Justin Mikulka

@justinmikulka.bsky.social

Research, analysis and opinion on the ongoing energy transition. Writing about it at: https://powering-the-planet.ghost.io

"Especially with AI and data centers, there’s an insatiable need for capital,” said Sheel Patel, head of New York private credit at Mayer Brown. “The borrowers are increasingly more comfortable using the private market for larger financings" Increasingly more comfortable. You betcha! gift link

AI’s Trillion-Dollar Debt Binge Fuels Century-Old Private Market

A private bond market dating back more than a century is opening a new front in the trillion-dollar AI funding boom, allowing tech borrowers to sell debt directly to deep-pocketed insurance firms.

bloomberg.com

If Starfire will forgive me I want to use this as a jumping off point because I think we are about to see some very weird and very wild geopolitical shit, and it's all because the fossil industry has been pounding cases of cope for nearly a decade. 1/X

Starfire’s Deranged Neocon Foreign Policy Podcast@irhottakes.bsky.social · last mo.

Did we ever get the thing with the car juice boats worked out or do the markets just not want to make Mister Trump sad?

Even the lawyer who defended Trump during Mueller is done. Ty Cobb says remove him “as quickly as possible.” This isn’t the opposition talking…this is someone who used to defend him in court. Wake up. #USDemocracy #Pinks apple.news/AlgCJuWvqRLS...

Ty Cobb says Trump should be removed from office ‘as quickly as possible’ — NJ.com

Former White House lawyer Ty Cobb sounded the alarm on President Donald Trump’s second term in office.

apple.news

Re: Ezra Klein. Normally this is where I'd quote Chomsky but he's in the Epstein files so fuck him. Klein learned where his bread was buttered in the journalism space and has moved accordingly. See also: Matt Yglesias. Their moral center is attention and money.

Look what snuck into the conversation. "Without storage options, wind and solar can’t provide the uninterrupted power that fossil fuels deliver." True....but with storage options, they can. And that is why it is called an energy transition.

John Kostyack@kostyack.bsky.social · last mo.

Batteries! Brookfield's global portfolio of battery storage capacity is currently 3 GW, its development pipeline is 55 GW. How long til we retire the last baseload gas plant? Til we see the last solar company going out of business due to negative pricing during peak hours?

"India’s capital New Delhi will ban new petrol- and natural gas-fueled two-wheelers and small trucks from its roads over the next two years in one of the most aggressive moves yet by an Indian state to curb air pollution." That second bit about nat gas is interesting.

Delhi to Ban New Gas-Powered Scooters, Trucks to Fight Pollution

India’s capital New Delhi will ban new petrol- and natural gas-fueled two-wheelers and small trucks from its roads over the next two years in one of the most aggressive moves yet by an Indian state to...

bloomberg.com

A bit under the radar but the efforts to make the public subsidize Alaska LNG's white whale are heating up. "Factoring in contingencies for risks or unexpected developments, he thinks a more realistic cost is $62 billion to $65 billion."

Alaska LNG cost estimate bumps to as much as $55B as lawmakers weigh what comes next in special session

Lawmakers are optimistic about reaching a deal on Alaska LNG legislation as a signature deadline looms for key bills.

adn.com

Policy study idea: Remove all government incentives for all forms of energy in the US (coal, oil, gas, biofuels, nuclear, geothermal, wind, solar, batteries, efficiency, demand flexibility, etc.), see what gets built based only on economics over the next decade assuming today's prices stay constant.

Justin Mikulka@justinmikulka.bsky.social · last mo.

Renewable developers saying they are competitive without tax credits. And the fossil fuel projects say..... (1/2) Hat tip @commercialsolarguy.com

In June 2024 Bloomberg ran an article about how China's LNG demand was "threatened." In that article they forecast that China's LNG demand would be in the mid 90s by the end of this year. Today they say they expect it to be in the low 60s.

chart showing 2024 forecast for china LNG imports being roughly 50% higher than is now expected in 2026

"Alaska ranks sixth in the nation in annual natural gas gross withdrawals with more than 3.5 trillion cubic feet, most of which are reinjected into oil fields to help maintain crude oil production rates, according to the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data."

Glenfarne Says Senate Tax Bill Could Leave Alaska LNG Pipeline ‘Unfinanceable’

Discover how Glenfarne's concerns over the Senate tax bill could jeopardize the Alaska LNG pipeline project, potentially making it ‘unfinanceable’. Explore the latest developments as state lawmakers e...

naturalgasintel.com

Charles Poon, Ford's vice president of vehicle hardware engineering, added, "Mistakenly we thought that by just introducing artificial intelligence and ingesting the design requirements that we had, that that would produce a high-quality product." Narrator: Oops.

Ford rehires ‘gray beard’ engineers after AI falls short

"Mistakenly we thought that by just introducing artificial intelligence ... that would produce a high-quality product.”

finance.yahoo.com

In June 2024 Bloomberg ran an article about how China's LNG demand was "threatened." In that article they forecast that China's LNG demand would be in the mid 90s by the end of this year. Today they say they expect it to be in the low 60s.

chart showing 2024 forecast for china LNG imports being roughly 50% higher than is now expected in 2026