Katie Schmuecker

@katieschmuecker.bsky.social

Principal Policy Adviser at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation - UK poverty, social policy, politics, research and data. Occasionally crochet, gigs and nature

New: Poverty and inadequate income are major drivers of young people becoming NEET- not in employment education or training 📈Persistent poverty triples the risk of not earning or learning 👛Inadequate income holds young people back from returning to earning or learning

The PM has described his changes to technical education as not just an education reform but a different approach to welfare too. It's refreshing, and he's right. Tackling the failures that put pressure on our welfare system is the route to popular and lasting change. 1/3

Screen shot of part of a Times article from 28/07/26 reading:

"That’s why I see this as more than just education reform. It’s a different approach to welfare too.

Instead of 16-year-olds leaving school with only dead ends, we’re investing early — helping young people build successful working lives from the start. It isn’t the only answer — we’ll need to look at the health of our young people too — but it is an essential part of building a country that supports success rather than pays for failure. I’m determined to unlock the potential of the next generation, tackle the youth unemployment crisis, and bring the welfare bill down in a way that lasts."

A record number of families are going without the essentials, our research finds. That's 7.4 million households. New PM Andy Burnham has promised to put tackling the cost of living "front and centre" of his government. Bold policy choices are needed to make that happen:

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Burnham wants a 'fair and sustainable' approach to welfare. That means targeting the underlying causes of people's need to claim benefits - which is far more popular with the public (59%) than cutting eligibility (20%) or benefit rates (8%). 1/3

As debates rage about where to get the money for higher defence spending, it’s important we have a clear picture of how we spent the peace dividend while it was around. Thread 🧵⤵️

New stats seems to show the Government's Connect to Work programme, to help disabled people into work, has only helped half as many people as it expected in January. Decent results for those on it, but there's not enough on it. I say seems to, as it's so far off maybe I'm wrong. But I can't see how.

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🧵 1/ The Milburn Review is right to sound the alarm 🚨 Rising numbers of young people out of work or education should concern all of us. This reflects deep, structural challenges - not a short-term blip.

🚨 NEW! Our report out today concludes rent controls can ease the pressure on renters, without jeopardising the private rented sector. A rent control could: - Make renters nearly £1200 a year better off by 2030 - Reduce the housing benefit bill by £600m, even with annual LHA uprating Here's how 👇

Cover slide for JRF's 'Ending the rent squeeze' programme of work, with an image of some flats over an oatmeal and pink background with a JRF logo in the bottom left corner

450,000 children no longer in poverty - and may more in less severe poverty - as the two child limit is scrapped. A change that will see children supported when their family hits hard times, whether they are the 1st, 2nd or 3rd child to be born into their family. A good start for every child.

Brightly coloured image of families with children watching balloons in the shapes of “450,000” floating upwards lifting a banner reading “children lifted out of poverty”

Today the two-child limit is gone. Parents have told us what this will mean for their kids: - A first-ever birthday party for a 10-year-old - Better quality food - Clothes that aren't completely worn out - Going on the school trip without getting into debt - A new mattress - Swimming lessons

The story in yesterday’s poverty data? A small rise in poverty in Labour’s first year, up by 500k to 13.4 million in 2024/25. ⬆️working-age adults in poverty went up by 300k ⬆️number of pensioner in poverty went up by 200k ↔️child poverty stayed flat. More action needed! 1/7

An infographic saying that there were around 13.4 million people were in poverty in 2024/25, a rise of 500,000 in overall poverty between 2023/24 and 2024/25.  This was made up of:
4.0 million children (no change)
7.7 million working-age adults [up 300k]
1.7 million pensioners [up 200k]

📊 A big change to the way official poverty statistics are constructed comes into effect this year. Family Resources Survey responses and official government benefit records will now be linked for the first time. 📝 In this short explainer video, we take you through what the changes mean.

🗣️ 'Not only is this a problem for individuals and families, it's a problem for our economy.' Hear from our Principal Policy Adviser @katieschmuecker.bsky.social in BBC Panorama's latest episode on the continuing cost of living crisis. 📹 Starts from 08:30 www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/epis...

Panorama - Living without Life’s Little Luxuries

With the cost-of-living crisis still squeezing household budgets, Colletta Smith investigates the consequences for communities, jobs and everyday life.

bbc.co.uk

"Trusted with money and no conditions attached, the young people in our trial made choices that reduced their demand on crisis services across the board." ✍️ Writing for @bigissue.com, @michael-sanders.bsky.social argues our cash transfers study challenges traditional assumptions about welfare

How UK could save money by giving out cash – not cutting benefits

Benefit cuts and sanctions are often part of government reforms to save money – but studies show free cash handouts could be more effective.

bigissue.com

Pride in Place’s commitment to community-led investment in neighbourhood is so needed. But new JRF analysis maps the areas overlooked for funding in England: disproportionately in the north and some ranked as facing among the greatest challenges. They should be priority for expanding the programme.

Map of doubly disadvantaged neighbourhoods in England (economically deprived with weaker social infrastructure of community groups, spaces and activities). Red dots mark neighbourhoods in the most deprived 10% that have not received phase 1 or 2 Pride in Place funding. They are disproportionately in the north of England.

Speedy analysis from @jrf-uk.bsky.social . This is how modelled household incomes evolve over the Parliament after deducting housing costs. It's a disappointing picture. Let's hope the Government beat the forecasts, although the headwinds from the current conflict shouldn't be underestimated.

Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf-uk.bsky.social · 7mo ago

🔔 New analysis alert! Our modelling finds that average annual household disposable incomes are projected to grow by just £40 over the course of the current parliament (from April 2024 to April 2029) after adjusting for inflation.

Graph showing how annual household disposable incomes, after housing costs are set to fall by over £500 between now and the end of the parliament (April 2029)

📣 Our new UK Poverty report is out! It shows very deep poverty (6.8m people) and child poverty (4.5m children) were both at record highs when Labour took power in 2024. It also shows how policy choices can change the picture… 🧵1/5