Andreas Kirsch

@blackhc.bsky.social

My opinions only here. 👨‍🔬 RS DeepMind Past: 👨‍🔬 R Midjourney 1y 🧑‍🎓 DPhil AIMS Uni of Oxford 4.5y 🧙‍♂️ RE DeepMind 1y 📺 SWE Google 3y 🎓 TUM 👤 @nwspk

Another happy read that we should ponder and reflect on: Forethought's "AI-Enabled Coups". It's a careful, refreshingly unhysterical paper on how a small group (or literally one person) could use advanced AI to seize a state. Ofc: in personal capacity, not on behalf of Google

Scholarly print-style card on graph paper. Eyebrow: MARGINALIA 01 · on "AI-Enabled Coups" · Forethought Research · April 2025 · FRIDAY READING. Headline: "Every tyrant has needed other people. Until now." — "Until now." underlined in red. Tally: 3 risk factors · 4 military coup paths · 3 classes of mitigation. Below, the paper's central claim compressed as a correction: "A coup needs battalions of soldiers willing to go along" struck through in red; beneath, in green: "A coup may soon need one person with exclusive access to advanced AI." Note: Davidson, Finnveden & Hadshar argue that singularly loyal AI workforces, secretly loyal models, and exclusive capability access could make coups feasible even in established democracies. Footer credits the paper and @blackhc

The Atlantic @TheAtlantic says generative AI is "an engineering disaster." I had Claude fact-check all 23 checkable claims against primary sources: 7 check out · 7 need context · 9 don't hold Verdict: the economics hold up. The computer science doesn't (I checked it too) 🧵

Fact-check summary card on a graph-paper background. Eyebrow: "Corrigendum No. 1 — re: Generative AI Is an Engineering Disaster, The Atlantic, 14 Jul 2026." 

Large serif headline: "The economics check out. The computer science doesn't," with "computer science" in red and underlined. 

A tally box scores 23 claims: 7 check out (green), 7 need context (amber), 9 don't hold up (red). 

Below, the key finding: the central chart's x-axis label "MORE TOKENS" is struck through in red and corrected to "TOKENS PER SECOND PER REQUEST" in green, captioned "A speed dial, not a volume meter. The whole argument rests on it." 

Faint red rising curves decorate the right edge. 

Footer: independent fact-check, 23 claims, compiled 15 July 2026, @blackhc.

I work at Google DeepMind. This won't make me popular. But it's all public reporting: 2014: DeepMind reportedly sold to Google on conditions: no military use, independent oversight 2026: a Pentagon contract for "any lawful government purpose" Not one safeguard survived intact

Collage titled "Trust is not Governance — an essay from inside Google DeepMind, written in personal capacity." 

A 2014 memorandum, "Conditions of the Acquisition," lists: military applications of DeepMind technology banned; deployment decisions before an independent ethics board (as reported in Mallaby's The Infinity Machine). 

Red threads lead to a 2026 U.S. Department of Defense agreement for classified networks reading "any lawful government purpose," with safety settings and filters adjusted at the government's request and no contractor veto (reported terms, The Information, Apr. 2026). 

Below: a 2018 AI Principles strip ("no weapons, no surveillance") stamped DROPPED 2025, and a Project Mario 2016–2021 tag stamped ABANDONED.

Vibe-improved a small useful tool to render markdown & html directly from GitHub URLs, so you don't have to setup GitHub Pages etc E.g. `mdrenderer․github․io/?https꞉//github․com/mdrenderer/mdrenderer․github․com/blob/master/readme․md` (All thanks to Claude Code)

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A while back, Andrej Karpathy said the app store will be replaced by generated, disposable software," and Amjad Masad predicted that the value of all application software will go to zero I think this "ephemeral software hypothesis" is wrong, though, and I want to explain why:

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If the last time you tried to use an LLM for math was ~4 or 5 months ago it’s worth firing up Gemini 2.5 (which you can try for free) or ChatGPT o3 and getting a sense of how rapidly things have progressed.

I want to share my latest (very short) blog post: "Active Learning vs. Data Filtering: Selection vs. Rejection." What is the fundamental difference between active learning and data filtering? Well, obviously, the difference is that: 1/11

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Hive (and all of its expansions) has been added to OpenSpiel! 🎉🤩🐝🐜🕷️🐞🦟🪲 From Gen42: "Hive is an award-winning board game with a difference. There is no board. The pieces are added to the playing area thus creating the board. As more and more pieces are added the game becomes a fight to ... 🧵1/5

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Check out MODEL SELECTOR, a framework for label-efficient selection of pretrained classifiers. We reduce the labeling cost by up to 94.15% to identify the best model.

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Ever wondered why presenting more facts can sometimes *worsen* disagreements, even among rational people? 🤔 It turns out, Bayesian reasoning has some surprising answers - no cognitive biases needed! Let's explore this fascinating paradox quickly ☺️

Ever wondered why presenting more facts can sometimes *worsen* disagreements, even among rational people? 🤔 It turns out, Bayesian reasoning has some surprising answers - no cognitive biases needed! Let's explore this fascinating paradox quickly ☺️

Just 10 days after o1's public debut, we’re thrilled to unveil the open-source version of the technique behind its success: scaling test-time compute By giving models more "time to think," Llama 1B outperforms Llama 8B in math—beating a model 8x its size. The full recipe is open-source!

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Thanks for following me here! 🫶 I went through my notifications to follow people if they are in ML research, doing PhDs, etc, to have a nice feed focused on ML. Apologies to anyone I have missed! You can unfollow and refollow me to give me a new notification (I suppose)! Plz update your profiles 🙏