Jake Grumbach
@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof (formerly: Princeton CSDP, UW)
So many layers of corruption and institutional rot all packed into one story. Wall Street! Bari Weiss’s CBS! $250M worth of sex trafficking! www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, BofA Enabled Epstein, Wyden Report Says
Democrat Ron Wyden cited nonpublic documents held by the US Treasury in a report that says banks delayed reporting suspicious financial transactions and calls for tougher anti-money-laundering rules, ...
bloomberg.com
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
america is a face culture that pretends it is not a face culture; trump is a particularly reputation (mas macho) variant of that culture. iran gets that america is a face culture, and that trump's entire schtick is built on never "losing", and acts accordingly.
Shiv Ramdas Mens Rice Activist@nameshiv.bsky.social · 2d agoI don't think the average American and certainly not the average MAGA even gets the extent to which "humiliate your foe" is a core ethos of the Iranian approach to conflict
Not good timing, but some extremely important points in this now unredacted part of the 2024 Autopsy: -loss more about Dem turnout decline than swing voters -Dem consultants extracting huge $ for bad advice -Biden shouldn'ta run -spam PACs ruining fundraising www.nytimes.com/2026/08/03/u...
Author of Democrats’ 2024 Autopsy Says Party Left Out Key Chapter
A dispute over the chapter between the author and the Democratic National Committee has added to the party’s turmoil as it tries to look forward, not backward.
nytimes.com
Almost feels like last month's Supreme Court ruling in NRSC v. FEC, which increases the influence of party organizations like the DNC, was a masterful plan by the conservative court majority to tank the Democratic Party
this is really good! super short but what a kicker: "The oracle that that promises and threatens to “automate social science” quickly becomes data! All that’s left to do is the social science."
Brice@brice.green · last mo.Some thoughts on LLMs and automated social science: brice.green/blog/2026-06...
Digging on ridic playlist from @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social including a deep cut from Willie Colon. Joe Bataan! open.spotify.com/playlist/5hC...
Grumbach's #SongOfTheDay
Playlist · Jake Grumbach · 1466 items · 253 saves
open.spotify.com
Updated our 'Do Moderates Do Better?' paper When you analyze the question rigorously (and don't assume correlation is causation), you find that moderates & non-moderates perform ~equally well in the Trump era Love working with @adambonica.bsky.social
WOWOWOW a new modern version of Patrice Rushen's "Remind Me" with Rushen herself re-recording the vocals and playing the lead synth Thanks to Boston based Dippin' Records for putting this together. What a cool thing to do. www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1yj...
Remind Me
YouTube video by monolog - Topic
youtube.com
evidently only muslims are strong and large and organized enough to do what the democratic party could not. big fish if true.
This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve
i can fix her by promising she did nothing wrong.
In Otter News@in-otter-news.bsky.social · 4d agoSounds like otter chaos.
“Federal law enforcement is protecting one party and prosecuting its opposition…They are confident they can avoid consequences. If they can break the law with impunity, elections are the only consequence they face, [so] they have every incentive to steal them.” open.substack.com/pub/cmarmita...
A Ruling Party That Faces No Consequences for Open Corruption Has No Reason to Accept Elections
We won't survive if we try to play by their rules.
open.substack.com
The president took on a vanity project, gave no-bid contracts to contractors who screwed it up, made up a story about vandals to cover it up, and then fomented a felony prosecution against an innocent scapegoat. You could impeach for anything he's done but "This asshole is out of control" is a layup
Roy Edroso@edroso.bsky.social · 4d agoWhen you slow down and think about it you realize it's ten times worse than it seems. Sure it's farcical, but it's also a brutal legal attack on a man they knew to be innocent, done to distract from their own thievery and incompetence and as a flex to terrify anyone who might make them look bad.
Opinion | I Am Committing Tax Fraud and I Deserve Your Sympathy
Three of the greatest classic rock albums of all time
Big Ol’ Mush@chadstanton.blacksky.app · 4d agoFunkadelic with Cosmic Slop, Standing On The Verge Of Getting It On, Let’s Take It To The Stage
via @arpitrage.bsky.social, a pied-a-terre tax for unused faculty offices
People potentially subject to the nyc pied-à-terre tax are being treated with 1% of the administrative hostility of SNAP and Medicaid applicants, and they’re throwing 100x the fit
Adam Serwer@adamserwer.bsky.social · 4d agoIt is funny that this person thinks “immigrants defended the union while native born whites sought to destroy it in the name of slavery” is an argument against immigrants being Americans. This is precisely the point, nothing about being born here makes you better bsky.app/profile/aphc...
Here's a 🎁 link (no paywall) in case anyone needs it. The article is indeed quite interesting. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/31/u...
How the Pro-Trump Media Ecosystem Is Splintering Ahead of the Midterms (Gift Article)
Once united in support of President Trump, right-wing influencers are embroiled in feuds and losing viewers, creating a problem for Republicans in the midterm elections.
nytimes.com
