Chris Sullivan
@cjsullivan.bsky.social
E Desmond Lee Professor Youth Crime & Violence Chair of CCJ @UMSL https://www.umsl.edu/ccj/directory/sullivan-chris.html https://scholars.org/scholar/christopher-j-sullivan https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=vwX-DHsAAAAJ&hl=en Opinions my own
Two simulation studies in this paper show that doubly robust methods for causal inference—especially regression weighted by inverse propensity scores—are more robust to model misspecification than traditional regression across many scenarios. link.springer.com/article/10.3...
A review and evaluation of doubly robust approaches for estimating average treatment effects - Behavior Research Methods
In nonexperimental studies, obtaining an unbiased estimate of the average treatment effect (ATE) typically requires two key assumptions: that all relevant covariates are measured (i.e., no unmeasured ...
link.springer.com
Attending #apls2026? Check out this opportunity to meet the editorial team of Law and Human Behavior and get involved with this APA journal! https://bit.ly/4ssk3Yn @ap-ls.org
🚨New article alert! This review explores how adolescent development shapes youth trust as a distinct precursor to adult trust, highlighting the need for more ecologically valid and interdisciplinary approaches to studying trust. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
A developmental psychological perspective on youth trust - Discover Psychology
Discover Psychology - Adolescence is a critical developmental period marked by significant social, emotional, and cognitive changes that profoundly impact trust. This paper examines how these...
link.springer.com
This is a nice high-level primer on how initial screening decisions work and how to put your paper in the best position at that part of the review process
If you're an academic grappling with desk rejection, whether it's by 1, 2, or even 14 journals, then this blog post is for you. What you learn from the dreaded desk-rejection and how to move forward with your paper: https://rpst.page.link/bd1t #AcademicSky #PhDLife #PhDchat
New this week: I looked at why there's no real evidence supporting the idea that murder is falling because of improved trauma care. jasher.substack.com/p/is-murder-...
Is Murder Falling Because of Improved Trauma Care?
Why it isn't quite so cut and dry.
jasher.substack.com
To students looking for PhD opportunities in #CriminalJustice. 3XPhd (fully funded) positions to work with Jakub Drápal & @msoltes.bsky.social on their latest ERC project, from Charles University (Prague), imho the leading research centre on #Sentencing worldwide. www.prf.cuni.cz/sites/defaul...
prf.cuni.cz
Please share: Pew Research Center will provide $3,000 each for 19 new papers using our recent global datasets. We encourage reuse of our Pew-Templeton Global Religious Futures data! https://www.pewresearch.org/2026/01/16/seeking-research-using-recent-pew-templeton-global-religious-futures-datasets/
JCOIN is now accepting applications for our next LEAP cohort. LEAP is an education & mentorship program to advance the capacity & diversity of high impact research in health/criminal legal settings through specialized training & skill-development curriculums. www.jcoinctc.org/leap/
Learning Experiences to Advance Practice (LEAP) - Justice Community Overdose Innovation Network Coordination and Translation Center
Learning Experiences to Advance Practice (LEAP) is a multifaceted program designed to educate any interested individual about the nuances of conducting research in criminal justice settings.
jcoinctc.org
Some analysis of 2025 homicides in St. Louis with an insightful quote from Lee Slocum of UMSL CCJ
Homicides in St. Louis fell 7% in 2025, dropping from 151 in 2024 to 139 deaths. Police credit community partnerships for the continuing downward trend, though experts say the May 16th tornado may have slowed larger declines.
STATTR@K | Do you have tips, tricks, or ideas that could help students and early-career professionals navigate the statistics and data science fields? If so, think about writing for STATtr@k. Take a look at some topic ideas and inspiration: #STATSKY stattrak.amstat.org/2025/12/01/t...
Looking at the historic reduction in US homicides from many angles. I appreciate the Real-Time Crime Index data - 12-month rolling trends for 570 cities 2018-2025. But this graph from U Chicago Crime Lab made me appreciate what Baltimore and St Louis have accomplished from their peak to 2025.
Crime in the US almost certainly fell at a historic clip in 2025 led by the largest drop in murder ever recorded. The US likely had the lowest murder & property crime rates since at least 1960 & lowest violent crime rate since the mid-60s. My year in review: jasher.substack.com/p/2025-year-...
2025 Year in Review: A Remarkable Drop In Crime
Crime almost certainly fell an enormous amount in 2025.
jasher.substack.com
📝💲You may also choose to take part in a follow-up interview for compensation. 📌 This study has been approved by the University of Missouri–St. Louis IRB. Please share with your personal and professional networks. Thank you for helping advance knowledge on this important topic.
📢 ‼️ Recruiting for our study on human trafficking awareness and information sources. If you are a US resident, 18 or older, and speak English, you’re invited to participate. ⏳ DURATION: 10 minutes or less 🔗 SURVEY LINK: umsl.az1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/14/c...
Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
We've made it very easy to cut out the messy, time-consuming stuff that actually builds real relationships. But "inconvenience is the cost of community," and if you want a village, it takes choosing people over convenience. More insight from a scholar who studies belonging:
The price of belonging is inconvenience. Are we still willing to pay it?
Every time we choose people over convenience, we invest in community. The real question in our homes, workplaces and democracies is whether we are willing to pay that price.
buff.ly
We face uncertainty every day—weather forecasts, health predictions, and probabilities meant to guide our choices. On “Stats + Stories,” Sir David Spiegelhalter joins to talk about communicating risk and how to navigate chance, ignorance, risk, & luck. statsandstories.net/society1/the... #STATSSKY
Book talk! @FinesandFeesJC on Legal Plunder – A moderated discussion with Josh Page, Joe Soss, and Joanna Weiss Dec 3, 2025 11:00 AM CT Register for the webinar or in-person talk at NYU Law here: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: FFJC Presents: Legal Plunder – A Moderated Discussion with the Authors. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
We are excited to invite you to an informative panel discussion with Joe Soss and Joshua Page, the authors of Legal Plunder: The Predatory Dimensions of Criminal Justice, a book exploring how fines an...
us02web.zoom.us
Public investments work. The 2025 Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) Data Snapshot shows that key policies — like the Child Tax Credit, Earned Income Tax Credit and SNAP — keep millions of kids out of poverty. www.aecf.org/resources/me... @annieecaseyfdn.bsky.social
Murder was down nearly 20% in the 30 cities with the most murders in 2024 (available through September in 29 of the 30 cities).
My forthcoming book is now available for pre-order! Scan the QR code:
“Young people want to help shape organizational culture and strategy, not just programs — and when given the chance, they are proving they can drive meaningful change.” – Casey Senior Associate Traci Broady
Building Authentic Youth-Adult Partnerships: Lessons in Intergenerational Collaboration
Casey's Traci Broady answers questions about a new tool to help community-based organizations cultivate youth leadership. Read her interview.
aecf.org
Today is the last day to apply for best consideration for our Deputy Director role! Apply now and make an impact in violence reduction! umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/UMCP/job/Uni...
Faculty Specialist
Job Description Summary ORGANIZATION SUMMARY STATEMENT Position Overview and Key Responsibilities The Center for the Study and Practice of Violence Reduction (“the VRC”) seeks an experienced and energ...
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com
Join Our Team! The VRC is seeking an experienced Deputy Director to advance our mission to save lives by stopping violence, using science. Apply by 9/12 for best consideration! tinyurl.com/applyvrc
Faculty Specialist
Job Description Summary ORGANIZATION SUMMARY STATEMENT Position Overview and Key Responsibilities The Center for the Study and Practice of Violence Reduction (“the VRC”) seeks an experienced and energ...
tinyurl.com
📢 We’re Hiring! 📢 FFJC is seeking a solutions-oriented #Operations Associate to help keep our systems running smoothly as we advance fines & fees reform. If you're organized, proactive, & passionate about economic justice — we want to hear from you! 👉 Apply now: tinyurl.com/5n7c2dbv
We're Hiring: Operations Associate - Fines and Fees Justice Center
POSITION SUMMARY The Fines & Fees Justice Center (FFJC) is seeking someone with strong organizational and administrative skills to join the team as an Operations Associate. This is an entry ...
tinyurl.com
🚨New pub with PhD student @shallen-a.bsky.social (She’s on the job market!) in PPR exploring SROs’ perceptions of selection for the position. It was suggested that being a parent and effective communicator, some law enforcement experience, and an ability to multitask are helpful characteristics.
‘It takes a special cop to be an SRO’: school resource officers’ perceptions of selection for the position
School resource officers (SROs) play a critical role in U.S. schools, often serving as law enforcement, educators, and counselors. The extant literature emphasizes the importance of SROs’ law enfor...
tandfonline.com
Student newspapers continue to do great work. www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...
Harvard Was Cleared To Get Some Federal Funds. Then DOGE Stepped In. | News | The Harvard Crimson
DOGE officials have used their control of a federal payment system to keep money away from Harvard — even after a judge’s ruling required the National Institutes of Health to let some grants start flo...
thecrimson.com
After 25 years as a member of ASC, i was happy to contribute this piece to The Criminologist about crime and justice scholarship in this moment asc41.org/wp-content/u...
asc41.org