George Pearkes

@peark.es

No longer Bluesky’s only resident finance bro | Macro Strategist | Even the blind squirrel get a nut sometime. | #ForTheCrown, #COYG | 🇺🇸 via 🇨🇦. Not 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿. | Normal man, one of the Normal Men *ALL CAPS HEADLINES LIKE THIS ARE FROM BLOOMBERG 📍 CLT

In other Michigan news, the state looks set to elect it's first transgender lawmaker. Joanna Whaley won her Democratic primary and will compete in November for a state house seat, beating a primary opponent who tried and failed to disqualify her for not running under her deadname

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Waking up to discover what was expected to be a hotly contested fight result last night after my bedtime turned out to be very one-sided for the good guys. That's right folks, CLT FC 3 - Pumas 0

I hopped on to chat with Ed and give myself brain damage listening to Everyone's Least Optimal Nutcase. We just talked about this, which is the most fictional guide I've seen in a long time *SPACEX SEES $100 BILLION ARR BY YEAR-END: CFO

e.w. niedermeyer@niedermeyer.online · 2w ago

you're goddamn right I'm going to livestream the first-ever SpaceX earnings call on the AT Protocol put it on your calendar now: August 4, 2026, following market close at 4:30 PM Eastern stream.place/niedermeyer.online

AI deployment tidbit from subprime auto lender $CACC. 67% of inbound customer service/account solutions calls were routed to an AI agent in June versus 27% in March. "We expect further gains in call handling and unit economics as we scale this platform throughout 2026."

*SPACEX 2Q REV. $7.8B, EST. $6.81B *SPACEX 2Q AI SEGMENT OPER LOSS $1.26B, EST. LOSS $2.39B *SPACEX 2Q ADJ. EBITDA $3.5B, EST. $2B *SPACEX ENDED 2Q WITH $47.5B BACKLOG *SPACEX 2Q CAPEX $18.37B

TEXAS 🤠 U.S. Senate Q2 2026 Fundraising 🔵 James Talarico: $30 million 🔴 Ken Paxton: $9 million Talarico's haul is the largest fundraising total ever recorded by a U.S. Senate campaign in the second quarter of an election year.

Here's my shakedown of big US bond dealers on how they're thinking about tomorrow's Treasury Quarterly Refunding. Next week's note and bond auction sizes will be announced and, by convention, sizes through October projected. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Bond Dealers Expect US Will Avoid Signaling Auction Increases

The US Treasury will need to increase the sizes of at least some of its fixed-rate borrowing programs next year but is unlikely to signal the shift just yet, according to bond dealers.

bloomberg.com

Kimco ($KIM) is a REIT focused on strip malls. They're widely renowned for owning the worst possible assets; one example across the street from me saw an anchor grocery tenant bail over 5 years ago and the unit has been vacant since. Anyhow, here's their new/renewed rent change vs prior (%).

Chart shows the change in cash rent for new and renewed leases relative to prior for the quarter.

Example: if they own 10 properties, 1 renews at rents +5%, 1 property is rented by someone new at a 15% rate, everyone else's leases don't change, this number would be 10%.

Note: KIM reported 40.4% (!!!) growth for new leases vs prior cash rent, 6.1% for renewals.

Wage growth has likely bottomed absent a new shock to labor demand (which is the opposite of what looks to be happening at the moment).

Charts showing wage growth per the ECI for all industries/occupations & for private ex incentive paid occupations.

R^2 0.521 for the former, 0.691 for the latter