Georgina Sturge

@georginasturge.bsky.social

Statistics expert and author of 'Sum of Us' (2025) and 'Bad Data' (2022). Research Affiliate at the Oxford Migration Observatory. Formerly of the House of Commons Library. Now writing and podcasting on Substack https://georginasturge.substack.com/

This is a serious issue. Data is infrastructure - essential for modern life, largely behind the scenes, and very visible if it fails (like clean water, electricity, etc). It's generation and use involve lots of trade offs and require someone with expertise and accountability to make them.

Hetan Shah@hetanshah.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Good data is essential for policy. Today it’s been a year since we had a permanent National Statistician. No news on what is happening with the current recruitment which began Oct 2025. This is an under the bonnet issue that points to state failure 🧵 uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/stateme...

How does your local area compare with others on migration? With local elections this week, we've just published a new edition of our local data guide. Explore how each local authority profiles on immigration, foreign students, asylum seekers and more. migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/projects/loc...

Local data on migrants in the UK - Migration Observatory

This guide has been developed to help people answer key questions about migrants in local areas around the UK: How many migrants are there in different local areas? How is this changing over time? Wha...

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk

Immigration has been cited as an important issue for voters in the upcoming Scot and Welsh elections, but nation-specific immigration figures are not that easy to come by. We've gathered some of the main statistics here. Did you realise Scotland hosts more international students than France...?

Migration Observatory@migobs.bsky.social · 4mo ago

With devolved elections coming up this week, we've produced a crib sheet on migration in Scotland and Wales. While seeing the same migration patterns as the UK overall, the two nations are distinct in the difference migration makes to population change. migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/co...

£70m over *5 years* doesn't seem so crazy, does it? The fact is, trying to get an increasingly-reluctant public to respond to surveys the only way we can find out about unemployment. That costs a lot more than it used to in the days of mostly obedient respondents. www.thetimes.com/business/eco...

ONS spends almost £70m in search of reliable unemployment data

The Office for National Statistics reveals another £10.6m went towards its ‘transformed labour force survey’ last year

thetimes.com

ONS significantly downgrades UK population growth forecast on the back of falling net migration - with net migration central estimate reduced from 340k per year to 230k (means population of the UK would hit 71m by 2034, rather than 72.2m, as projected in 2022)

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The number of people crossing by small boat this year compared to last year. The fall is very real and not seasonal. Little difference in numbers during the winter but since numbers increased in spring, half as many people are coming as this time last year. This is mainly because of European trends.

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Great news: 1.3 million people have been lifted out of poverty this morning! All thanks to a change in the statistics. After changing how income data is gathered, the DWP now believes it was over-estimating 'low income' levels by at least a million people in recent years, including 400k children.

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Today a legal instrument comes into force unsealing the NHS records of former GIDS patients, the children's gender dysphoria clinic, because adult clinics had refused to give the data voluntarily. Data linkage is a new frontier - should we be concerned? georginasturge.substack.com/p/the-silent...

The silent creep of data linkage

Heavy-handed data grabs on transgender people and benefit claimants raise important questions

georginasturge.substack.com

This is a very interesting piece from the Race Equality Foundation on the good that ethnicity data does & the complexities of collecting it. Brings up issues I covered in Sum of Us around how we decide on the categories for ethnicity and race. raceequalityfoundation.org.uk/blog/why-we-...

Why We Record Ethnicity – And Why It Matters - Race Equality Foundation

Chief Executive Jabeer Butt writes about why we record ethnicity data and its importance in this new blog from the Race Equality Foundation.

raceequalityfoundation.org.uk

VICTORY! Government to open up the Land Registry - bringing to an end a thousand years of secrecy shrouding who owns England. I’ve been campaigning for this for ten years: the new Land Use Framework, published later today, makes it government policy. 1/ www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Government to lift paywall from large parts of the Land Registry

Exclusive: finding out who owns land will become simpler under plans to make the best use of green spaces and hit net zero targets

theguardian.com

Latest piece by @georginasturge.bsky.social is a masterclass in why we should be cautious with 'trend' headlines. The supposed 'Quiet Revival' of Christianity in Gen Z looks less like a spiritual shift & more like a quirk of polling methodology. georginasturge.substack.com/p/the-gen-z-...

The Gen-Z Christian 'revival', polling bots, and immigration

Botched online polling is unhelpful, but so is not having a clear picture of demographic change

georginasturge.substack.com

I actually didn’t realise the Bible Society had doubled down. There may have been a modest rise in young religiosity but we’re talking a percentage point or two. There is just no way the much higher BS poll results are accurate, sorry! BBC More or Less has been on it, case closed.

Conrad Hackett@conradhackett.bsky.social · 7mo ago

The Bible Society's @robb-s.bsky.social says he is now "more confident" in the Quiet Revival report's "overall story." The report famously claims church attendance has gone up a lot since 2018. However, data from national churches and the British Social Attitudes survey suggests otherwise.

I only recently found out about the Gen Z 'Christian revival,' where seemingly legitimate polls are showing a quadrupling of church attendance among young adults. Naturally, I had to look into the data myself, and found a more mixed picture than I'd expected. open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

The Gen-Z Christian 'revival', polling bots, and immigration

Botched online polling is unhelpful, but so is not having a clear picture of demographic change

open.substack.com

Well this is going to kick off, albeit in a nerdy train-spotter way. Dutch Railways have just signed a 12 year contract with an American tech provider, while the rest of the public sector is under strict instructions to ensure digital autonomy for critical infrastructure. www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/...

NS besteedt ict deels uit aan Amerikaanse leverancier

Strategische autonomie: Ondanks alle discussies over strategische autonomie kiest NS een Amerikaanse beheerder voor cruciale IT-diensten. „Als iedereen zo handelt als NS, bouwen we nooit eigen digital...

nrc.nl

I only recently found out about the Gen Z 'Christian revival,' where seemingly legitimate polls are showing a quadrupling of church attendance among young adults. Naturally, I had to look into the data myself, and found a more mixed picture than I'd expected. open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

The Gen-Z Christian 'revival', polling bots, and immigration

Botched online polling is unhelpful, but so is not having a clear picture of demographic change

open.substack.com