Callie Cox
@calliecox.bsky.social
🤓 Your resident market nerd 💙 Author of OptimistiCallie 👉 https://www.optimisticallie.com/subscribe
Regardless of Warsh's rhetorical choices, he's arguably the most impactful public figure when it comes to interest rates. Interest rates are the most important variable in how we all approach financial decisions. At the very least, he needs to keep his story straight.
Woof, what a chart. $GOOG just posted its first quarter of negative free cash flow in at least 10 years.
🐂 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🐂 This bull market has been the product of a handful of stocks pulling the S&P 500 higher. Yet this year, nearly half of S&P stocks are outperforming the index. Are we finally in the midst of a strong, broad, raging bull? www.optimisticallie.com/p/a-full-bull
I have had many thoughts since returning to work, but these two are constants: Working moms are superheroes. This is the hardest thing I’ve ever done.
If inflation is a risk you’re worried about, stocks can be your antidote. Inflation may eat into your budget, but it also helps companies build pricing power. Be both an employee and a shareholder. Annualized change in the S&P and CPI by decade:
Not me immediately CTRL+Fing "task force" on the Fed minutes
🎆 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🎆 Why I'm still heavily invested in America: www.optimisticallie.com/p/united-sta...
📢 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 📢 Kevin Warsh — the new Fed chair — is a man of few words. He's actively reining in Fed communication, a tool his predecessors have leaned on heavily (esp Jay Powell) And your portfolio is part of this experiment. optimisticallie.com/p/a-smaller-...
Happy Fed day to all who observe. Gone from the podium, but forever in our hearts.
🔥 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🔥 We all know temperatures rise in degrees. Inflation does as well. And there are differences between today's hot, hot heat and the market-melting scorcher that was 2022 www.optimisticallie.com/p/hot-hot-heat
Prices are growing faster than paychecks. American wallets are getting squeezed. This is a fact. How much will this matter to the vibes? A lot. How much will this matter to economic momentum? TBD.
🍗 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🍗 AI companies are shoving a monstrous amount of new shares down our throats. SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs alone could exceed the strongest year for IPO issuance in recent history. Can we actually swallow all of this? www.optimisticallie.com/p/all-you-ca...
There are a lot of eye-popping stats out there about the massive SpaceX IPO My favorite: $SPCX's $75 billion float alone would be equal to the second-strongest year for all IPOs since the turn of the century
I'm back. Why AI will never replace good research (because the best analysts chew gum 🧠) www.optimisticallie.com/p/the-best-a...
🧠 The best analysts chew gum
Why AI will never replace good research
optimisticallie.com
Crude oil and the 10-year yield have moved in the same direction for 17 trading days (almost a month!), the longest streak since the beginning of my data in 1985. Inflation expectations rule everything around me (us).
Trading activity (or turnover, share volume times share price) in leveraged ETFs and ETNs reached a record $45.9 billion in March Those of you who thrive in market chaos are absolutely feasting in this particular moment
I'm so in love with my kids. I'm so excited to get back to work soon.
Younger Americans are struggling through an affordability crisis. Their parents are sitting on $90 trillion in cash, investments and home equity, with many of them waiting until they die to pass it on. Why aren't more people giving while living? www.optimisticallie.com/p/giving-whi...
Friends, meet Theodore Patterson Cox & Isabel Marilyn Cox, born January 12. Everybody is happy, healthy and thriving (although Mom and Dad are admittedly exhausted). I wrote a stream of consciousness on some of the most important work I'll ever do. www.optimisticallie.com/p/theo-and-i...
Treat your central bank like a third-world country, trade like a third-world country. bsky.app/profile/apne...
The Associated Press@apnews.com · 7mo agoBREAKING: The Department of Justice subpoenas the Federal Reserve, says Chair Jerome Powell.
“This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation” It’s about time the Fed took the gloves off www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
Good evening. On Friday, the Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment related to my testi
federalreserve.gov
Several years ago, a male colleague told me how unfair it is that women get a three-month vacation in maternity leave Boy do I think about that comment a lot as I vomit and waddle my way to the finish line.
I'm on maternity leave, and OptimistiCallie is on a publishing hiatus. But I wanted to leave you a gift in one of my most-read posts of all time during a season to focus on all that really matters 🎁 www.optimisticallie.com/p/all-that-r...
PERSONAL(ISH) NEWS: I hate slop research. And I'm building a research business with @thecompoundnews.bsky.social optimisticallie.com/p/slop-resea...
🎶 Do you have to? do you have to? do you have to let it linger? 🎶
🍂 ATTENTION ADVISORS 🍂 We're conducting research on how you talk about legacies, estates and inheritances in your practices. Give us 5 mins of your time, and you'll be entered into a raffle for a $100 Amazon gift card. Take the survey HERE: qualtricsxmdbbjzg4m7.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
