Surveys like this always alarm people Fortunately, recent research from cognitive psychology shows that the reason people are so wildly wrong when estimating the size of minority groups is largely NOT because of prejudice — but rather how humans think about unknown proportions of any kind

Joel S.@joelhs.bsky.social · 3w ago

This actually explains something about how people talk about the Jewish community.

Published a political psychology book this year? @erincassese.bsky.social, @lchristensen.bsky.social, and I are on the Robert E. Lane Award committee for the best book in political psych published in the past year Deadline for nominations: March 1, 2026. Details below apsanet.org/membership/o...

UNC Political Science is hiring in methods! UNC has an amazing department and the triangle is a great place to live. Tenure Track Assistant Professor in Methods (Deadline Oct 24) link to the posting👇 unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/307... #polisky #psjobs #poliscijobs

Every time this worry comes up (www.ft.com/content/d419...) I post some Landy et al. (2018). People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.

Jonathan Portes@jdportes.bsky.social · 11mo ago

Impassioned plea for more mixed-methods research (quant & qual) from @timharford.ft.com "The hard data is never as eloquent as a good story. Humboldt would measure the cactus but also sketch it; drag his barometer up a volcano, but spin a yarn about the epic climb." www.ft.com/content/d419...

Zaller remains undefeated

New paper on misperceptions out in PNAS @pnas.org www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇

This is not a time for passive citizenship. Silence means approval. So what to do?

I'm very happy to share that I'll be joining the Department of Political Science at UNC Chapel Hill as an Assistant Professor this fall. I'm excited for this next chapter and will always be incredibly grateful for my amazing experience at Stony Brook.

I haven't been on bsky for almost a year. It's nice over here!

*Less than half* of misinformation studies expose people to both false and true info, and ONLY 7% measure discernment (the difference between believing/sharing true and false info)!! misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/what... Short 🧵 on why you should be measuring discernment👇

Headed to SPSP2024 in San Diego to talk about how we should measure whether misinformation interventions work! Let me know if you're gonna be there (DM/email/text).

Less then a week until the 2nd Misinformation and Belief Science preconference at SPSP!! Really excited for the lineup Rakoen Maertens and I have put together. We've got ...

Please share and apply to the APSA Ralph Bunche Summer Institute, an annual, intensive 5-wk program designed to introduce the world of doctoral study in political science to undergrad students from under-represented racial and ethnic groups. Deadline: Jan. 22 politicalsciencenow.com/call-for-app...

Apparently ~40% of crowdsource workers use LLMs when completing surveys Relatively simple fix for text responses: Add Javascript to Qs to prevent pasting Credit to Jiabi Wang for idea + Kaushal Addanki for code below github.com/rafmbatista/...

The last time there was a "presidental alert" Jesse Lopez & I wrote a POQ paper (doi.org/10.1093/poq/...) about it. Back then I thought it was crazy that this was being framed as such a polarizing issue. Enter 2023...

Very happy to share a new working paper with some great coauthors! 97% of climate scientists agree that human-caused climate change is occurring. But how do people interpret this consensus? Is it a testament to expertise or a signal of bias? psyarxiv.com/ezua5/

In addition to the junior line in American Politics, we have a senior line in political psychology at Stony Brook! apply.interfolio.com/131893 polisky psjminfo

Job alert! We're hiring an assistant professor (American Politics) in the Department of Political Science at Stony Brook! Drew Englehardt and I started this semester and it's been great! apply.interfolio.com/130609 10/13 deadline polisky psjminfo poliSciJobs

Kids: Study statistics

Just joined! Seems nice over here!