Cara Leavey

@caraleavey.bsky.social

Public health PhD at Newcastle Uni // Interested in young people, work and health inequalities

NEW: Planned welfare reform could see big benefit cuts for disabled people who can't work, Citizens Advice has warned The government wants to replace long-term ESA disability benefits with a new, much more time-limited benefit called Unemployment Insurance (UI) www.bigissue.com/news/social-...

Disabled people could face benefit cuts – even if they cannot work

Long-term claimants of employment and support allowance could be moved over to a new, time-limited disability benefit – equating to cuts.

bigissue.com

Attention is on NEETs today, but the problem is much worse. NEETs include stay-at-home parents & jobseekers. Strip those out to focus on people not working, not seeking work, not in education & not parenting: this group of economically & socially dislocated young adults has *doubled* in a decade.

Bild

Welcome intervention, commissioned by @debbieabrahamsmp.bsky.social's Work and Pensions Select Committee, to demonstrate that better employment support for disabled people could generate significant fiscal savings, without needing to rely on crude cuts to benefits inews.co.uk/news/politic...

How Reeves could save £12bn without cutting disability benefits

Billions could be recouped by the Treasury by offering careers support for the disabled

inews.co.uk

Mental health problems are real. But they’re rarely people’s only barrier to work. People with experience of mental distress describe a wide range of social, economic, relational and structural barriers to work – in addition to the challenges posed by symptoms. It’s more than a mental health issue 🧵

The government has introduced legislation today to implement cuts to disability & health benefits There have been no substantial concessions on how the proposals were originally presented in the Green Paper Here is what we know about the impact these cuts will have... 🧵

The government says its cuts to disability benefits are part of a “moral mission” to get more people working. But analysis shows fewer than 100,00 are expected to start work by the end of the parliament. Meanwhile around 3m will have disability & health related benefits cut. 1/4

Clip from the times Monday 19 May with headline “fewer than 100,000 will find work through Labour jobs scheme”

NEW: Internal DWP figures show 700,000 families *already* in poverty are forecast to be hit by planned disability benefit cuts That's on top of the 250k+ who are predicted to be newly pushed into poverty by the changes By me, for the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/society/2025...

Disability benefit cuts to hit 700,000 families already in poverty, DWP forecasts show

Internal government forecasts obtained by the Guardian reveal ‘truly shocking’ effects of planned cuts

theguardian.com

On Friday afternoon, the Govt published the evidence pack for its Pathways to Work Green Paper. It confirms that the Govt's PIP cut will hit older people hardest, despite all the rhetoric about focusing on 'snowflake' young people. A quick thread...

📢A new study from @uniofbath.bsky.social shows London's low emissions zones have had major benefits for human health and the economy, with a 10.2% decrease in respiratory issues following LEZ implementation, an **18.5%** reduction in sick leave, and annual public health savings of over £37 million.

“And Breathe Normally”: Impacts of low emission zones on sick leave and mental well-being

Air pollution poses a global concern due to its detrimental effects on climate, healthcare, and human capital accumulation. However, there is limited …

sciencedirect.com

The OBR has not yet been able to forecast any employment gain from the cuts/changes to incapacity & disability benefits MPs are being asked to support around £6.5bn of cuts & increased conditionality for ill & disabled people without any clear assessment of what it will achieve

Text from OBR document: Labour supply impact of Spring Statement welfare and employment support measures: We have not made a comprehensive assessment of the labour supply impacts of those elements of the Green Paper that we have incorporated into the fiscal forecast. The individual measures’ labour market impacts are complex to assess and would have interacting effects. The Government did not provide us with a comprehensive and robust analysis of these potential effects, and we were not, in the very limited time available, able to develop our own analysis of their net impact on labour supply. In addition, some of the wider Green Paper reforms set out above, which are not included in the fiscal forecast, could also have labour market implications. We will make a full assessment of the Green Paper policies’ effects ahead of our next forecast

Last week the government proposed cuts to disability and long-term sickness benefits. These cuts will leave some disabled people significantly worse off. 📢 By 2029/30, someone that loses PIP daily living and LCWRA will be over £800 per month worse off 1/4

A chart showing monthly income after housing cost (AHC) in 2029/30 before and after proposed changes for new claimants. It shows that a single person losing PIP daily living and LCWRA could lose £818 per month which is 58% of their income. This is based off modelling of a single person over 25, unable to work due to disability/health conditions. Under existing rules they would be eligible for Universal Credit (UC) Limited Capability for Work-Related Activity (LCWRA), Personal Independence Payments (PIP) standard daily living, PIP standard mobility. Under proposed reforms they would lose UC LCWRA and PIP daily living.

A few months ago the FT suggested the surge in disability benefit claims may not have been driven by an actual rise in illness/disability, having found limited evidence for such a rise since the pandemic Now the IFS has published research suggesting there has been a rise ifs.org.uk/news/various...

Various indicators point to a deterioration in population mental health – likely contributing to rising disability benefit caseloads | Institute for Fiscal Studies

Mental health has worsened since the pandemic. This is consistent with rising disability benefit claims for mental health.

ifs.org.uk

Cutting PIP quite simply means harming people's welfare. The evidence is clearly there that Disabled people face higher living costs, and PIP helps alleviate that. It's got nothing to do with work. For example, from CASE 20 years ago: sticerd.lse.ac.uk/case/_new/pu...

Comparing incomes when needs differ: Equivalisation for the extra costs of disability in the UK

Equivalisation of incomes for household size and composition is accepted practice when measuring poverty and inequality; adjustments to take account of other variations in needs are rarely made. This paper explores the financial implications of one possible source of additional needs: disability. Using two UK household surveys, we seek to establish whether there are extra costs of living associated with disability, and to quantify them using the ¿standard of living¿ approach. The underlying theory is that a household¿s standard of living is a function of income and needs. The extra costs of disability can be derived by comparing the standard of living of households with and without disabled members at a given income, having controlled for other sources of variation. Results show that the extra costs of disability are substantial, especially for disabled people living alone, and that these costs rise with severity of disability. To bring out the policy implications of these results, we compare and contrast three different income distributions which differ in their adjustment for the extra costs of disability, for the population as a whole and for various subgroups. We find that unadjusted incomes significantly understate the problem of low income amongst disabled people, and thereby in the population as a whole.

sticerd.lse.ac.uk

Read about our “game changer” for an Institute for Preventative Health based in the North 👇 announced today

The NHSA@thenhsa.bsky.social · last yr.

Today, we announced proposals for an institute to tackle ill health in the North at #COTN25. Northern leaders joined us for a workshop - chaired by Mayor of South Yorkshire Oliver Coppard - to discuss plans. More on the Institute for Preventative Health Research 👇🏼 www.thenhsa.co.uk/2025/02/prop...