Amanda Weiss

@amandaweiss.bsky.social

Assistant Professor, Cornell Department of Government. Quant methods, causal inference, research ethics, and criminal justice policy. www.amandakweiss.com Opinions my own, reposts not (necessarily) endorsements, etc.

I want to make a joke about why anyone would choose to be a sprinter when clearly that's not our species comparative advantage, but uh... I'm en route to Louisiana for my dad's track meet and his primary event is the 200-meter.

Thorne 🌸 - Play Cozysters!@ens0.me · last wk.

Humans are slower than a lot of animals, but we can run a LOT longer than basically any other animal. The fact we are capable of running marathons is kind of ludicrous when viewed in the context of other animals.

🚨 New Working Paper! 🚨 Do voters *like* local prisons? Are prisons that good for the economy? After years of data collection (+ using a novel estimator?!), @nottone & I find new prisons: • Reduce Republican incumbent vote shares 1-3pp • Decrease per cap. incomes >$2,500 osf.io/dnwke 🧵👇

Abstract for the paper "The Electoral Effects of U.S. Prison Construction" by Ottone & Weiss: From 1980 to 2000, the United States opened over 400 prisons, a rapid expansion of carceral capacity mirroring the punitive turn in public policy and public opinion. Yet few studies have examined the impact of prison construction on nearby residents and their political behavior. We develop a theoretical model tracing how prison openings affect economic, attitudinal, and electoral outcomes in surrounding communities. Us- ing modern difference-in-difference methods and a novel county-level dataset covering forty years of prison openings, we find that prison construction decreases county-level vote share for Republican candidates, especially if Republicans represented the county during prison construction. Drawing on analyses of economic outcomes and prison bond measure support, we argue that voters sanction issue-owning Republican candi- dates for negative economic externalities and turn against funding for prisons. These findings challenge conventional wisdom about the political economy of prisons and have implications for how we understand contemporary expansions of carceral capacity.

I am from Indiana, which has a lot of deer. Upstate NY deer are on a whole different level. I was walking the dog and we saw a deer. The dog started barking at the deer. And the deer CAME CLOSER. I think it was ENTERTAINED. And, sure, the dog is not very scary. But the deer is a WILD ANIMAL.

Ofc I say this and personally put WAY too much effort into reviews. And then I die inside when my papers spend six months under review or get torpedoed because someone was not on board with my type of paper existing or are evaluated by someone who doesn't know how math works. So there's that...

Amanda Weiss@amandaweiss.bsky.social · 2mo ago

But that's not my only concern. A big issue with AI reviews IMO — hot take 🚨, maybe big Assistant Professor Energy — is that reviewing is good for reviewers. Like it's good to see new scholarship and know what is being submitted in your field! And good to keep sharp by doing constructive critique!

Also I'm SO PUMPED to be a non-presenting coauthor. 🙏 I like the sound of my voice as much as the next academic, but I did 5 conference presentations on other papers earlier this summer and I am now in my couch potato era. Until APSA.

Amanda Weiss@amandaweiss.bsky.social · 3mo ago

I'm so proud of this paper that @nottone.bsky.social and I did on prisons... massive data collection! the political economy of criminal legal system! jackknife standard errors!

Y'ALL I was reading up on the history of the Kitagawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition, which is already wild. Then I discovered that THIS is how young Evelyn became Mrs. Kitagawa (even before becoming Dr. Kitagawa).

Wikipedia screenshot of a biography of Evelyn Kitagawa, which reads: "She was born as Evelyn Mae Rose, in 1920[4] in Hanford, California, to a family of Portuguese Catholic descent. After earning a bachelor's degree in mathematics from the University of California, Berkeley in 1941, she began working for the War Relocation Authority, which ran the internment camps of Japanese-Americans during World War II, as head of its statistics unit. In one of the camps, she met her future husband, Joseph Mitsuo Kitagawa, who had come to the US in 1941 as a divinity student and became an Episcopalian minister while interned. After marrying him, her family disowned her and she lost contact with them."

I made an over-engineered Qualtrics survey to handle my wedding RSVPs (name look-up, custom font packs, etc.) Now I'm like, Should I think of a survey experiment to run on family and friends?!

Screenshot of a Qualtrics survey collecting RSVPs for a wedding.

I just found out, via reviewer request, about AJPS' new submissions stream for reanalyses. I'm intrigued. Philosophers have written about creating groups of dedicated replication scientists (see, e.g., work by Felipe Romero) and I've wondered about how that model would work in poli sci.

Screenshot of a post from the American Journal of Political Science Editors-in-Chief, reading: "This post describes new policies at AJPS regarding Correspondence and Corrections.

Maintaining an accurate scholarly record is one of the most important responsibilities of a journal. When findings published in AJPS contain significant errors, the discipline is best served when those errors are identified, evaluated, and addressed publicly.

Until now, AJPS has not had a dedicated channel for publishing critical reanalyses by scholars other than the original authors. We are introducing one.

AJPS will now publish short critical essays called “Correspondence” in which scholars who are not the original authors challenge the central claims of a previously published AJPS"