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Laurie Laybourn

@laurielaybourn.bsky.social

How do we navigate uncharted climate territory? Lead: www.scri.org.uk Researcher at Chatham House, IPPR, University of Exeter

192 Posts1530 Follower187 Folgt
Laurie Laybourn@laurielaybourn.bsky.social · 3w ago

"[AMOC risk] is distinctly lacking a political champion...There is a diplomatic opening that Britain should seize on" Top piece from @benjudah.bsky.social proposing that the UK should convene a coalition of north Atlantic states on changes in the Atlantic circulations www.ft.com/content/4870...

We need an observatory for the cooling north Atlantic

The UK should convene a coalition of concerned states if rising emissions lead to the collapse of the Amoc that brings warm water to northern regions

ft.com

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2mo ago

1/ 🚨New piece out co-authored with Ben Shread-Hewitt on the EU's adaptation framework and the risk of a 3°C world. Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. Here's a 🧵on some key points. Thanks @climate-risk.bsky.social for publishing this article.

How the EU adaptation framework vastly underplays the risk of a 3°C world

Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable - but it makes it seem so

strategicclimaterisks.substack.com

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 6mo ago

1/ For those of us keeping an eye on systemic #climate risks, these aren’t difficult dots to connect. I find it downright frightening. We need to brace for impacts and spring into preparedness now. This thread outlines 6 key papers and what we can do in response. ⬇️🧵

6 front pages of articles about climate risk connected by a red line.
Laurie Laybourn@laurielaybourn.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Laurie Laybourn, executive director of the think tank Strategic Climate Risks Initiative, said the report was not a “prediction that collapse is inevitable” but a “warning that on the current trajectory, under current policies, collapse becomes a real possibility”. www.thetimes.com/article/3812...

Britain’s food supply ‘at risk of catastrophic failure by 2030’

A report written before the 2024 election says climate change, habitat loss and geopolitical instability are a danger to food security — and it has been ignored

thetimes.com

Laurie Laybourn@laurielaybourn.bsky.social · 7mo ago

In London on Tuesday night this week? Join me at Kairos on Tottenham Court Road to talk about how we can maintain our agency to act on climate change even as its impacts escalate Doors and drinks at 1830, talk starts at 1900 Grab a ticket 👇 www.kairos.london/event/derail...

Derailment Risk: A Climate Blind Spot with Laurie Laybourn - Kairos

Tuesday March 10th, 6.30 for 7pm As the world heads deeper into the new climate reality, how will we maintain our ability to act? It's often assumed that our agency will only grow as climate impacts e...

kairos.london

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 7mo ago

1/🌡️ Global warming passed a milestone on 17th Nov 2023 that barely made the news For the first time ever, the world's daily average temperature was 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels Here's what the data says about when that becomes the annual norm, & whether it's coming sooner than anyone expects🧵

Chart showing the exponential collapse of the lag, extrapolated to 2.0C. Reference points show 10, 20 and 30 year lag scenarios projecting 2033, 2043 and 2053 respectively.
Laurie Laybourn@laurielaybourn.bsky.social · 7mo ago

"If pandemic threat assessment and preparedness was as fragmented, we would be scandalised." It was great talking to Ellen for this excellent piece in @prospectmagazine.co.uk about climate risk and the threat of AMOC collapse specifically Essential reading!

Ellen Halliday@ellenhalliday.bsky.social · 7mo ago

I didn't post this yesterday because we were too busy getting our April issue launched—but I've written a piece in it! It's about a big current in the Atlantic ocean, how it could collapse, and to what extent we, in the UK, are prepared for that. www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/world/enviro...

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 8mo ago

We need more stories that help people learn from what’s working. Not just what’s going wrong. Not just what “has to happen by 2050.” Real examples of action that others can see, understand & build on. Here's a 🧵on advice & tips for sharing #climate stories that actually inspire action.

Its a cycle. Actions-> Results-> Beliefs -> Actions
Laurie Laybourn@laurielaybourn.bsky.social · 8mo ago

“[AMOC collapse] is a scenario of global tumult, driven by countries with large populations pushed from the climate regime they're used to. It’s a recipe for serious, persistent global destabilisation” Great talking with @chicoharlan.bsky.social for this piece www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

Why this country declared an ocean current collapse a national security risk

The disruption of a current that carries heat north from the tropics would make much of the world hotter, while turning Iceland into “one giant glacier.”

washingtonpost.com

Common Dreams@commondreams.org · 8mo ago

A new report highlights the "growing gap between real-world climate risk and the economic analysis used to guide policy, supervision, and investment," while also warning that ambitious action "cannot await perfected models."

Scientists: 'Garbage' Models Underestimate Risk of Economic Collapse From Climate Crisis

Experts warn of a growing gap between real-world climate risk and economic analysis, and urge immediate action to prevent catastrophic warming.

commondreams.org

Ben Cooke@ben-cooke.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Back in the Autumn, No.10 blocked the publication of a report into the risks the UK could face if climate change causes ecosystems around the world to collapse. On Tuesday, after an FOI request, it published the report. But it turns out, that wasn't the full version. www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...

Suppressed climate report warned of mass migration and nuclear war

Unabridged document said disappearing forests and rivers drying up could drive people to Europe and lead to conflict in Asia

thetimes.com