Rupert Read

@rupertread.bsky.social

Co-Director @climatemajority.bsky.social | Emeritus Prof of Philosophy | Author, WHY CLIMATE BREAKDOWN MATTERS and TRANSFORMATIVE ADAPTATION | Home-grown dissident | Free thinker | Earthling. NB Reposts are not necessarily endorsements.

"Adaptation needs to grow up. To mature it cannot remain a technocratic exercise in flood defences and heatwave plans. It has to become a project of national (and local and international) resilience." We need to build resilience or we will be shaped by crisis. www.resilience.org/stories/2026...

Escalating climate and geopolitical shocks force a choice: build resilience or be shaped by crisis

Britain is in the grip of its worst-ever, record-shattering midsummer heatwave — even before the impacts of a predicted super El Niño of “Godzilla” strength are fully felt. In this stark context,...

resilience.org

Economists use a term; moral hazard. When an institution has exposure to corrupt incentives w/out consequence. The “optimistic” scientists have ALL the moral hazards. Career, grants, tenure, awards, quoted in the Times, TV appearances, book deals, etc

This wasn’t how it was supposed to be… The tragic truth is that, as some of us warned a decade ago, mainstream climate science has turned out to be the opposite of alarmist. It has turned out to be complacent and over-optimistic. Truthfulness - and strategic adaptation - are urgent. (Pse repost.)

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

"The structures of govt we have inherited were designed for a world in which risks could largely be treated separately... Adaptation, therefore, cannot be left to a single dep or reduced to a collection of technical fixes. It must become a central organising principle of #govt.” #ElNiño #ukpol

Rupert Read@rupertread.bsky.social · yesterday

"Adaptation needs to grow up. To mature it cannot remain a technocratic exercise in flood defences and heatwave plans. It has to become a project of national (and local and international) resilience." We need to build resilience or we will be shaped by crisis. www.resilience.org/stories/2026...

"Adaptation needs to grow up. To mature it cannot remain a technocratic exercise in flood defences and heatwave plans. It has to become a project of national (and local and international) resilience." We need to build resilience or we will be shaped by crisis. www.resilience.org/stories/2026...

Escalating climate and geopolitical shocks force a choice: build resilience or be shaped by crisis

Britain is in the grip of its worst-ever, record-shattering midsummer heatwave — even before the impacts of a predicted super El Niño of “Godzilla” strength are fully felt. In this stark context,...

resilience.org

We need to know how bad this is... And each time fuck all occurs. What are Labour and Burnham fucking hiding or is it a case of not knowing how serious shit is? ... Everyone else knows how bad it is, so Labour are deliberately not saying anything on this.

Rupert Read@rupertread.bsky.social · 2d ago

"...the session did not get off to the best start when the committee chairman...stated that of the three ministers invited, only the DEFRA Minister, Mary Creagh, had come." A committee meeting on the suppressed National Security Report descended into farce👇 substack.com/home/post/p-...

This wasn’t how it was supposed to be… The tragic truth is that, as some of us warned a decade ago, mainstream climate science has turned out to be the opposite of alarmist. It has turned out to be complacent and over-optimistic. Truthfulness - and strategic adaptation - are urgent. (Pse repost.)

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

"...Andy Burnham risks getting stuck in a ‘derailment’ doom loop if he doesn’t tackle #climate adaptation." This piece, co-authored with @carolinelucas.bsky.social, examines the two quite different conversations taking place around this topic. rupertsreads.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...

A Tale of Two Adaptations

Reflections on the Climate Change Committee’s Well-Adapted UK report, in the light of this summer’s heat storms and the Burnham ascendancy

rupertsreads.substack.com

"The fall of this civilisation is probably going to be a lot harder than the falls of most previous civilisations." I joined Jem Bendell, Helena Norberg-Hodge, Will Self and Michel Bauwens for a discussion on what we can learn from past civilisational collapses. www.youtube.com/watch?v=9wsW...

Inspirations from Past Civilisational Collapses - a metacrisis salon

Prof Jem Bendell is joined by Prof Rupert Read, Helena Norberg-Hodge, Will Self and Michel Bauwens, to discuss impending societal collapse, and what we might learn from historical collapses, other…

youtube.com

"...Andy Burnham risks getting stuck in a ‘derailment’ doom loop if he doesn’t tackle #climate adaptation." This piece, co-authored with @carolinelucas.bsky.social, examines the two quite different conversations taking place around this topic. rupertsreads.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...

A Tale of Two Adaptations

Reflections on the Climate Change Committee’s Well-Adapted UK report, in the light of this summer’s heat storms and the Burnham ascendancy

rupertsreads.substack.com