Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis

@jamonm.bsky.social

American Soccer Analysis: Co-creator g+ GameFlows and the Where Goals Come From project. he/him Cien Goles game: https://ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com

Friday Stat Dump: Key Pass g+ Chains Last Friday we introduced the concept of a Shooter g+ Chain: Receive Key Pass → Dribble (optional) → Shoot (g+ Receive) → (g+ Dribbling) → (g+ Shooting) Through last Friday, here are the top 35 shooters in MLS 2026 by Shooter g+ Chain value.

Bild

Did a bit of work today and now we can see this same list broken out by g+ Shooting (raw), g+ Dribbling (pre-shot), and g+ Receiving (of the key pass). This helps us understand better how each top shooter (or any shooter) improves goal probabilities. And there are lots more possibilities than this!

Bild
Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis@jamonm.bsky.social · last wk.

So now, what we are establishing is a chain. A set of related actions that improve shot value. We could call this the "Shooter Chain". The Shooter Chain looks like this: Receive KP → Dribble → Shoot (g+ Receive) → (g+ Dribbling) → (g+ Shooting) g+ Shooter Chain leaders:

Friday Stat Dump: Shooter g+ Chains I've made a big deal on this account about key passes and Expected Assists (xA) in the past and even "intentional" and "unintentional" elements. Today, we start to go a layer deeper. First, your 2026 MLS key pass leaders through last weekend.

Bild

Added a fix and a couple of enhancements to Cien Goles today on the Bluesky / share functionality: 1. Enhancement: the league shows in the first line 2. Fix: NWSL Champions instead of MLS Cup Champions if the league is NWSL 🙃 3. Your individual awards are shown with the player who got them.

Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis@jamonm.bsky.social · 2w ago

Cien Goles · NWSL · Easy · 3-4-3 ⭐⭐⭐ THE TRIPLE ⭐⭐⭐ ⚽ 106 goals scored 🏆 NWSL Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 100% (Grade: A) 🏅 MVP: Wilson 🏅 Golden Boot: Wilson ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF

I really enjoyed getting to talk to Katherine Gier about the Cien Goles game, as well as how I got into soccer analytics, and the growth of analytics and challenges covering the women's game. Check it out if you want to hear more about our coverage of women's soccer at @americansocceranalysis.com.

The IX Sports@theixsports.bsky.social · 3w ago

This week, @jamonm.bsky.social joins @kgier.bsky.social on The IX Sports Podcast Soccer Edition to discuss advanced soccer analytics and how they are changing the NWSL. www.theixsports.com/podcast/the-...

Did you get 100 goals on easy and medium difficulties in Cien Goles? It's time to try hard difficulty! Here are a few tips to getting more goals (these work on easy and medium as well): 1) There is no overall rating, so look at the colored WGCF boxes. Higher numbers and darker boxes are better.

Bild

Five months later, Vancouver and SKC are in the running as the best and worst teams by xPoints since 2013. Nashville are likely going to win the Supporter's Shield like most teams over the last few years - by over-performing their underlying metrics. Montreal has had rotten luck.


Scatter plot of xPoints on x-axis and Points-xPoints on the y axis. Nashville is really lucky, Montreal really unlucky, and SKC and Vancouver are really bad and good.Faceted scatter plots of xPoints on x-axis and Points-xPoints of the y-axis. 2024 Miami is the luckiest, but Nashville this season isn't far behind
Eliot McKinley@eliotmckinley.com · 6mo ago

With most teams having played 8 games, the underlying stats are beginning to become useful while still noisy. Vancouver may be the best MLS team ever and SKC the worst. Both are performing as expected. There's a huge pack of average teams down on their luck.

Good lucky scatter plot for MLS 2026; SKC is atrocious, Vancouver is incredible

Have you played Cien Goles today? We’re still looking for our first MLS and NWSL teams to score 100 goals or more in a season on Hard difficulty. Share your scores on Bluesky and tag me if you can get over 90!

Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis@jamonm.bsky.social · 3w ago

Can you build an MLS or NWSL super team that can score 100 goals in a season? Announcing Cien Goles, a simulation game modeled with the Where Goals Come From framework! ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com Best of all, it's free!

Just checking in my data, and we have had no Cien Goles yet on Hard difficulty. In Hard difficulty, you lose seeing the overall rating, but you get to keep the all the WGCF category data (although pick from worse teams overall). Who can be the first? Be sure to share on Bluesky if you get it!

Bild
Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis@jamonm.bsky.social · 3w ago

Can you build an MLS or NWSL super team that can score 100 goals in a season? Announcing Cien Goles, a simulation game modeled with the Where Goals Come From framework! ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com Best of all, it's free!