@calgarygrit.bsky.social

Add Chicoutimi to the byelexn calendar! This has been CPC stronghold since 2017, but the Libs, NDP, and BQ all held it in the decade prior. Martel's personal brand boosted CPC from 4th in 2015 to byelexn win in 2017. I'd peg BQ as the favourites, but Lib, BQ, CPC were all within 3% last elexn.

UCP ministers Nate Horner and Matt Jones say there shouldn’t be a separatist referendum called by the premier. Will Danielle Smith remove them from cabinet for speaking against it? One would hope the premier would be thankful for their pro-Canada voices.

Worth noting as we see both Nate Horner and Matt Jones resign their cabinet positions. Both were asked two weeks ago if they support the Premier calling a separation referendum on her own. Horner said she shouldn't while Jones said UCP should push harder to stay in Canada.

The head of Forever Canadian appears to be conveniently connecting dots here. Alberta abuzz with rumours of cabinet shuffle that may come Thursday. Fin Min Nate Horner and Hospitals Min Matt Jones both expected to be shuffled out because they aren’t running for re-election.

Hon. Thomas A. Lukaszuk@lukaszukab.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Danielle Smith now has a Cabinet management problem. Two ministers, Jones and Horner, object to the UCP party/government being the proponent/instigator of a referendum question on separatism. They’re not separatists. Any bets on how long they’ll last in Cabinet? I give them one day. #ableg

Biggest declines in CPC vote in byelections, since 2015 (35 total byelections): 1. Terrebonne (2026) -14.8% 2. Scarborough SW (2026) -12.2% 3. University Rosedale (2026) -11.1% 4. Lac Saint Jean (2017) -8.3% 5. Toronto Centre (2020) -5.7%