Jason Collette

@jasoncollette.bsky.social

Columnist at Rotowire, podcaster at Fangraphs, and very passionate about baseball, beer, UCF, rescued dogs, hiking, and Whataburger. 10x FSWA award finalist; 2x winner. https://linktr.ee/jasoncollette

2,689 pitches without issuing a tap from Yandy Díaz. A record that will probably hold forever. Here are his in zone balls and out of zone called strikes in 2026 including postseason:

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D-R turnout gap swing is everywhere, including key Black Belt counties, the huge vote blocks in Wake and Mecklenburg, and almost all of Western NC. The breadth of these numbers are so strong that I think the NCGA House is in play.

Change in D–R turnout-rate gap vs 2022, counties
Through EV day 4, all ballots (early in person and mail). Percentage points: 2026 gap minus 2022 gap at the same EV day (positive = moved toward Democrats).

Change in D–R turnout-rate gap vs 2022 (centred on 0)

−7.5−4.5−1.5+1.5+4.5+7.50
◀ Moved toward Republicans
Moved toward Democrats ▶
<10 ballots, withheld
Circle area ∝ 2026 ballots
D–R gap compares each party’s turnout rate (its ballots over its own registered voters), so it is not driven by which party has more registrants. Circles are drawn only where the county has 10 or more ballots. Percentage-point changes between two small counts are noisy; rely on the tooltip counts for small areas.

Show map data as a table