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Data for Progress

@dataforprogress.org

Equipping the progressive movement with the data and insights it needs to win. dataforprogress.org

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Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last wk.

NEW: Do Democrats funded by AIPAC pay an electoral penalty in a general election? We find that a Democrat funded by AIPAC performs significantly worse against a Republican than a Democrat who “rejects all outside financial support from industry groups and PACs.”

"In a Matchup Against a Republican, a Democrat Funded by AIPAC Underperforms a Democrat Who Rejects Outside PAC Money." In this experiment, respondents were shown hypothetical general election matchups between a Republican and a Democratic candidate, both with a randomized source of outside funding. The chart shows how each funding source affects a Democratic candidate's average performance relative to a Democratic candidate who "rejects all financial support from outside industry groups and PACs." Planned Parenthood funding is associated with a +1.8pp effect. Nurses unions: -0.8pp. Police unions: -2.0pp. Real estate development industry: -2.7pp. Oil and gas industry: -3.1pp. National Rifle Association (NRA): -4.2pp. Pharmaceutical industry: -4.9pp. Cryptocurrency industry: -4.9pp. Artificial Intelligence industry: -5.3pp. American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC): -6.2pp. July 17–19, 2026 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters. From Data for Progress.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last wk.

As the U.S. enters its sixth month of the Iran War, new Data for Progress polling finds that a majority of voters — including 67% of Independents — think the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think the U.S. Is Not Accomplishing Its Goals in Iran. Description: Do you think the U.S. is accomplishing its goals with the war in Iran? All likely voters — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 31%, Don't know: 10%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 59% Democrat — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 13%, Don't know: 9%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 78% Independent / Third party — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 17%, Don't know: 16%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 67% Republican — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 55%, Don't know: 9%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 36% July 24–27, 2026 survey of 1,058 U.S. likely voters.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 2w ago

NEW: After reading information about the ICE shooting of Johan Sebastián Durán Guerrero in Houston, a majority of voters say they trust the civilian witnesses more than ICE officers to provide accurate information about the event.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Trust Witnesses More Than ICE Agents in Houston Shooting Case. Description: On July 7, a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer in Houston, Texas, shot and killed a man named Lorenzo Salgado Araujo. ICE argues that Salgado Araujo attempted to use his vehicle as a weapon by charging at ICE officers, and they needed to respond with deadly force. The three witnesses who were in the van with Salgado Araujo dispute this account. They state that no officer was in front of the vehicle and Salgado Araujo did not charge at the officers. Who do you trust more to provide an accurate account of what happened? All likely voters — The witnesses in the van: 54%, Don't know: 11%, ICE officers: 36% Read the full poll at: https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/7/23/voters-have-low-trust-in-ice-trust-civilian-witnesses-more-in-houston-shooting
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 2w ago

NEW: Voters support placing a tax on AI companies to fund various proposals, including a new jobs training program for displaced workers (74%), a new jobs creation program (74%), expanded unemployment insurance (70%), and Universal Basic Income (59%).

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Strongly Support Policies to Assist Workers Displaced by AI. Description: In the coming years, experts predict that artificial intelligence (AI) will replace human workers in some jobs. To address this, would you support or oppose placing a tax on the profit of AI companies in order to fund each of the following policies? Creating a new jobs training program for workers displaced by AI — Support: 74%, Oppose: 17% Creating a new public sector jobs program that would employ Americans in various roles, such as building infrastructure — Support: 73%, Oppose: 15% Providing expanded unemployment insurance benefits for workers displaced by AI — Support: 70%, Oppose: 18% Creating a Universal Basic Income program, which would provide a monthly stimulus check to every American — Support: 59%, Oppose: 28% June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.
Center for Climate Integrity@climateintegrity.org · 2w ago

A new poll from @dataforprogress.org and CCI finds that while natural gas greenwashing efforts have been noticeably effective, voters strongly support accountability for natural gas suppliers once they learn about the industry’s history of deception.

Natural Gas Accountability Receives Strong National Support

Voters across party lines support accountability for natural gas companies that intentionally mislead the public about the harms of natural gas.

dataforprogress.org

Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 4w ago

NEW: Our first report on the swing voters of the 2026 midterms finds that when they are asked which policies would make them definitely vote for a Democrat, the most selected option is “raise taxes on the wealthy,” followed by “create a Medicare for All health care system.”

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Swing Voters Say Raising Taxes on the Wealthy Would Move Their Vote to Democrats. Description: Which of these policies would make you definitely vote for a Democratic candidate in an upcoming election? Please select up to three options. Raise taxes on the wealthy — 28% Create a Medicare for All health care system — 24% Ban artificial intelligence from setting prices or wages based on personal data — 21% Restrict private utility companies from passing unreasonable costs on to customers — 20% Raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour — 19% Stop providing military aid and weapons to Israel — 17% Increase border security — 17% ​​Nothing would make me definitely vote for a Democratic candidate — 16% Invest in building new affordable housing — 13% Increase oil and gas drilling — 12% Ban transgender women from playing women's sports — 12% Increase protections for abortion — 10% May 15–June 21, 2026 surveys with 447 respondent interviews of U.S. swing voters.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last mo.

NEW: Americans are pessimistic about the future. But which actors do they think are having the worst impact on the economy/society? Voters find the most harmful actors to be: 1) Billionaires 2) Corporate landlords 3) Sports gambling 4) Artificial intelligence 5) Cryptocurrency

Scatter plot titled "Billionaires and Corporate Landlords Are Seen as Most Harmful to Society and Economy." X-axis shows economic impact (3.0-5.5), y-axis shows societal impact (3.0-5.5), on a 1-7 scale where 4 is neutral. 40 numbered dots, colored dark red-brown (negative) to green (positive), follow a diagonal line showing economic and societal ratings are closely correlated. Most negative, in a shaded pink zone below 4 on both axes: Billionaires and Corporate landlords (~3.15-3.2), followed by Sports gambling, AI companies, Cryptocurrency, Payday loan companies, both major political parties, Social media companies, For-profit universities, and Cable news networks. Most positive, in a shaded green zone: Libraries and Small businesses (~5.0-5.3), followed by Hospitals, Charitable organizations, Small regional banks, and Churches. Most of the 40 actors fall between 4.0-5.0 on both axes. A numbered legend of all 40 actors accompanies the chart.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last mo.

NEW: A majority of voters across party lines support a data center moratorium. Sixty-seven percent of Democrats, 66% of Independents, and 58% of Republicans support pausing the construction of new AI data centers for at least one year.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support a Data Center Moratorium. Description: Some lawmakers have proposed pausing the construction of new artificial intelligence (AI) data centers for at least one year. Do you support or oppose this proposal? Response Options: A) I support this proposal. The U.S. should pause the construction of new AI data centers for at least one year. B) Don't know C) I oppose this proposal. The U.S. should continue constructing new AI data centers. All likely voters — 63% chose A, 11% chose B, 26% chose C Democrat — 67% chose A, 10% chose B, 23% chose C Independent / Third party — 66% chose A, 11% chose B, 24% chose C Republican — 58% chose A, 11% chose B, 31% chose C June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.
The Advocate@advocate.com · last mo.

Only 1 percent of likely voters name LGBTQ+ issues as their top concern, but most still prefer candidates who support LGBTQ+ rights over those who oppose them, a new Data for Progress poll finds.

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Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 2mo ago

NEW: As Americans face rising oil costs, Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner has released an energy plan aiming to “End Big Oil Price Gouging.” We find voters support key elements of the plan, including an oil windfall tax to freeze or lower electricity rates.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support a Windfall Tax on Oil Companies to Fund an Electricity Rate Freeze. Description: Would you support or oppose requiring large oil companies to pay a 50% tax on sudden and unusually high profits, such as during the U.S.-Iran war, and using this money to freeze or lower electricity rates for American consumers? All likely voters — Support: 69%, Oppose: 22% Democrat — Support: 77%, Oppose: 16% Independent / Third party — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Republican — Support: 59%, Oppose: 31% June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 2mo ago

NEW: As the World Cup kicks off, we find that a majority of voters (53%) believe that the U.S. has a negative reputation among citizens of other countries. And 62% say that the way citizens of other nations view the United States has worsened under President Trump.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Say America's Global Reputation Has Worsened Under Trump. Description: Do you think the way that citizens of other nations view the United States has gotten better or worse under President Trump? All likely voters — Gotten better under President Trump: 32%, Don't know: 5%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 62% Democrat — Gotten better under President Trump: 5%, Don't know: 3%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 92% Independent / Third party — Gotten better under President Trump: 28%, Don't know: 6%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 66% Republican — Gotten better under President Trump: 64%, Don't know: 8%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 28% June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · 2mo ago

NEW: As #SCOTUS prepares to release its remaining opinions, voters oppose the Republican position in three cases. On birthright citizenship, a majority of voters (55%) think the U.S. should grant citizenship to all children, regardless of their parents' citizenship status.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Birthright Citizenship. Description: Which of the following comes closest to your view? Response Options: A) The U.S. should grant automatic citizenship to all children born in the country, regardless of their parents' citizenship status. B) Don't know C) The U.S. should restrict citizenship at birth to children whose parents are U.S. citizens or legal permanent residents. All likely voters — 55% chose A, 5% chose B, 40% chose C Democrat — 78% chose A, 5% chose B, 16% chose C Independent / Third party — 54% chose A, 8% chose B, 38% chose C Republican — 33% chose A, 3% chose B, 63% chose C May 29–31, 2026 survey of 1,163 U.S. likely voters.