Risto Murto

@rmurto.bsky.social

This is a very cool paper with a clever identification strategy to test the causal impact of the opioid epidemic on various political outcomes. A key point that’s not in the abstract —causal mechanism is voters agreed with GOP tough on crime rhetoric and policy.

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

“In Victorian mill towns, workers saved up to buy books. In one Scottish locale, a boy noticed a ragman reading a book. The book—which the ragman lent him—was Thucydides. The boy was Ramsay MacDonald, who would go on to become Britain’s first Labour prime minister.”

The Economist@economist.com · last yr.

A blunt explanation for the decline of reading is that people cannot be bothered. In multiple surveys young people describe it as “boring” and “a chore”

Bernd Lange stressing an important point that still sometimes gets lost: For the EU, sectoral tariffs are much more important than a general baseline - most of the EU exports into the US are concentrated in few key sectors.

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Strong coordination of wage setting in Nordic countries has been maintained through pattern bargaining. However, this may come into conflict with the future needs of labour reallocation due to aging populations & higher demand for military personnel. Lars Calmfors cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

Graph showing hourly wages in the private and public sector in Denmark, index. It shows that wage increases across sectors have been similar over time. 

Strong coordination of wage setting has been maintained in Nordic countries through pattern bargaining. The tradables sector sets the first agreement, which then serves as the nationwide norm for subsequent wage increases. This column outlines that a key motivation for this model is to maintain international competitiveness and keep the wage share constant over time. This approach may come into conflict with the future needs of labour reallocation, for example due to ageing populations and higher demand for military personnel. An independent body of experts could help the pattern setting become more flexible and recommend changes to address labour market imbalances.

Powell on price stability: "I think we were getting closer and closer to that ... I do think with the arrival of the tariff inflation, further progress may be delayed. The SEP doesn't really show further downward progress on inflation this year and that's really due to the tariffs coming in."

JD Vance on Trump's push to "acquire" Greenland: "He doesn't care what the Europeans scream at us ... you've got probably 55,000 people living on Greenland who are not actually happy with Danish government."

Between 1990 and 2020, the share of immigrants in high-income countries doubled, rising from around 7% to 14%. This means that today, one in seven people in high-income countries was born in a different country.

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Exxon's gas+CCS play for datacenters offers a way to: - Monetize low-value gas - Capture premiums being paid for speedy connection - Get Big Tech to underwrite pilots - Capture (and maybe protect) IRA subsidies Read today's column here @opinion.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Exxon's AI Power Play Aims to Beat Nuclear

The oil major is betting Big Tech’s need for speed will open up a bigger market for gas-fired plants.

bloomberg.com

Some great charts from HSBC - China's *direct* export exposure to the US has slumped and is now at the lowest levels since in modern history, and does not stand out relative to other Asian economies.

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