looking forward to present our co-authored paper w/ @dasilvapp.bsky.social featuring brand-new experimental data on financial nationalism in Hungary @ces-europe.bsky.social #CES2026 in Dublin on Wednesday in this great panel w/ @duarteamaro.bsky.social @bcaihuelas.bsky.social @tedperl.bsky.social 🍀
Duarte Amaro
@duarteamaro.bsky.social
dphil candidate in politics, university of oxford. interested in party competition, european integration, and historical political economy.
There are now more Tory supporters who *say* they voted Remain than Leave. In the BES, which has EU vote information from previous waves rather than recalled vote, the split is 50-35 for Leave (vote intention is 2025 though). If anything, false recall is even more damning for the Brexit project.
There are now more Tory supporters who backed Remain than Leave (47-43). Badenoch really needs an offer beyond ‘we can make a success of Brexit’.
... but I will be forever grateful to him for the catharsis that I, with most Hungarians, felt last night. What he did belongs in the history books. But how did he do it? There will be a lot written about it, and the factors that made it possible. This thread is only about political mobilization.
New article and special issue! Just out in Comparative Political Studies: “Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities", the intro to a special issue on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Thread 🧵1/7
Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities - Giovanni Capoccia, 2026
The article lays the foundations of a research agenda on the conditions favoring short-term success against emerging illiberal challenges—necessary for democrat...
journals.sagepub.com
NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out! 1/
some people love quoting "the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must." That was Athens saying that at the height of its empire. Few of those people seem to remember what happened to Athens the very next year.
Delighted to see applications open for the Morelli Scholarship. As the 2024 Scholar, I've had an incredible experience at DPIR and Corpus Christi: encouraging supervision, an intellectually vibrant community, a welcoming DPhil cohort, and a fantastic College environment. Happy to chat if helpful!
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/
Excited to share that together with @malojan.bsky.social we’ve published a research note in #partypolitics introducing PartySOME, a comprehensive dataset on political parties’ social media activity. A thread 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Melvyn Bragg has been one of the last standard-bearers for a really important, and unfashionable, idea: that good conversation, between people who really know their stuff, on complex or difficult subjects, can be fantastic radio - and that the national broadcaster should do this. I hope it endures.
Melvyn Bragg has decided to stand down as host of In Our Time, the BBC says.
Excited to be on a great panel on Politicization and Party Strategies in the EU @ecpr.bsky.social. Featuring @heinkelmann-wild.bsky.social , @kovarek.bsky.social , @duarteamaro.bsky.social, @saorhan.bsky.social among others. Come on down to the Polytechnic School (B 5.39)at 13:30 tomorrow (29 Aug)!
O @joaocancel.bsky.social e eu voltamos a olhar para as bases sociais do sistema partidário, desta vez em evolução 2022-2025. www.pedro-magalhaes.org/as-bases-soc...
So. I wrote a dissertation on how economic crises can lead to the breakdown of authoritarian regimes. Here are three key point to keep in mind as you watch the news this week 🧵
Economic Crises and the Breakdown of Authoritarian Regimes
Cambridge Core - Asian Studies - Economic Crises and the Breakdown of Authoritarian Regimes
cambridge.org