Teaching social network analysis to brilliant doctoral students at Oxford last term. Networks shape how ideas spread, how power operates, how we find new jobs. Two days of graph theory, R coding, and thinking relationally about the social world. 🧵📊 @ox.ac.uk @socsci.ox.ac.uk
Clemens Jarnach
@clemensjarnach.bsky.social
Political Sociologist & Data Scientist | PhD, University of Oxford | 🔬📊🌍 Read more on → http://medium.com/@clemensjarnach
Huge thank you to the Redd Center for supporting my research. You'll find me in the archives this summer!
Congrats to our annual awards and grants winners! It was as competitive a field as ever and we're thrilled by the exciting work being proposed. See the full list at the link below. Please share and congratulate (& tag) any friends and colleagues you see! reddcenter.byu.edu/0000019d-cfe...
“Aspiration matters! [pause] Reality matters too.” Inspiring words at the end of a wonderful keynote by the esteemed historian Annette Gordon-Reed at the Rothermere American Institute. @raioxford.bsky.social
From the cost of childcare to the housing crisis, there’s no shortage of explanations for the dramatic global fall in the number of babies being born. These analyses, though, are all missing something, says cognitive and evolutionary anthropologist Paula Sheppard
The real reasons birth rates are declining worldwide
From the cost of childcare to the housing crisis, there’s no shortage of explanations for the dramatic global fall in the number of babies being born. These analyses, though, are all missing something, says cognitive and evolutionary anthropologist Paula Sheppard
newscientist.com
Went to this seminar. Panel: Damian Hinds MP, Stella Creasy MP, Jonathan Hall KC, and Mitali Mukherjee @mitalilive.bsky.social was the voice that consistently brought the conversation back to evidence—genuinely stood out on a panel that otherwise struggled to rise above the political noise.
Publishers expect traffic from search to fall by 43% in the next 3 years. This is one of the findings of our new report on media trends. Authored by Nic Newman, it's based on a survey of 280 media leaders. Full report buff.ly/Dh2JIuT 7 findings in thread
Graduation from Oxford tomorrow. Late-night gown-ironing in full swing. #PhDone
"The more misinformation is repeated the more likely people are to believe it." In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation. 🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
Lauren Davis Jarnach explores the 1910 Arizona constitutional convention and how the breakdown of parliamentary procedure had profound effects for democracy. lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
I hate being “that reviewer,” but today I was the stereotypical reviewer 2. Sorry. #whoknowsknows #peerreview
I had a great time celebrating the opening of the first gallery exhibition I helped to curate. ‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ is on at the SOAS Gallery until Sept. 20.
Women working from home during COVID-19 faced a 40% increase in odds of IPV (Intimate Partner Violence) compared to working in-person (Miall, et al., 2023). Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128... #IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
Working from home and intimate partner violence among cis-women during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from a global, cross-sectional study - BMC Public Health
Background Intimate partner violence (IPV) may have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This analysis aimed to determine how employment disruption during COVID-19, including working from ho...
doi.org
@walesroyals.bsky.social Let’s talk!
Prince William is reportedly taking "forensic interest" in our research finding that Royal patronages have no discernible effect(!) - things I never thought I'd see 👇 @kensingtonpalace.bsky.social: we're happy to talk. www.gbnews.com/royal/prince...
I bet that you've never got the term "linear regression difference-in-differences analyses" into GB News, like @clemensjarnach.bsky.social & I just have! 🤣👍🏽 #econ
Some coverage of Giving Evidence's new report about Prince Andrew's #charity patronages claims that we found "a rise in profits". The concept of profit is normally meaningless in relation to charities: we looked at revenue. www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
Major sign Prince Andrew still ‘toxic’ despite attempts at comeback
Prince Andrew has been left red faced after several charities he once supported as patron saw a rise in profits after he stepped down from royal duties.
skynews.com.au
Could parliamentary procedure be so complex that it confuses even those in power? This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes. lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
After the Assembly: Constituting India is opening THIS WEEK (July 17) at the @soasgallery.bsky.social The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
After the Assembly: Constituting India
‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ commemorates the 75th anniversary of the Constitution of India, the longest living constitution in the global South.
soas.ac.uk
My paper 'Negotiating the Arizona Constitution'—on the role parliamentary procedure plays in ensuring democratic textual outcomes and trust in governing texts—is out on the Docket @lawandhistrev.bsky.social today!
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
First time my research has been featured in a major UK newspaper! It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him. Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam... Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p... #PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
Do Royals as patrons help charities raise money? We set out to test that using difference-in-differences analysis. Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Prince Andrew - remember him? - was patron of many charities until he ‘stepped back’ from everything after his Newsnight interview. Did he help his #charity patronees? Nope: not according to new (complicated) analysis from Giving Evidence. THREAD:
The Duke of York’s departure from his charities five years ago has had no overall effect on their income, a new report has revealed
Prince Andrew giving up patronage of charities had no impact
thetimes.com
With *Prince Andrew*'s step back, his charity patronages ended abruptly. We seized this rare 'natural experiment' to investigate if royal patronage measurably impacts charity revenue. Our findings are coming very soon: stay tuned!
The FBI has dropped its case against Prince Andrew: maybe he'll resume public duties. He was patron of loads of charities: Giving Evidence is publishing *very soon* research on whether that helped. Stay tuned. www.giving-evidence.com/andrew HT @clemensjarnach.bsky.social who did the heavy lifting.
Germany gears up for returning museum-held objects to their country of origin. Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
Historical breakthrough for German colonial restitution policy: Under guidance of @diplo.de, museums in Berlin, Munich, Stuttgart & Bremen ready for „first wave“ of return to Cameroon. @profdanhicks.bsky.social @kilderbenhauser.bsky.social @michmo.bsky.social @he-mel.bsky.social @rhoelzl.bsky.social
German BSW voters definitely judge books by their cover. 📚Unsurprising, but still interesting: people are voting primarily for her, not the party’s policies. 🗳️ New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
Our newest piece on BSW is now published. We show that when attitudes toward Wagenknecht come into the game, policies are no longer that meaningful in predicting behaviour. Personalisation in a personalised party! What a surprise! 😀 @sarahwagner.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....
🔔 Thrilled to share some big news: It's official, I'm now Dr. Jarnach! 🎉 My Oxford DPhil is complete! The news about my dissertation passing examination came a couple of weeks ago, and it's finally sunk in. #PhDone #PhDLife #Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
Just finished my PhD on how online information influences voting behaviour. This NYT article "A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy" is a good read. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy
nytimes.com
🗳️ Germany’s 2025 Federal Election 1/ Gender divide at the ballot box: Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany: Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left. www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all? Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.