Check out this great episode with Andrew Martinez. He shares the inspiring story of his path into forecasting research and insights on the latest literature. He also talks about our paper "When the Fed Reveals Its Hand: The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises" www.mercatus.org/macro-musing...

Andrew Martinez on the Art of Forecasting

Andrew Martinez is a former Treasure economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at American Uni

mercatus.org

Great to visit CAP to debate solutions to the affordability crisis. @tarasinc.bsky.social and I argued against price controls, while finding common ground with @bharatramamurti.bsky.social and @nealemahoney.bsky.social on the need for real action to make life more affordable. Watch:

Center for American Progress@americanprogress.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Starting at 11 am ET: Jared Bernstein will be moderating a panel event on addressing current affordability challenges featuring Bharat Ramamurti, Neale Mahoney, Ben Harris, and Tara Sinclair. https://www.youtube.com/live/vrpm4T9ESGk

I’m looking forward to being part of this panel on affordability on Feb 10th - join us! It’s open to the public in person and online. Register here: rsvp2.americanprogress.org/theaffordabi...

Center for American Progress@americanprogress.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Join @jaredb-econ.bsky.social on February 10 for a panel event on addressing current affordability challenges featuring @bharatramamurti.bsky.social, @nealemahoney.bsky.social, @econharris.bsky.social, and @tarasinc.bsky.social. https://ampr.gs/49Zakmk

This Thursday, join us for a virtual event on the opportunities and challenges of regulating AI. Hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:

Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project

On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.

hamiltonproject.org

How do we regulate AI? Join us on 12/4 at 10:00 a.m. ET for a virtual event with @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:

Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project

On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.

hamiltonproject.org

🚨 Nov 21! Join the next #AMLEDS webinar with @tarasinc.bsky.social presenting her “FOMC In Silico” paper that combines LLM-driven agents & Bayesian voting to simulate FOMC decisions, moderated by Shubhranshu Shekhar(Brandeis) 🕚 11AM ET-5PM CET 📄 ssrn.com/abstract=542... #AI #LLMs #EconSky

From search engines to resume screening, algorithmic AI has become increasingly common in our everyday lives. On 12/4, hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms:

Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project

On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.

hamiltonproject.org

Meet Sim Powell and his LLM Fed colleagues that argue, cajole, and dissent like the real FOMC. Amazing discussion with @tarasinc.bsky.social on her work with Sophia Kazinnik where they replicate and experiment with the FOMC via LLMs of each Fed official! Full show: youtu.be/rpLAka4MKIc (1/2)

Tara Sinclair on a Synthetic AI FOMC

YouTube video by David Beckworth

youtu.be

Register now to join us at FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference on October 9th! cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ffc2025-26th...

Join us for the 2025 NABE Economic Policy Conference, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” March 2-4 in Washington, DC! Register now! www.NABE.com/PC2025

Seasonal factor revisions strike again! Remember that increase in the U.S. unemployment rate in July to 4.3%? It ends up peak unemployment so far this cycle, based on updated seasonal adjustments, was just 4.2%. This is a challenge for policymakers watching every data release.

Employment Situation Summary - 2024 M13 Results

bls.gov

New Business Applications increased in November 2024 remaining at high levels relative to 2019. Applications in November 2024 for likely employers 46% higher than average month in 2019.

I got my Macro Musings podcast nominal GDP targeting mug. Check out the episode here: macromusings.libsyn.com/tara-sinclai...

Macro Musings with David Beckworth: Tara Sinclair on Real-time Economic Analysis and the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review

Tara Sinclair is a professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University, where she also directs the George Washington Center for Economic Research. From 2022 to 2024, Tara ...

macromusings.libsyn.com

On 9/27 at 3pm ET, join us at #ClimateConversations: The Macroeconomy with Eric Kemp-Benedict, Gregor Semieniuk and me on how to better incorporate climate into #Economic models: bit.ly/cc-macroecon...

Climate Conversations: The Macroeconomy

bit.ly

no one: BLS:

Historic coffee prices percolated after a bitter global supply crisis : Beyond the Numbers: U.S. Bu...

Americans drink more coffee each day than any other beverage—including tap water. Since January 2021, U.S. coffee importers have faced an escalating cost for the hot commodity. Import prices increas...

bls.gov