illiterate…Both in the literal sense and in the sense of being historically illiterate and having no knowledge of their own culture, much less anyone else’s.”

Meta’s user-hostile approach to links worked for Instagram but porting it to Threads was a mistake. Sharing is core to being human and, for text-first social networks, sharing links is essential. Writers, media, news junkies, etc don’t want to live in Meta’s or X’s or anyone’s “walled garden.”

I wrote a short piece with László Andor on responses to the Dutch election. Total Honesty and Far-right Lies: The confidence with which analysts have settled on the causes of Geert Wilders’ victory is misplaced. www.ips-journal.eu/topics/democ... Polisky EUsky

Total honesty and far-right lies

The confidence with which analysts have settled on the causes of Geert Wilders’ victory is misplaced. More humility and introspection are needed

ips-journal.eu