Carolina Arteaga

@caroartc.bsky.social

Econ Professor @ University of Toronto | NBER | UCLA | Feminist | Sports fan carolinaarteaga.com

Incredible social science & data use here. The immediate story is about how the opioid epidemic (pushed by pharma in high cancer areas), resulted in major opioid death & economic hardship which - through various media/political channels - resulted in a sustained rise in support for the Republicans

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

This is a very cool paper with a clever identification strategy to test the causal impact of the opioid epidemic on various political outcomes. A key point that’s not in the abstract —causal mechanism is voters agreed with GOP tough on crime rhetoric and policy.

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

Entirely consistent with what we have experienced, but it still confounds me that people needing and receiving MORE public support increased their votes for Republicans. The people/party that, for the last 45 years++, has wanted to take that support away

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

Incredibly proud of this 🤩🥹! So much work and determination behind this publication. What a journey this was! Honored to have done it with you @vickybarone.bsky.social 🚀❤️

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

A great honor to be part of the XI Workshop for Young Economists organized by the Lima School of Economics and @UDEP. 📅 Save the date: August 10–11, 2026 🗓️ Deadline: March 13 🇵🇪 See you in Lima!

Workshop flyer

Benjamin Wallace-Wells writes about the fentanyl crisis and the Democrats’ failure to respond to it. The Party was “a little too ready to dismiss the hubbub over opioids as partisan hysteria, and a little too slow to notice that people were actually troubled.”

Did the Opioid Epidemic Fuel Donald Trump’s Return to the White House?

New research suggests that the Democrats’ struggles in communities battling fentanyl addiction had little to do with economic theory or messaging—it was, more simply, a failure of political attention.

newyorker.com