Ling Yee 令怡

@bigduckling.bsky.social

Born in Hong Kong. Living in Tāmaki Makaurau / Auckland. Migrant from Twitter / X, also on Mastodon: @bigduckling@mastodon.social 🍉🌻

IMO people give Mowbray and the billionaires too much credit. If we go by donations, then the left would never stood a chance, but we did. Labour IMO has to take responsibility for running poor electorate campaigns throughout the country. #nzpol

I don't know WTF Gerry is on about . Overhang is EXACTLY what is wrong with FPP: that the seats aren't proportional to percentage of party vote received. If you want to get rid of overhang, get rid of electorate seats altogether. #nzpol www.farmersweekly.co.nz/politics/ele...

Election result could revive First Past the Post debate, Brownlee says

An 11-seat parliamentary overhang has sparked questions about MMP, with Gerry Brownlee and Chris Hipkins raising concerns over the election result.

farmersweekly.co.nz

Assuming specials go for Labour and Greens and increase their party vote, AND the 2 marginal electorate seats both go to Labour, then the right block will NOT have a majority, and must need TOP for support: in the scenario, NAT+ACT+NZF has only 40+12+11 = 63 seats in a 130 seats Parliament. #nzpol

Assuming specials goes in favour of Labour and Greens, here are the numbers.

I caution against hoping special votes will swing the result. In this election, these votes are from people voting out of their electorate, AND they were too late to change address before enrolment deadline. The number is likely to be small and there is no guarantee it will swing Labour. #nzpol

As of 11:40pm, there are 2 electorate seats that can realistically go to Labour instead of National: Hamilton East and Wairarapa. In this case, assuming party vote percentage remains more or less the same, it will be a 128 seats parliament, but NAT+NZF+ACT will still have 65 seats majority. #nzpol

ACT 13 + NZF 12 + NAT 40 = 65, for a 128 seats Parliament. Still a majority

As of right now, National can still lose 4 electorate seats with razor thin margin and remove 4 overhangs - Hamilton East, Mt Roskill, Takanini, Whangarei. Then it will be a 126 seats parliament. Then it will be a hung parliament with LAB+GRE+TPM+OPP having 63 seats. Unless OPP swing right. #nzpol

Michael Law's non-apology is just that: a non-apology. "If I have offended, I unreservedly apologise". 🙄 VS a whole hearted apology such as: I have realised what I said is wrong, therefore I apologise. It should have been no ifs, no buts. #nzpol

I just love the infighting between coalition partners (i.e. ACT and NZF picking over the caress of Nats) trying to engineer overhang for Nats. The worst case scenario is that National gets zero overhang, instead Labour got the overhang, while Nats lose party vote to ACT and NZF. #nzpol

www.bbc.com/news/article... Wait, Mao Zedong isn't a dictator in a very loose sense? It is all about not wanting to offend PRC and/or sponsorship in China deal and/or Chinese people. But not all Chinese people are enamoured with Mao Zedong, and caving in to some keyboard warrior in PRC is worse.

Mbappé sorry for 'ill-judged' Mao remark after backlash in China

The France star had referred to the former Chinese leader as a "dictator" during an interview about memes.

bbc.com

Labour orders its Auckland Central candidate to toe the party foreign policy line, as Naisi Chen made foreign affairs promises to Chinese-speaking voters that are absent from its own foreign policy spokesperson's speeches. www.thepost.co.nz/nz-news/3611...

Labour reins in electorate candidate on foreign policy

Naisi Chen claimed to Chinese-speaking voters that Labour would “fix” relations between New Zealand and China - a pledge that is missing from party spokesperson Vanushi Walters’ speeches.

thepost.co.nz

newsroom.co.nz/2026/10/20/s... Former NZSC Justice Arnold is taking up appointment in Hong Kong's Court of Final Appeal. The court in HK is nowadays being used to routinely prosecute civil right activists. Many former UKSC judges had already left. Maybe Arnold should join the exodus? #nzpol

Second NZ judge joining Hong Kong court urged to 'salvage reputation'

Other foreign judges have retired early from the territory's court of final appeal, citing shift to 'totalitarian state'

newsroom.co.nz

There are just six days left to enrol, but we are about 130k behind where final enrolment got to last time - when people could still enrol all the way through election day. It is becoming very hard to see this gap really closing in such a short time.

Bild