@brettjrob.bsky.social

Meteorologist, code monkey, gratuitous wanderer. skyinmotion.com

> Total 60-day precip 10x at Black Mesa vs. OKC > 24-h precip at Black Mesa exceeds 60-day total at OKC > Total 120-day precip greater at Black Mesa than OKC Summer or winter, Nino or Nina, I'll go out on a limb and say these aren't common in the historical record.

BildBild

A well timed cold front often seems to be the key to breaking summertime MaxT records in C OK. Pretty sure we had one hanging around just north for OKC's 113 F in 2012. One notable difference: ~50 F dews in 2012 vs. 65-70 F every day this week. 😬

BildBild

Ten years ago this evening was the high point of a 4-day streak I'll never top. These are May 22, 23, 24, and 25, one per day. May 2016 was enchanted. It also used up all my good fortune for the subsequent 5 or so years!

BildBildBildBild

Compulsively refreshing The Other Platform for solar storm info and thinking about how cooked we are if *nothing* the past year convinced a critical mass to abandon it... even in science niches. The future of the internet and digital communication looks impossibly bleak.

Reds and greens reflecting off lakes in the Wichita Mountains of SW OK - likely a sight you can go a whole solar cycle without. 03:55 UTC on 2025-11-12. #okwx

Bild

Consolation prize for what's coming the next 48 hours. It's been a minute since the stars have aligned for central OK to pull this off without horizon interference.

Bild

Random thought of the day: Centralized, convenient, authoritarian, manipulated, low quality (X, Meta, Reddit) always wins and marginalizes Decentralized, slightly inconvenient, democratic, organic, high quality (BlueSky, Mastodon, web forums) Seems to sum up the entire history of the internet.

New thought after seeing latest POI photo: After that oval address, and with FBI in charge... is there any scenario where perp turns out to be someone apolitical or on the right, and that info is accurately relayed to the public? That I can't really imagine it shows again how far gone we are.

@brettjrob.bsky.social · last yr.

POTUS gives address explicitly blaming "leftists" while manhunt is ongoing and no suspect ID'd. Then rattles off list of political violence that excludes the most recent major incident - MN in June - which saw 4 D *legislators*/family shot. You know, actual direct political violence/intimidation. 1/

POTUS gives address explicitly blaming "leftists" while manhunt is ongoing and no suspect ID'd. Then rattles off list of political violence that excludes the most recent major incident - MN in June - which saw 4 D *legislators*/family shot. You know, actual direct political violence/intimidation. 1/

As a TL cleanse from today's photogenic Dakotas bonanza, here's Gary 6/28 (so 7 Dakotas bonanzas ago?) around its peak drillbit stage.

Bild

The Gary, SD, storm on June 28 appeared smaller than most tornadic supercells I've seen on the Plains -- more in line with the summertime minisupercells Iowa and other parts of the upper Midwest are famous for.

Tornado under supercell near Gary, SD

A few highlights from the initial Clear Lake, SD, storm on 6/28/25. This was about 90 minutes before the Gary monster developed with a new, trailing storm just a few miles away.

BildBildBild

The transition from NAM/HREF to any unified ensemble is destined to draw groans, right or wrong. Why? Because HREF (originally SSEO) essentially stumbled into a ton of useful ensemble spread by combining independently developed early CAMs. Shameless plug: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal... 1/

journals.ametsoc.org

Jeff Frame@vortexjeff.bsky.social · last yr.

Replacing the NAM and HREF with the RRFS in early 2026 is a really bad idea IMHO. The RRFS does not handle low-level cold air masses nearly as well as the NAM and a couple other HREF members, although they can be too aggressive with low-level cold air.