Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
Dartmouth political scientist and Bright Line Watch co-director. Previously Upshot NYT / CJR contributor, Spinsanity co-founder, All the President's Spin co-author. https://sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/ http://brightlinewatch.org
The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive. My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Bidenomics Was More Successful Than People Think
Conventional wisdom holds that Joe Biden’s bet on climate investment was a bust. The data suggest otherwise.
theatlantic.com
Jarrod Watt@jaywatt.bsky.social · 4h agoAn at-risk teenager "...fell into a filter bubble where his account was recommended a repetitive amount of content surrounding Suicide & Self Harm & depressive topics, particularly leading up to the date of his suicide..." The TikTok revelations keep coming. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Why are people piling on this passage? Literally there are separate *books* about wedge-issue attacks on Democrats on every one of these issues. They were obviously vulnerable to attack in some sense or these messages would not have found an audience. Who is denying this? What is going on?
I Feel Like I'm Taking Crazy Pills Meme
ALT: I Feel Like I'm Taking Crazy Pills Meme
static.klipy.com
Larry Glickman@larryglickman.bsky.social · yesterdayFrom Tom Edsall’s column. I wish he had specified what he means by “wedge-issue attacks.” I’m also not sure what it means to say that Dems have been “vulnerable” to these things for 60 years. Presumably, he is suggesting that backlash politics has, on balance, harmed the Democrats.
TVs are better computers are better food is better cars are better medicine is better
Revan@revan.eurosky.social · 15h agoSo this is basically one of the entry points to becoming a reactionary
A new survey from @knightfoundation.org and @ssrsresearch.bsky.social reveals a disquieting decline in how free Americans feel to use the freedoms protected by the #FirstAmendment without government interference or punishment. 🧵
Knight Foundation-SSRS Poll: Americans Feel Free Expression is Eroding - Knight Foundation
For more than two decades, Knight Foundation has commissioned research to better understand Americans’ lived experience with the First Amendment and free expression. As the country marks its 250th ann...
knightfoundation.org
Judge Wise finds that ICE coerced a 20-year-old Tongan man — admitted legally to the country three years ago — to sign a document accepting deportation, despite no criminal record or immigration proceedings against him. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
OUT TODAY! 🥳 A straightforward, non-technical guide to thinking like a quantitative social scientist. Written for students, journalists, and curious citizens. A lot of thought and heart went into this. I genuinely hope folks enjoy it!
Bombshell report from the Wall Street Journal: DHS has been tracking down Americans at work and on the road who are critical of immigration policies, spending millions on contractors to surveil First Amendment protected speech and create political dossiers. Outrageous. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
How ICE Is Weaponizing Social Media Against Its Critics
The agency says its surveillance program searches for threats to agents, but critics see free-speech infringements.
wsj.com
Even if involved in narcotrafficking, this would be illegal. Due process.
CNN@cnn.com · 2d agoThe US military’s strikes on alleged drug boats have likely illegally killed “individuals who are not involved in narcotrafficking,” Sen. Tim Kaine told the White House, following “a careful review” of classified information he has seen so far.
Important thread on why the national AAUP's strategy is precisely the wrong one and what would work better x.com/JeffreyASach...
No one in public life talks about red states this way.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2d agoTrump: "Look at the blue cities. What do they have in common? They're all dirty. They're filthy dirty. Their streets are dirty. Their streets smell. Their storefronts are broken. Their trees are all gross. Everything about the place is dirty. It's really all of them."
Relevant today: our expert survey on the state of the rule of law in the United States brightlinewatch.org/erosion-of-t...
Erosion of the rule of law in Trump’s second term | Bright Line Watch
brightlinewatch.org
Helen Kennedy@helenkennedy.com · 2d agolol "The president is “furious” with Pirro, one of the sources said, telling CNN that he fumed about her all weekend... "The president did not know beforehand that she was going to do that.” www.cnn.com/2026/08/03/p...
🚨New Science Advances🚨 Untrustworthy sources on Facebook and Instagram in 2020: Concentrated exposure but no attitudinal effects www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... -Exposure very low but highly concentrated -Reducing exposure by ~70% for months had no measurable effects *even among frequent consumers*
The Trump administration is so opposed to socialism that it has acquired — sometimes by coercion — equity stakes in 30 companies so far. www.cato.org/blog/governm...
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2d agoHassett: "After World War 2, bc we had centralized production to defeat the Nazis, there were a whole bunch of socialists in the UK and US that wanted to take over the economy bc they said, 'Look, we've already centralized production, so let's just be socialist.' That's why the CEA was created ... "
pssssh, like that's impressive. www.espn.com/espn/page2/i...
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d agoTrump: “The Winning Shot in the Bedminster Club Championship! Thank you very much to all of those who participated. I won with a 70, & am so honored in that, unlike the rest of the field, I’m given very little time to practice, bc I’m focused on many other things. It’s called TALENT, and I have it”
If ICE detained an immigrant with this history of violence and unlawfulness, it would be all over FOX News and DHS's social media accounts. Instead this is a current GOP member of congress who remains in good standing with his colleagues and party.
Jen Taub@jentaub.bsky.social · 3d agoMax Miller has a documented history of violence against women dating back to high school. Read this article from 2021. web.archive.org/web/20211105...
“Party veterans are concerned that the pipeline of young Republican talent is veering off course — and into terminally online extremism.”https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/08/01/heritage-foundation-young-republicans-groypers-hiring-01006937
GOP Staffers Say the Party Has a Groyper Problem
Party veterans are concerned that the pipeline of young Republican talent is veering off course — and into terminally online extremism.
politico.com
“In Dropping Reflecting Pool Case, Pirro Draws Trump’s Wrath” sounds like a prosecutor demurring and the president demanding a tough-on-crime approach. This is for Trump corruptly abusing federal law enforcement to cover for his own lies, illegal action, incompetence, and corrupt no-bid contracts.
Larry Glickman@larryglickman.bsky.social · 3d agoAnother example of the problem with the fixation with Trump’s putative emotions: here a story about the Trump administration’s corruption, incompetence, and venality is framed as one about Trump’s “wrath.” www.nytimes.com/2026/08/01/u...
That’s the kind of verbiage we use to describe a misbehaving child.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d agoSen. John Kennedy on Trump's blatant reflecting pool lies: "The president says it was caused by vandals. I don't know if he really believes that or it's part of his political messaging or he's just thinking out loud ... he grows anxious when he has an unexpressed thought."
Vindictive prosecution is a punishment in itself and I hope the eventual multi-million dollar settlement mitigates the damage.
CNN@cnn.com · 5d agoThe Justice Department is admitting that a $14 million renovation on the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, DC, was flawed, and is dropping the criminal case against a former Olympian that accused him of damaging the pool, according to a new court filing. https://cnn.it/3RJJnwj
A large majority of Americans want their own states, rather than the Trump administration, to have the final say in how elections are run. (CBS News poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260731
this is not nick fuentes level anti-semitism. but it's close enough.
the president of the united states regularly goes on incredibly embarrassing unhinged posting sprees full of AI slop and somehow the entire political system just reacts like the This Is Fine dog
It’s pretty jarring we’ve just come to expect that the feds will lie to us and publicize false information and that there is virtually no consequence for it.
CNN@cnn.com · 5d agoThe Justice Department is admitting that a $14 million renovation on the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, DC, was flawed, and is dropping the criminal case against a former Olympian that accused him of damaging the pool, according to a new court filing. https://cnn.it/3RJJnwj
Columbia associate prof in CS on the difference between AI solving a proof and reporting in a manner that is intelligible to an expert whose work it builds on
The president's media company is offering investors early access to his Truth Social feed for up to $100,000 a month. Experts say the service may violate insider trading laws.
For sale: early access to Trump's Truth Social posts
The president's media company is offering investors early access to his Truth Social feed for up to $100,000 a month. Experts say the service may violate insider trading laws.
npr.org
