Tahra Hoops

@tahrajirari.bsky.social

Dir. Econ Analysis, Chamber of Progress Contact: Tahra@progresschamber.org

“Taken individually, none of these provisions solves the housing shortage. Taken together, they represent one of the most substantial federal efforts in decades to address the regulatory, financing, permitting, and construction barriers that limit housing supply.” 🏗️🏢 @tahrajirari.bsky.social

The Biggest Housing Bill in Decades Is Almost Law

Last August I made a bet in this newsletter: the ROAD to Housing Act was the most consequential housing legislation in a generation, and almost no one was paying attention.

therebuild.pub

Excellent new article from Tahra Hoops today on how blue cities' over-regulation is driving up the costs of home renovations. Well worth a read. It's so emblematic of what needs to change if Democrats are going to do better on the cost-of-living.

Recently, while visiting Washington, D.C., I caught up with some old friends. Our conversation eventually turned to their new home and how unexpectedly painful the renovation process has been. One particularly frustrating example was their bathroom remodel. They didn't move any plumbing or alter the layout, just a straightforward interior update - just updated the space with modern finishes - yet the total cost of their self-described "small" bathroom soared well into five figures.

What struck me most wasn't just the price, but the permitting process required to renovate their own home. In D.C., the system is so byzantine that one of the people explaining it to me-a regulatory lawyer-couldn't get clear answers on how to proceed. The rules themselves were so unclear that when he contacted the local permitting office for guidance, he received different, and sometimes conflicting, answers depending on whom he spoke with. After digging further, I found that this is hardly unique to Washington. Similar stories are common across many large cities, where home renovations have become increasingly expensive and time-consuming.

New: The battle for the House in 2026 will be won in the suburbs. Our analysis shows Democrats targeting districts where economic anxiety over healthcare, childcare & daily costs is high. With just 3 seats between the parties, cost-of-living issues will decide who governs. 🧵

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Democrats need a real pro-family agenda that makes it easier, and cheaper, to raise kids. @garywinslett outlines 10 smart policies, from baby bonuses to single-stair reform. Families deserve affordable childcare, safe cities, and homes that work for real life.

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NEW: California voters put housing costs first, yet the Senate made Aisha Wahab housing chair. She says “protect supply, curb demand” and fights parking reforms. Putting a brake pedal at the wheel shows Sacramento won't kick its anti‑development habit. By @GaryWinslett

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New Rebuild Post! Maritime protectionism has failed for 100 years. It didn't build us a fleet. It won't now. But the USTR's originally proposed fees of up to $1.5M per port call on Chinese ships will raise prices, shrink exports, and creates more chaos for U.S. businesses. 🧵

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NEW Economist/YouGov Poll: 55% of Americans believe Trump's recent tariffs will hurt their financial wellbeing. The negative perception crosses demographic lines but is strongest among Black (64%) and Hispanic (60%) respondents. 🧵

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Tomorrow's "Liberation Day" is just the start of a trade war that jeopardizes America's economic growth. When we limit ourselves to domestic production of basics, we sacrifice the diverse economic ecosystem that drives prosperity. 🧵

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NEW: NYC's Airbnb ban has been in effect for 18 months, and the unintended consequences are piling up. Beyond failing to lower rents, it's disproportionately harming outer borough communities and small businesses.

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NEW: Last week, @PatrickRuffini coined the term "Combative Centrism" to describe what could be a winning strategy for Democrats. With cost of living back to being the #1 voter concern, Democrats need a strategy that's both forceful and practical. 🧵

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New Tourism Economic Impact Report from Waymo just dropped! In SF alone, Waymo visitor rides contribute: • $39.7M+ in total economic output • $15.98M in income generated • More spending at hotels, restaurants & attractions

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America faces a critical housing shortage with millions of homes in underproduction. The only way out is to build more and now lumber prices are hitting 30-month highs all due to tariffs + construction costs are soaring. We need affordability to build more, not higher prices.

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NEW post in The Rebuild by @GaryWinslett on critical minerals: US depends on China & others for materials vital to tech & green energy. How can we help reverse this? Restore the Bureau of Mines to secure domestic supply chains & reduce foreign dependence.

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NEW The Rebuild post out today! Boomers love progress—until it moves next door. Older progressives have become the biggest roadblock to housing reform. The generation that once championed change now blocks it when their property values are at stake. 🧵

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NEW: Excited to announce, I am starting a Substack with the great @garywinslett: The Rebuild! The Rebuild will focus on how Democrats can break through bureaucracy, build more, cut costs, and actually deliver results that win back voters' trust. 🧵+ Link below ⬇️

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🚨 January inflation jumped 0.5% (vs. 0.3% forecast), with big spikes in: • Fuel oil +6.2% • Gas +1.8% • Food at home +0.5% (eggs +15.2%!!) • Transport services +1.8% • Insurance +2.0% With 25% tariffs looming on food/energy/metals, supply chain pressures could worsen.

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Temu's shift to "half-custody" shipping due to Trump's tariffs means higher consumer prices ahead. Merchants losing bulk shipping benefits & handling new logistics costs themselves. With both Temu & Shein adapting to stricter rules, the era of ultra-cheap Chinese goods may be ending.

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This morning, WH advisor said they want to increase labor supply - yet past steel tariffs like those in 2002 cut nearly 200k downstream jobs vs 187k total steel jobs. New tariffs would work against this goal and attempt to "fight inflation" by cutting jobs and raising costs.

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Megan Cassella@megancnbc.bsky.social · 2y ago

Just now from the White House: a sweeping expansion of the steel and aluminum tariffs from 2018: - Upping tariffs from 10% to 25% on aluminum; keeping rate at 25% on steel - Re-imposing tariffs on allies that had negotiated side deals or quotas - *No exceptions or exemptions*