Brad Shapiro
@btshapir.bsky.social
Marketing Professor @ChicagoBooth Co-editor @QME Optimist/Anti-Doomer
I don’t buy this interpretation. It’s the self-congratulatory sentiment that we are good people who care about others and they are bad people who don’t.
Chris Hayes@chrislhayes.bsky.social · 2y agoThe pandemic forced Americans to think and act collectively and while there were amazing examples during peak COVID of all kinds of people doing just that, a majority of Americans came away thinking “that sucked; I don’t want to have think about other people.”
A few more hours left in the year.
Brad Shapiro@btshapir.bsky.social · 2y agoHi folks, as we approach the end of the year and you consider end-of-year giving, allow me to pitch you a non-political organization that I believe is worthy of your dollars. ASAP is an organization dedicated to improving legal processes in asylum cases. givebutter.com/asap2024?ct=...
You'd much rather Tamar have a deer hunting rifle than a handgun, from a public safety standpoint. It's actually not close.
Tamar Haspel@tamarhaspel.bsky.social · 2y agoI hunt, and I live in Eastern Mass. But we bought a hunting/camping property in New Hampshire because you can't use a rifle in Massachusetts. It's a sensible regulation in a densely populated state, but it does make it harder to control deer populations.
Hi folks, as we approach the end of the year and you consider end-of-year giving, allow me to pitch you a non-political organization that I believe is worthy of your dollars. ASAP is an organization dedicated to improving legal processes in asylum cases. givebutter.com/asap2024?ct=...
Support rapid response for 1 million immigrants
We need your help to get critical information to the people who need it most.
givebutter.com
Always think about the incentives of the ones pushing the narratives and bias adjust.
Tamar Haspel@tamarhaspel.bsky.social · 2y agoThe new GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are an existential threat to diet peddlers, so it's not surprising to find them amplifying any risk from the meds. There's mostly silence from them on the ancillary benefits, notably kidney & cardiovascular disease.
The new GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are an existential threat to diet peddlers, so it's not surprising to find them amplifying any risk from the meds. There's mostly silence from them on the ancillary benefits, notably kidney & cardiovascular disease.
I've been pretty consistent in my editorial view about this. I want a review process that is one round of referee input, then accepted after revision. If there remain some philosophical/conceptual differences of opinion, I'd rather the reviewers write a comment than iterate behind closed doors.
Ben Golub@bengolub.bsky.social · 2y agoIn economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus. As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees. 1/
One more thing: the current equilibrium favors less innovative, incremental papers getting published in the most selective outlets even more than peer review already does. Those are the ones for which the consensus process works best and tends to converge. A real loss for innovation. 6/6
It also makes for a bad equilibrium where publicly disagreeing with a paper (except very mildly and boringly) is infrequent and therefore an extreme signal. So people don't do it even when they feel published papers are wrong or misleading. 3/
"R2 is marginally more negative than I am, but they raise a fundamentally valid point"
John Mullahy@johnmullahy.bsky.social · 2y agoFinal sentence of R2's recommendation to the editor.
When news reports about scientific papers make causal claims that are not justified by the original study, the mistake often traces to a university press release. Here, observational data reveals an association. The press release asserts causality. today.ucsd.edu/story/walkab...
Walkable Neighborhoods Help Adults Socialize, Increase Community
Adults who live in walkable neighborhoods are more likely to socialize and have a stronger sense of community, report researchers at the UC San Diego Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human...
today.ucsd.edu
People sometimes make fun of science that sounds stupid and random. Meanwhile, a study of lizard saliva turned into a peptide medication, which was turned into a diabetes medication, which was turned into a GLP1 weight loss drug, that just became the first therapy every approved for … sleep apnea
The New York Times@nytimes.com · 2y agoBreaking News: The FDA approved use of the weight loss drug Zepbound for a common form of sleep apnea. It is the first drug authorized to treat the disorder.
Hi folks, as we approach the end of the year and you consider end-of-year giving, allow me to pitch you a non-political organization that I believe is worthy of your dollars. ASAP is an organization dedicated to improving legal processes in asylum cases. givebutter.com/asap2024?ct=...
Support rapid response for 1 million immigrants
We need your help to get critical information to the people who need it most.
givebutter.com
Given how much interaction this got, I thought you might like to know I bought these and used them this morning in ~30 degree weather. Worked very well! t.co/ji2Zvl8tgU
https://www.gorewear.com/us/en-us/shield-windstopper-thermo-overshoes-100827?variant=2906
t.co
Brad Shapiro@btshapir.bsky.social · 2y agoAnyone have winter overshoe recommendations for cycling? When it gets down below 30, keeping my feet warm is a challenge.
This place is exactly what I thought it was. The latest outrage is almost comical. A caricature. Some useful stuff on here, some very nice people too, but the "kind version of twitter" bsky most certainly is not. Go Bills!
a man sitting in front of a monitor with the words is that bad it 's not good below him
ALT: a man sitting in front of a monitor with the words is that bad it 's not good below him
media.tenor.com
Greg Shill@gregshill.com · 2y agoS&P: Chicago Public Schools "must identify a reliable source of new revenue or scale down” its current $8.4 billion in operating costs. CPS currently has a BB+/Stable rating, "which the district has strived for years to improve" but can't without reforms. www.chicagotribune.com/2024/12/13/s...
The vast majority of people I reach out to repsond quickly and helpfully; but the few that don't are frustrating and enough to make me really appreciate that large majority and that the community functions surprisingly well.
Brad Shapiro@btshapir.bsky.social · 2y agoIf you receive a ref request and can't finish in the allotted time, you have options: - Decline the review. - Ask editor for more time. Then turn in report close to your new proposed deadline. Don't do: - Ghost the request - Agree to request then go months past the due date w/no communication
If you receive a ref request and can't finish in the allotted time, you have options: - Decline the review. - Ask editor for more time. Then turn in report close to your new proposed deadline. Don't do: - Ghost the request - Agree to request then go months past the due date w/no communication
All sorts of face palm here. - using units to deliberately make effect size seem bigger - miscalculate the effect size by a factor of 10 - call that mistake a "typo" - say that a 10x smaller effect size doesn't change the policy recommendation(!!!!!) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/13/h...
“How a simple math error sparked a panic about black plastic kitchen utensils”: Does it matter when an estimate is off by a factor of 10? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Quite seriously one of the regular dishes in my rotation (a lentil dish, obviously) was a direct result of one of Tamar's advocacy posts.
Tamar Haspel@tamarhaspel.bsky.social · 2y agoIt is my tireless advocacy that has made lentils all the rage
Counterpoint: West Virginia had Joe Manchin as a Senator for how many years? Kentucky has a D governor. Kansas has a D governor. To me it seems like more an issue of finding state pols who are willing to deviate from the national party narrative in order to serve their constituents.
Jonathan Ladd@jonathanmladd.com · 2y agoNot easy to solve. Party coalitions are like continental plates--constantly moving but rarely quickly. If the state Dem Parties in TX, OH, FL, etc knew of a set of political positions or the profile of a candidate that could win their base and swing voters they would have already done it.
Anyone have winter overshoe recommendations for cycling? When it gets down below 30, keeping my feet warm is a challenge.
I'm clearly 10 years too late to the party, but I found this essay to be enlightening: slatestarcodex.com/2014/09/30/i...
I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup
[Content warning: Politics, religion, social justice, spoilers for “The Secret of Father Brown”. This isn’t especially original to me and I don’t claim anything more than to…
slatestarcodex.com
Such a pet peeve of mine. "Follow the science" is meaningless advice. The science doesn't tell you what to do. It just gives you information (of varying degrees of quality/noisiness/bias). Decisions come from combining that info with *values*. The science doesn't give you your values.
Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990
