Corey Husak

@chusak.bsky.social

Tax and Labor Policy analysis. Currently Director at ‪@americanprogress.bsky.social‬

A really interesting way to re-frame the federal debt conversation. Instead of measuring debt as a stock to a flow (debt-to-GDP) measure it as a stock to a stock (debt-to-wealth) Wealth is less well-measured than GDP, but would be great to see more comparative research on this metric

Austin Clemens@austinclemens2.bsky.social · 3d ago

ICYMI – debt-to-GDP has passed 100% and reached WW2 levels, but debt-to-wealth in the US is 20% and ~half WW2 levels. @dsmitch28.bsky.social and I argue the most cited debt statistic doesn't account for all our resources.

Despite the enactment of the 2021 infrastructure law, total US spending on rail transit/railway construction was lower in 2022–24 than in the previous years, when adjusted for actual construction costs. And while highway spending increased briefly, it's come down again. www.urban.org/research/pub...

Increases in the Costs of Materials and Labor Have Erased Much of the Benefits of Increased Transportation Spending since IIJA’s Passage
Bobby Kogan@bbkogan.bsky.social · last mo.

Finally turning to my next piece. Probably won't get it out till mid-August cause of all the other stuff I have going on simultaneously. I don't think people have really internalized how much non-defense discretionary has fallen in recent years. This has most of our long-term investment funding.

line bounce up and down from 1986-2010. Then a level shift down but flat through 2020. And then just down down down down since then.

Most federal government spending is historically low and projected to remain so. If you think we have a spending problem then you are talking about Social Security and Medicare Deficits are driven by low tax revenues after successive deep and deeper cuts 🔽

Bobby Kogan@bbkogan.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Do we have a spending problem? I argue no. Short 🧵 Here's a graph of all program spending EXCEPT Social Security and Medicare from 1950-present (with projections through 2056). It's already way below average, moving towards historic lows. So clearly that part of the govt isn't a "problem."

All time low under Clinton. Current level lowest except for Clinton and Bush and Obama, but on track to be lowest except a single year under Clinton.

absolutely, and it's because we lack statehood. I realize, for obvious reasons, that most people view D.C. statehood in terms of 2 (almost certainly) Democratic senate seats, but the lack of self-governance is a real problem. Imagine if Congress had a de facto line item veto over your state budget.

Alex@alexanotherone.bsky.social · 3mo ago

It seems to me the people of Washington, DC are going through a much more deranged version of the Trump Presidency than the rest of us

Econ policymakers should study this poll: what do voters actually want them to focus on? Overwhelmingly, young voters say: housing Older voters say: health care all ages say: food and other necessities retirement/transp/education are in there but nothing else really matters

Brendan Duke@brendanvduke.bsky.social · 5mo ago

This point from a NYT-Sienna poll--widely considered the gold standard of published public opinion--on how voters prioritize taxes compared to health, food etc. has implications for elected officials considering spending trillions on middle-class tax cuts vs. other priorities like Medicaid and SNAP.

Really interesting proposal from Corey, who is deeply knowledgeable on tax policy & worth following. The problem for housing is the issues stem from state/local, so there’s little we can fix at the federal level. Short of directly building housing, this is probably the most bang for buck we can do.

Corey Husak@chusak.bsky.social · 5mo ago

New from myself and Thomas Brosy @taxpolicycenter.bsky.social : A proposal to create 1 million new homes! The housing shortage is causing skyrocketing rents. We need something to build more homes, fast. This is how: www.americanprogress.org/article/1-si...

Taxes aren't primarily a punishment for people we dislike. They are a mechanism to fund the programs that make the country less unfair. The govt lifts more than 30 million people out of poverty each year. We can and should do better than that, and we need tax revenue for that.

The Bush tax cuts and the Trump tax cuts are entirely to blame for our fiscal gap. Entirely? Spending projections are down relative to old projections where we didn't have a fiscal gap, not up. That is, relative to projections where there was no problem, spending is down. So it's all revenue loss.

Line graph showing both revenues and spending falling behind old projections.

First, what happened? I'm looking at the fiscal gap, which measures the average primary (non-interest) deficit reduction needed to keep debt/GDP stable. The Big Beautiful Bill made that 45% worse. And if OB3's temporary provisions are made permanent, it made our fiscal situation 76% worse.

FG before OB3: 1.64%
Including OB3: 2.39%
Also assume temporary OB3 provisions are extended: 2.89%
Also include tariffs: 2.26%
Now assume only 1/3 of tariffs remain after 2029: 2.63%

Undertaking a sweeping investigation of almost all federal funding to 14 states & D.C. – all but one led by a Democrat – is a harmful & shameful escalation of the Admin’s corrupt politicization of basic governance & suggests funding freezes may be coming. www.cnn.com/2026/01/22/p...

Trump administration orders review of federal funding in more than a dozen Democratic states | CNN Politics

The Trump administration has ordered a review of federal funding sent to more than a dozen Democratic-led states, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.

cnn.com