Excellent summary of my recent paper on double robust methods www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Double robust, flexible adjustment methods for causal inference: An overview and an evaluation

Double robust methods for flexible covariate adjustment in causal inference have proliferated in recent years. Despite their apparent advantages in ov…

sciencedirect.com

Kieran Healy@kjhealy.co · 6d ago

The long-promised thread on my new article: How does the match between university major and occupation change when education expands? doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...

Is America in a demographic crisis? Demographers don’t think so. I conducted a survey of U.S. demographers, and this is what I found: 3%: “The low birth rate is a demographic crisis” 25%: "serious concern” 53%: "should be monitored, but no intervention necessary” 20% :“not a problem at all.”

"Replication crisis" reforms like preregistration & pre-analysis plans were developed to control false positives in experimental research. Does that work in observational studies? Our new paper in Sociological Methods & Research argues for a different approach. 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

I'm excited to share my recent research on queer migrants with @demo-udem.bsky.social on Monday! Link below to join virtually. My presentation will be in English.

Démographie et sciences de la population UdeM@demo-udem.bsky.social · 4w ago

🌈 Assistez à notre séminaire lundi prochain à 11h30 🕦 💻 Pour participer à distance : umontreal.zoom.us/j/8425176288... #udem #demographie

Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results: 1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline. Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.

My paper "Double robust, flexible adjustment methods for causal inference: An overview and an evaluation" is out in Social Science Research. Spoiler: In simulations, double robustness appears less important than flexibility, and OLS does pretty well! 🧵👇 1/7 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

My department is hiring! "The Department of Sociology at Emory University in Atlanta, GA invites applications for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position in Sociology of Health, commencing in Fall 2027." apply.interfolio.com/192144

Sasha Gusev has a great new blog post on faculty hiring during the DEI era. Remarkable how much backlash there has been to what was an tiny and temporary bump in hiring Black, Latino, and Native faculty of about 1 person per R1 campus theinfinitesimal.substack.com/p/what-actua...

I love summer.

The perpetual license Stata 15 I bought at a student rate in 2017 is finally refusing to open on my iOS Tahoe MacBook Pro. I almost never use Stata, and the "subscription" model they use now seems like a rip-off... I might be breaking out my old MacBook when I need to run some Stata code.

Ran some 🧪 to 🔬 why the Granta short story was certainly 🤖 generated. A lot of bad writing happens because AI hasn’t learned aesthetics. It has simply memorized the whole internet and called it a day. So sure, maybe you don't trust AI detectors. But you can trust your own eyes. #AISlop

🚨Paper on AI & Copyright Courts have credited AI companies' claims that alignment prevents reproducing copyrighted data. What if finetuning on a simple writing task breaks it. Worse: tuning on just one author (e.g., Murakami) unlocks verbatim recall of 30+ other authors' books (up to 90%) (1/n)🧵

How do Americans view the increase in lesbian and gay migrants? Hoffman & Velasco find that Americans overall give no preference to lesbian and gay migrants; however, Democrats, atheists, and lesbian and gay Americans find them more deserving. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

A new paper with @kvelasco.bsky.social is now online at @poqjournal.bsky.social! Using a conjoint survey experiment with 1,650 U.S. citizens, we ask, how do Americans take sexual orientation into account when evaluating immigrants' deservingness for admission? academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

I have my first lecture for my Sociology of Immigration class tomorrow, and I'm sharing my family's migration story. My dad scrounged up alien registration cards for Johann George Angerer and Kunigunda Seitz, my grandma’s grandparents, who migrated from a small German town near Nuremberg in 1854!

Annoyed by long lines and throngs of tourists, a friend in New York feels like everyone in the U.S. wants to move there. I found this 2023 @today.yougov.com poll on major American cities, showing that only 9% of Americans think that New York is safe! Other aspects are not rated much better.

Very proud of my friend @tuhinchakr.bsky.social being featured in the New Yorker! www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...

What if Readers Like A.I.-Generated Fiction?

If economic and technological transformations have changed our relationship with literature before, they could do so again.

newyorker.com

Big new blogpost! My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more. --> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful. www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...

With the semester finishing, I wanted to give an update about building this intro statistics course for PhD students in sociology. Thanks to everyone who gave advice! I ended up having a blast teaching it, and students seemed to like it. Here's the syllabus: docs.google.com/document/d/1...

Soc 500 Syllabus F25

SOCIOLOGY 500 Research Methods and Models: Statistics Fall 2025, Tuesday & Thursday 1:00-2:15 pm Location: Tarbutton Hall Room 206 Instructor: Nathan Hoffmann Email: nihoffm@emory.edu Office: Tarbut...

docs.google.com

Nathan Hoffmann@nathanihoff.bsky.social · 2y ago

This fall I'm teaching an introductory statistics class for graduate students in sociology, and I'm looking for a textbook. The course covers probability, sampling, and basic data analysis, barely touching on regression. Does anyone have a textbook they like? I'd love one with R examples.

Today was the most exciting day of my life: An in-person enumerator from the Census Bureau stopped by to interview me for the Current Population Survey! I can't wait to tell my students that I'm contributing to the data we use for statistics exercises.

I'm facilitating a causal inference reading group next semester for Sociology PhD students. (I will also be learning!) If there are (1) pedagogical articles or (2) empirical examples in soc that you ❤️, will you share in the comments? [And please RT to help me crowd-source!]

A shocking 1.5-million decrease in net immigration between January and June www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

What the data says about immigrants in the U.S.

As of June 2025, the country’s foreign-born population had shrunk by more than a million people, marking its first decline since the 1960s.

pewresearch.org

I'm trying to find some sociology papers to bring into my intro statistics course for grad students. Straightforward quant analyses where the data are publicly available. Does anyone have any suggestions?

ASA’s new journal, Sex & Sexualities @sexandsexualities.bsky.social‬, fosters space for rigorous intersectional, interdisciplinary, transnational, feminist, and critical research. Now accepting cutting-edge sociological research! Find out more about the journal here: https://bit.ly/4lGzp8k.

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

bit.ly

PhDone! I was honored to have Professor Andres Villarreal hooding me yesterday.

This fall I'm teaching an introductory statistics class for graduate students in sociology, and I'm looking for a textbook. The course covers probability, sampling, and basic data analysis, barely touching on regression. Does anyone have a textbook they like? I'd love one with R examples.

I am thrilled to share that I will be joining the Department of Sociology at Emory University this fall as an Assistant Professor! Excited for a new chapter in Atlanta 🔥🍑

I'm honored that my paper on double robust methods has received the ASA Methods Clifford Clogg Award for Best Graduate Student Paper! I deeply appreciate the committee's recognition, and I couldn't have done this without the support of Chad Hazlett, @jenniebrand.bsky.social, and Onyi Arah.

I just registered for #PAA2024! For students registering, be sure to change your "Primary Field of Employment" to "Student" (in "Personal Details" of the conference site) in order to access the $99 student rate. @popassocamerica.bsky.social www.populationassociation.org/paa2024/reg-...