OUT NOW: Our Holborn & St. Pancras by-election reaction is in all your podcast feeds! @survation.bsky.social's @damiansurvation.bsky.social and @fayebrownjourno.bsky.social join our Director Neal Lawson and Dep. Director Lena Swedlow to break down what the result means for progressive politics.

What happened in Holborn and St Pancras? Our constituency polling, carried out the week before the election, reveals voters motives and the reasons behind each parties' performance www.survation.com/what-happene...

What happened in Holborn & St Pancras? | Survation

Published here for the first time as a diagnostic, Survation’s poll of the constituency, taken in the final stretch of the campaign, helps explain the...

survation.com

Tonight at 6pm we have a LIVE recording of our podcast focusing on the fallout of the Holborn & St. Pancras by-election! Our Director Neal and Deputy Director Lena are joined by @damiansurvation.bsky.social and @fayebrownjourno.bsky.social! Listen wherever you get your podcasts.

Inside me are two wolves. The first wolf goes ‘go to bed early before the by-election in Holborn & St Pancras, then do an early start’. The second wolf… got through a 7:20am LBC News slot and is excited to be on "It’s Bloody Complicated: After H&StP at 6pm: www.compassonline.org.uk/podcast/list...

Stephen Bush@stephenkb.bsky.social · 2w ago

Inside me are two wolves. The first wolf goes 'but I liked being represented by national figures in Stoke Newington and Kings Cross'. The second wolf goes 'thank god I will never have to hear unevidenced and mad opinions about my local MP again'.

We are hiring! We're looking for a Junior Research & Data Analyst to join our team If you have some hands-on experience analysing data in R or Python and are interested in how polling works, we'd love to hear from you. Read more and apply here: www.survation.com/careers/juni...

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 30% (+1) RFM 24% (+1) CON 19% (=) LD 9% (=) GRN 8% (-1) SNP 2% (-1) RB 2% (-1) PC 2% (+1) OTH 3% (-1) F/w 2-5 October 2026. Changes vs 29/09/2026

Is Kemi more popular than her party, and what does this mean for the Conservatives? The Conservatives are on 19% in Survation's latest Westminster voting intention poll, conducted for Mandate Research on the 29th of September In all of our polls since June 2025, they have been between 18% and 21%.

How did Andy Burnham's conference speech land with the public, and what did they make of the triple lock announcement? Last week @damiansurvation.bsky.social took @andrewmarr.bsky.social through our snap poll on @lbc.co.uk.

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 29% (+2) RFM 23% (-1) CON 19% (-2) LD 9% (-2) GRN 9% (+2) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (=) PC 1% (-1) OTH 4% (=) F/w 29 September 2026. Changes vs 23/09/2026

NEW: Where will the public land on Andy Burnham’s Triple Lock changes and National Care Service plans? Initial reactions to the PM’s speech in a poll of 1,548 adults in the UK interviewed in the hours after the speech on 29 September on behalf of Mandate Research 🧵1/9

⏰️ Starting now at Revolution! 🌹 What can Labour learn from its members? LabourList, @survation.bsky.social and @babelfishnews.bsky.social are launching their latest polling of Labour Party members. Hear the exclusive findings first-hand, with @lucympowell.bsky.social and @dalevince.com🌟

If you are headed to the Labour Party Conference and would like to catch up, or just want to be briefed on our pre conference research, go here for details: eepurl.com/F2ohRItFCX

Who’s in Second Place? Estimating Tactical Voting in an Era of Extreme Volatility. Survation analyst @pjstock.bsky.social rolls through the changed electoral reality and what that means for looking past the “raw” MRP numbers: www.survation.com/whos-in-seco...

Who's in Second Place? Estimating Tactical Voting in an Era of Extreme Volatility: | Survation

In 2024, most top two contests were Labour vs Conservatives – now it’s Labour vs Reform In 2024, almost half of all seats were Labour–Conservative...

survation.com

NEW: Britain voted for change. Two years on, Labour is being judged on it. Our poll and MRP for @38degrees.bsky.social finds a country that has stopped feeling better off: Better off than a year ago: 24% → 12% About the same: 29% → 43% Worse off: 43% → 40% Read more: tinyurl.com/3h6249t4 1/6

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 28% (+1) RFM 23% (-1) CON 21% (+2) LD 10% (+1) GRN 8% (-2) SNP 2% (=) PC 2% (+1) RB 2% (-1) OTH 4% (=) F/w 9-10 September 2026. Changes vs 28/08/2026

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 27% (+1) RFM 24% (-2) CON 19% (+1) GRN 10% (=) LD 9% (-1) RB 3% (+1) SNP 2% (-1) PC 1% (=) OTH 4% (=) F/w 26-28 August 2026. Changes vs 18/08/2026

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 26% (+2) LAB 25% (-1) CON 19% (-2) LD 11% (+1) GRN 9% (-1) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (=) PC 2% (=) OTH 4% (+1) F/w 10-13 August 2026. Changes vs 26/07/2026

We returned to Clacton this week to sample 100 more respondents, and conducted an experiment on not prompting. Respondents told us, in their own words, who they would vote for. The result - Count Binface's support remained steady at the ~20% level, with Farage showing a slight increase.

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 26% (+1) RFM 24% (-2) CON 21% (+2) GRN 10% (+2) LD 10% (=) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (+1) PC 2% (=) OTH 3% (-3) F/w 25-27 July 2026. Changes vs 24/07/2026

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 24% (-3) LAB 24% (+5) CON 21% (+1) LD 11% (-1) GRN 11% (=) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (=) PC 2% (=) OTH 4% (=) F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026

With @survation.bsky.social, we found 43% of adults support higher taxes on slot machines in betting shops, compared with just 11% who want them cut. Read the research ⬇️ buff.ly/JleqwH4

NEW Survation poll of 10,024 people, 10 years after the Brexit referendum 🇬🇧 If a vote were held tomorrow: 55% would vote to Rejoin the EU vs 32% to stay out (13% undecided). Among decided voters, that's 63% Rejoin vs 37% Leave. 🧵 1/5 survation.com/buyers-remor...

Buyer’s Remorse? Where public opinion stands 10 years after Brexit | Survation

A decade on since the country voted to Leave the European Union on the 23rd of June 2016, public opinion has shifted decisively away from...

survation.com

NEW Survation poll of pub landlords on behalf of @greenpeaceuk.bsky.social as seen in @mirror.co.uk 47% of landlords say they're not confident their pub will survive the next 12 months. Of those, 2 in 3 think they've got less than a year left at current costs. 🍺🧵1/4

NEW: Survation Holyrood MRP SNP is almost certain to form the next government, albeit without an overall majority. They are likely to win 59 seats - six short of the 65 needed for a majority, with a tight race for 2nd place between Reform UK and Labour. www.survation.com/final-survat...

Final Survation Holyrood Poll of the 2026 Elections | Survation

Survation’s final Holyrood polling of the cycle indicates that the Scottish National Party is almost certain to form the next government, albeit without an overall...

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NEW: Senedd Voting Intention Poll for @aberuni.bsky.social and @newyddion.s4c.cymru shows a tight race between Reform UK and Plaid Cymru, with Labour in a distant third place. RFM: 30% (+6) PC: 28% (+4) LAB: 15% (-12) CON: 10% (-5) GRN: 10% (+5) LD: 4% (-1) OTH: 4% (+3) Changes vs April 2025

We are hiring! Survation is looking for a Junior Research and Data Analyst to join our team. More info: www.survation.com/survation-is...

Survation November Newsletter: Budget Business Read in full: mailchi.mp/survation/su... Subscribe to our mailing list here: eepurl.com/mOK8P 🧵 1/7

Survation October Newsletter: Long Nights, Illuminating Insights This month, we've covered Welsh politics, the Labour deputy leadership election, and much more. Read in full: shorturl.at/D7Bav Subscribe to our mailing list here: eepurl.com/mOK8P 🧵 1/6

Survation Newsletter: Conference Special This month’s research captured the national mood and that of the Labour membership's, but also covered AI, the lives of British teens, and the SNP. Read in full: shorturl.at/QkPCW Subscribe to our mailing list here: shorturl.at/REToG 🧵 1/10

Deputy Leadership Polling of Labour Members ➡️Lucy Powell leads with 47% support among members likely to vote ➡️Bridget Phillipson trails with 30% ➡️23% remain Undecided Part of our partnership with @labourlist.bsky.social as seen on @itvpeston.bsky.social 🧵1/6